35 Holly St · Akron, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +7.5/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.8
$34,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2 bedroom home beautifully updated. This adorable 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has 980 sq ft of thoughtfully updated living space. Tasteful updates shine throughout, creating a cozy yet modern feel you'll fall in love with. Plenty of white cabinets in the kitchen and dining area. New electric stove and refrigerator. Enjoy the versatile carport/patio- perfect for relaxing or entertaining-plus a shed and additional storage area for all your extras. Major updates done Fall of 2025 include furnace and hot water tank, along with a durable recoating of the tar and gravel roof. This is all in Akron's Premier 40+ manufactured home community, Quarry Hill Estates.
Key facts
- Shed
- White cabinets
- Carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $757 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Cap rate 32.3% vs local median 4.4% in Akron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#297 in NY, #4,809 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Clarence Central School District (suburban): math 70% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #94 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Ledgeview Elementary School (math 70% / reading 82%, grade A, #285 of 2,108 statewide, top 14%, 473 students, 10% FRL); Clarence Middle School (math 47% / reading 73%, grade B, #157 of 729 statewide, top 22%, 972 students, 18% FRL); Clarence Senior High School (math 100% / reading 77%, grade A, #299 of 1,100 statewide, top 27%, 1,284 students, 17% FRL).
- Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 92.90%
- DSCR
- 5.13
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $54,271
- List price
- $34,900
- Delta
- -35.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Quarry Hl | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (-7%) | 0mo | $18,000 | $20 | 86 |
| 147 Aspen St | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (-6%) | 1mo | $28,000 | $30 | 82 |
| 136 Quarry Hill Ests | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (+2%) | 3mo | $72,000 | $72 | 82 |
| 181 Quarry Hl | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (0%) | 13mo | $38,900 | $40 | 82 |
| 110 Quarry Hl | 0.19mi | 2/1.5 | 980 (0%) | 15mo | $12,500 | $13 | 77 |
| 59 Aspen | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+8%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $62 | 75 |
| 126 Holly St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 910 (-7%) | 2mo | $51,000 | $56 | 75 |
| 182 Quarry Hill Ests | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+8%) | 11mo | $77,000 | $73 | 60 |
| — | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+8%) | 24mo | $60,000 | $57 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 93.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.35×
- Total profit
- $42,546
- Equity at exit
- $5,204
- IRR
- 96.5%
- Equity multiple
- 11.15×
- Total profit
- $99,169
- Equity at exit
- $3,018
Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 6 active · 4 under contract
- Months of supply
- 7.2 mo (14%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $38,450 ($39/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 71 d
- This list price
- 33% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +42.4% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 14001
- Home prices YoY
- -7.1%
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,263 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$183
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$44 /mo · $524/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $757
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $781 | -5% $769 | +0% $757 | +5% $744 | +10% $732 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $657 | -5% $707 | +0% $757 | +5% $806 | +10% $856 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $774 | -0.5pp $765 | base $757 | +0.5pp $747 | +1.0pp $738 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,725
- Closing costs
- $1,047
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 100
- HOA & community
- Located in a senior communityLand lease (monthly) of $750
Exterior
- Parking
- No garage
- Utilities
- Sewer connectedPublic water connectedCable availableHigh-speed internet available
- Home design
- Single-wide mobile homeSingle-story (1 story)Resale propertySchultz model/make
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingRolled/hot mop roof
- Exterior features
- Concrete drivewayPatioRectangular residential lotCity street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric ovenElectric rangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms on the main level (both on the first floor)
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminateVinylVaries
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling
- Electric forced-air heating
- Interior features
- Breakfast areaCeiling fan(s)Separate/formal living roomAccessible bedroomNo stairs (single-level)
- Laundry & utility
- Main-level laundry / accessible utilities
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $34,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $34,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $34,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $34,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $34,900 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $34,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $34,900 Active 176 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $34,900 Active 174 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $34,900 Active 172 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $34,900 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $34,900 Active 170 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $34,900 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $34,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $34,900 Active 166 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $34,900 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $34,900 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $34,900 Active 163 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $34,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $34,900 Active 161 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $34,900 Active 160 DOM
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2026-07-11pricedays on market $34,900 Active 159 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $39,999 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $39,999 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $39,999 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $39,999 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $39,999 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $39,999 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $39,999 Active 150 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $39,999 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $39,999 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $39,999 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $39,999 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $39,999 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $39,999 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $39,999 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $39,999 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $39,999 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,999 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,999 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,999 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,999 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,999 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,999 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $39,999 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,999 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,999 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $39,999 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $39,999 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,999 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,999 Active 119 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,155
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,955
- − Property taxes
- −$524
- − Insurance
- −$174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,212
- − Management
- −$1,212
- − Depreciation
- −$1,015
- Taxable income
- $9,062
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,175
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,903/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This charming 2-bedroom manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates, making it move-in ready and suitable for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both New flooring in kitchen and bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality ↑
- Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances curb appeal and functionality ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clarence Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607590
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,568
- Composite
- 64.85/100
- National rank
- #514
- State rank
- #94 of 590 in NY
Livability — Akron
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #4809
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Erie · 933,037 people
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,122
- Household income
- $73,786
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.68%
- Current HPI
- 322.1897
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-30.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-08-04 Listed $34,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-08-02 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-07-10 Price Changed $34,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $39,999 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $44,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $47,500 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-02 Listed $49,900 WNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…