122 Valdiva St · Harbour Heights, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
True 4 bedroom home with greenbelt view in the deed restricted community of Deep Creek has plenty of room for family and friends with over 2,000 square feet of living space living and dining, eat in kitchen, and family room. Home offers soaring vaulted ceilings, plant shelves, color accent walls, and open and split floor plan. Eat in kitchen boasts lots of counter space, breakfast bar, pantry, breakfast nook, and opens to the spacious family room. Master suite has 2 walk in closets and en suite bath with garden tub, stall shower and dual vanities. Other features include dedicated laundry room with washer & dryer, newer hot water heater, double door front entry, and all bedrooms with walk in closets. Proximity to waterways, local beaches, dining, shopping, and golf courses makes this property ideal for the Florida lifestyle. Also, easy access to public parks with bike and walking trails and picnic areas, and boat ramps providing access to many waterways, beautiful Charlotte Harbor, and the Gulf of Mexico. And quick access to Interstate 75. Home perfect for family and entertaining.
Key facts
- Ample counter space
- Split floor plan
- Two walk-in closets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA: Deep Creek Section 20 POA; HOA required; $200 annually (approximately $16.67/month); Community features include deed restrictions and golf access; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces west
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a lot of approximately 0.22 acres
- Exterior features: Patio; Screened patio; French doors; Sliding doors; Exterior lighting; Greenbelt lot; Paved lot/driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Skylight(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-149 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (9.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (12.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $246k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.0% in Harbour Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#684 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Deep Creek Elementary School (math 64% / reading 68%, grade B+, #492 of 2,144 statewide, top 23%, 835 students, 47% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.6%/yr); 553 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $185k; list at $280k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.28%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $427,140
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26180 Deep Creek Blvd | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 2,372 (+5%) | 8mo | $420,000 | $177 | 78 |
| 226 Corumba St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,982 (-12%) | 1mo | $389,000 | $196 | 69 |
| 234 Antofagasta St | 0.33mi | 3/2.5 | 2,348 (+4%) | 10mo | $399,900 | $170 | 67 |
| 263 San Cristobal Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 2,381 (+5%) | 8mo | $417,500 | $175 | 64 |
| 566 Corrientes Cir | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 2,292 (+1%) | 7mo | $510,000 | $223 | 62 |
| 32 Tucuman St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 2,163 (-4%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $162 | 61 |
| 336 Japura St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 2,156 (-5%) | 14mo | $435,000 | $202 | 60 |
| 207 Santarem Cir | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 2,431 (+8%) | 14mo | $420,000 | $173 | 58 |
| 303 San Cristobal Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 2,134 (-6%) | 14mo | $360,000 | $169 | 56 |
| 26432 Deep Creek Blvd | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 2,068 (-8%) | 9mo | $480,000 | $232 | 52 |
| 343 Japura St | 0.45mi | 3/3.0 | 2,575 (+14%) | 13mo | $600,000 | $233 | 41 |
| 508 Rio DE Janeiro Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,987 (-12%) | 10mo | $375,000 | $189 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-61,931
- Equity at exit
- $41,749
- IRR
- -31.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.19×
- Total profit
- $-93,466
- Equity at exit
- $24,209
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33983
- Home prices YoY
- -5.1%
- Rents YoY
- -2.6%
- Active inventory
- 553
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,461 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$492 /mo · $5,908/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$16
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$517
- Net cashflow
- $-149
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25748 Deep Creek Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2195 | $2,300 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 212 Boa Vista St Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2065 | $3,500 | $1.69 | 13d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 26416 Deep Creek Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1735 | $1,650 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 25599 Deep Creek Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1806 | $1,995 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 25583 Deep Creek Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1810 | $2,300 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 343 Vitorio St Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2600 | $2,650 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 26577 Barranquilla Ave Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2141 | $2,650 | $1.24 | 13d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1038 San Cristobal Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1657 | $2,300 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 25199 Chiclayo Ave Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1977 | $2,100 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 27065 Formosa Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2327 | $2,216 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 27406 Tierra del Fuego Cir Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3051 | $5,500 | $1.80 | 13d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 271 Campinas St Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2145 | $2,500 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1235 Saxony Cir #5106 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1708 | $1,550 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1472 Neapolitan Rd Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 27289 Porto Nacional Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1938 | $1,900 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $16 · $192/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-10status $280,000 Pending 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $280,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $280,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $280,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $280,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $280,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $280,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-05-11status Active
