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313 N First St
D Composite 40.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,500

313 N First St · Titusville, PA 16354
1 bd · 1.5 ba · 680 sqft · SingleFamily · 13 Days on market
3,485 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home has undergone an amazing remodel. The only way to truly appreciate the uniqueness & tranquility of this property is to see it in person. A great home for a 1st-time homeowner or someone looking to downsize. This could also be an investment property. There is a main-floor bedroom full & half bath. The furnished kitchen & living room have an open-concept design which allows for daylight to shine through efficiently. A cozy upper loft provides extra space to relax & has additional storage space. All new utilities including a split unit for heating & A/C, a wall mounted on demand hot water heater, laundry hook-ups, & 200 amp electric service. The fenced-in backyard gives privacy & adds appeal while enjoying the back porch. A covered front porch is one of the 1st things noticed when accessing the property. There is a 2-stall detached garage with a new concrete floor & wiring. Although small in square footage, this home yields great potential & has wonderful charm & appeal.

Key facts

  • Furnished kitchen
  • Covered front porch
  • Fenced in backyard

Tags

MAIN FLOOR BEDROOMFURNISHED KITCHENOPEN CONCEPT DESIGNCOZY UPPER LOFTFENCED IN BACKYARDCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Residential property
  • Construction: Built with frame construction and vinyl siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Covered porch and patio; Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall unit cooling
  • Interior features: Gas fireplace (1); Crawl space basement; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-31/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (0.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (23.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (23.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#104 in PA, #777 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
  • Titusville Area SD (town): math 35% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #287 of 539 in PA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $895 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $11k; list at $130k implies a 1077% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,610 (23.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.09%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.5%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-21,199
Equity at exit
$19,309
10-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-18,873
Equity at exit
$11,197

Cash invested: $36,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16354

Home prices YoY
-5.3%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$996 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$679
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $677/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$209
Net cashflow
$-3

Break-even live

Break-even rent $999
Max offer price $129,044
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $71 -5% $34 +0% $-3 +5% $-39 +10% $-76
Rent -10% $-81 -5% $-42 +0% $-3 +5% $37 +10% $76
Rate -1.0pp $63 -0.5pp $30 base $-3 +0.5pp $-36 +1.0pp $-70

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,375
Closing costs
$3,885
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $129,500 Pending 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,500 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,500 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,500 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,500 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,500 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,500 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,500 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,500 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 675-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $129,500 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$677 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,362 · $113/mo
Expected delta
+$684/yr (+$57/mo · 101.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,953
− Mortgage interest
−$7,254
− Property taxes
−$677
− Insurance
−$648
− Repairs & maintenance
−$956
− Management
−$956
− Depreciation
−$3,767
Taxable loss
−$2,305
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$553
After-tax cash flow
$522/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Titusville Area SD
NCES district ID
4223490
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$38,179
Composite
37.43/100
National rank
#4418
State rank
#287 of 539 in PA

Livability — Titusville

Score
84/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#777

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Titusville, PA
Population (ZIP)
10,120

Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,399 people
By 2030
77,977 · -4.2%
By 2040
70,659 · -13.2%
By 2050
63,841 · -21.6%
By 2075
50,198 · -38.3%
By 2100
37,898 · -53.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Serbian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · South Korea

Political lean MEDSL · Crawford

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.2) · D 30.0% · R 69.2%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -39.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.2 2020: R+37.2 2016: R+38.5 2012: R+19.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.41%
Current HPI
221.8311
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1077.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $129,500 AVBREALTORS
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $129,500 GEBOR
  • 2018-12-21 Sold (MLS) $11,000 AVBREALTORS

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $677 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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