313 N First St · Titusville, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home has undergone an amazing remodel. The only way to truly appreciate the uniqueness & tranquility of this property is to see it in person. A great home for a 1st-time homeowner or someone looking to downsize. This could also be an investment property. There is a main-floor bedroom full & half bath. The furnished kitchen & living room have an open-concept design which allows for daylight to shine through efficiently. A cozy upper loft provides extra space to relax & has additional storage space. All new utilities including a split unit for heating & A/C, a wall mounted on demand hot water heater, laundry hook-ups, & 200 amp electric service. The fenced-in backyard gives privacy & adds appeal while enjoying the back porch. A covered front porch is one of the 1st things noticed when accessing the property. There is a 2-stall detached garage with a new concrete floor & wiring. Although small in square footage, this home yields great potential & has wonderful charm & appeal.
Key facts
- Furnished kitchen
- Covered front porch
- Fenced in backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Residential property
- Construction: Built with frame construction and vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch and patio; Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall unit cooling
- Interior features: Gas fireplace (1); Crawl space basement; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-31/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (0.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (23.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (23.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#104 in PA, #777 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
- Titusville Area SD (town): math 35% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #287 of 539 in PA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $895 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $11k; list at $130k implies a 1077% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.09%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-21,199
- Equity at exit
- $19,309
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-18,873
- Equity at exit
- $11,197
Cash invested: $36,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16354
- Home prices YoY
- -5.3%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $996 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$679
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $677/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $-3
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $71 | -5% $34 | +0% $-3 | +5% $-39 | +10% $-76 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-81 | -5% $-42 | +0% $-3 | +5% $37 | +10% $76 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $63 | -0.5pp $30 | base $-3 | +0.5pp $-36 | +1.0pp $-70 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,375
- Closing costs
- $3,885
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-17status $129,500 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 675-char remark
-
2026-06-07$129,500 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $677 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,362 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$684/yr (+$57/mo · 101.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,953
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,254
- − Property taxes
- −$677
- − Insurance
- −$648
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$956
- − Management
- −$956
- − Depreciation
- −$3,767
- Taxable loss
- −$2,305
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$553
- After-tax cash flow
- $522/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Titusville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4223490
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,179
- Composite
- 37.43/100
- National rank
- #4418
- State rank
- #287 of 539 in PA
Livability — Titusville
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #777
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Titusville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,120
Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,399 people
- By 2030
- 77,977 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 70,659 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 63,841 · -21.6%
- By 2075
- 50,198 · -38.3%
- By 2100
- 37,898 · -53.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Serbian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · South Korea
Political lean MEDSL · Crawford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.2) · D 30.0% · R 69.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -39.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.2 2020: R+37.2 2016: R+38.5 2012: R+19.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.41%
- Current HPI
- 221.8311
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+1077.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $129,500 AVBREALTORS
- 2026-06-04 Listed $129,500 GEBOR
- 2018-12-21 Sold (MLS) $11,000 AVBREALTORS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $677 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…