-
2026-05-11price $280,000
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-28price $308,000
-
2026-04-20price $312,000
-
2026-04-16price $319,000
-
2026-04-05price $324,000
-
2026-03-10price $330,000
-
2026-02-25$335,000 Active
-
2020-01-27soldstatus $185,000
-
2020-01-24soldstatus $185,000 Sold 1102-char remark
Show marketing remark (1102 chars)
True 4 bedroom home with greenbelt view in the deed restricted community of Deep Creek has plenty of room for family and friends with over 2,000 square feet of living space living and dining, eat in kitchen, and family room. Home offers soaring vaulted ceilings, plant shelves, color accent walls, and open and split floor plan. Eat in kitchen boasts lots of counter space, breakfast bar, pantry, breakfast nook, and opens to the spacious family room. Master suite has 2 walk in closets and en suite bath with garden tub, stall shower and dual vanities. Other features include dedicated laundry room with washer & dryer, newer hot water heater, double door front entry, and all bedrooms with walk in closets. Proximity to waterways, local beaches, dining, shopping, and golf courses makes this property ideal for the Florida lifestyle. Also, easy access to public parks with bike and walking trails and picnic areas, and boat ramps providing access to many waterways, beautiful Charlotte Harbor, and the Gulf of Mexico. And quick access to Interstate 75. Home perfect for family and entertaining.
-
2019-12-14status Pending 1102-char remark
Show marketing remark (1102 chars)
True 4 bedroom home with greenbelt view in the deed restricted community of Deep Creek has plenty of room for family and friends with over 2,000 square feet of living space living and dining, eat in kitchen, and family room. Home offers soaring vaulted ceilings, plant shelves, color accent walls, and open and split floor plan. Eat in kitchen boasts lots of counter space, breakfast bar, pantry, breakfast nook, and opens to the spacious family room. Master suite has 2 walk in closets and en suite bath with garden tub, stall shower and dual vanities. Other features include dedicated laundry room with washer & dryer, newer hot water heater, double door front entry, and all bedrooms with walk in closets. Proximity to waterways, local beaches, dining, shopping, and golf courses makes this property ideal for the Florida lifestyle. Also, easy access to public parks with bike and walking trails and picnic areas, and boat ramps providing access to many waterways, beautiful Charlotte Harbor, and the Gulf of Mexico. And quick access to Interstate 75. Home perfect for family and entertaining.
-
2019-12-07$189,000 Active 1102-char remark
Show marketing remark (1102 chars)
True 4 bedroom home with greenbelt view in the deed restricted community of Deep Creek has plenty of room for family and friends with over 2,000 square feet of living space living and dining, eat in kitchen, and family room. Home offers soaring vaulted ceilings, plant shelves, color accent walls, and open and split floor plan. Eat in kitchen boasts lots of counter space, breakfast bar, pantry, breakfast nook, and opens to the spacious family room. Master suite has 2 walk in closets and en suite bath with garden tub, stall shower and dual vanities. Other features include dedicated laundry room with washer & dryer, newer hot water heater, double door front entry, and all bedrooms with walk in closets. Proximity to waterways, local beaches, dining, shopping, and golf courses makes this property ideal for the Florida lifestyle. Also, easy access to public parks with bike and walking trails and picnic areas, and boat ramps providing access to many waterways, beautiful Charlotte Harbor, and the Gulf of Mexico. And quick access to Interstate 75. Home perfect for family and entertaining.
-
1985-10-01soldstatus $15,446,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,908 · $492/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,908 · $492/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,536
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$5,908
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,363
- − Management
- −$2,363
- − HOA
- −$192
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$6,519
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,565
- After-tax cash flow
- $-222/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Harbour Heights
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #684
- US rank
- #14202
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,471
- Household income
- $71,856
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 342.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.76%
- Current HPI
- 346.0116
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.57%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-98.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $280,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $308,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $312,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $319,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-05 Price Changed $324,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $330,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Listed $335,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
- 2020-01-24 Sold (MLS) $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-12-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-12-07 Listed $189,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1985-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,446,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $5,908 · +39.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…