2426 Lander Rd · Pepper Pike, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +7.3/10.0
- Cash flow +6.4/30.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$525,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable Bungalow On Nearly 1 Acre Lot. Ready To Move In Immediately! Gourmet Kitchen With Granite & Maple Cabinets, Ceramic Tile, & New S. S. Appliances. All New Lighting & Plumbing Fixtures. Huge 2nd Floor Master Suite. Pristine Hardwood Floors Throughout. & More!!!!!
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Newer stanek windows
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Nearby shopping and medical services
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Concrete driveway
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Updated/remodeled condition; Above-grade and below-grade finished living areas; Lot dimensions approximately 137 x 316
- Construction: Brick and aluminum siding exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Patio; Shed; Back yard fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in oven; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living room, bedrooms, office, dining room and other main rooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Full unfinished basement; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in the basement; Water softener
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $525k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-910 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $364k (30.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $346k (34.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $346k (34.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 0.5% in Pepper Pike — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#429 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Orange City (suburban): math 76% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #32 of 656 in OH (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 176 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,460/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 1286% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($509k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $44k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $235k; list at $525k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.43%
- DSCR
- 0.67
- GRM
- 12.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $640,233
- List price
- $525,000
- Delta
- -18.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1838 Drayton Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,944 (+4%) | 11mo | $370,000 | $190 | 46 |
| 1849 Beham Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,928 (+3%) | 12mo | $277,000 | $144 | 45 |
| 5991 Cantwell Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,012 (+8%) | 3mo | $360,000 | $179 | 45 |
| 2042 Marshfield Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,952 (+5%) | 16mo | $275,000 | $141 | 44 |
| 5978 Cantwell Dr | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,980 (+6%) | 11mo | $300,000 | $152 | 43 |
| 5960 Cantwell Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,084 (+12%) | 7mo | $355,000 | $170 | 38 |
| 1876 Dunellon Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 | 1,592 (-15%) | 6mo | $286,000 | $180 | 34 |
| 1910 Caronia Dr | 0.72mi | 4/4.5 (+1) | 2,104 (+13%) | 9mo | $380,000 | $181 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.06×
- Total profit
- $-137,826
- Equity at exit
- $78,279
- IRR
- -21.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.18×
- Total profit
- $-172,726
- Equity at exit
- $45,392
Cash invested: $147,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44124
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 176
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,460 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,753
- Tax from tax record
- −$671 /mo · $8,051/yr
- Insurance
- −$219
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$727
- Net cashflow
- $-910
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-612 | -5% $-761 | +0% $-910 | +5% $-1,058 | +10% $-1,207 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,183 | -5% $-1,046 | +0% $-910 | +5% $-773 | +10% $-636 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-645 | -0.5pp $-776 | base $-910 | +0.5pp $-1,046 | +1.0pp $-1,184 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $131,250
- Closing costs
- $15,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28875 Addison Ct Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2337 | $4,975 | $2.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 28790 Addison Ct Pepper Pike, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 2105 | $6,100 | $2.90 | 2d | 3 | 0.56mi |
| 2021 Aldersgate Dr Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2012 | $2,850 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1735 Chelmsford Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1678 Byron Dr Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2390 | $2,200 | $0.92 | 12d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5670 Cherokee Dr Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1920 | $1,950 | $1.02 | 8d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1620 Brainard Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1501 | $2,275 | $1.52 | 15d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 27040 Cedar Rd Beachwood, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 845 | $1,881 | $2.22 | 2d | 99 | 1.32mi |
| 26600 George Zeiger Dr Beachwood, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1734 | $5,375 | $3.10 | 2d | 40 | 1.34mi |
| 26900 Amhearst Cir Beachwood, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $2,460 | $2.30 | 2d | 13 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $525,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $525,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $525,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $525,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $525,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $525,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $525,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $525,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $525,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $525,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $525,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $540,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $540,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $540,000 1731-char remark
-
2026-05-08price $559,000 1731-char remark
-
2026-05-01$569,000 Active 1731-char remark
-
2007-02-07historical
-
2006-12-29soldstatus $235,000
Show marketing remark (292 chars)
Adorable Bungalow On Nearly 1 Acre Lot. Ready To Move In Immediately! Gourmet Kitchen With Granite & Maple Cabinets, Ceramic Tile, & New S. S. Appliances. All New Lighting & Plumbing Fixtures. Huge 2nd Floor Master Suite. Pristine Hardwood Floors Throughout. & More!!!!!
-
2006-12-29soldstatus $235,000
Show marketing remark (292 chars)
Adorable Bungalow On Nearly 1 Acre Lot. Ready To Move In Immediately! Gourmet Kitchen With Granite & Maple Cabinets, Ceramic Tile, & New S. S. Appliances. All New Lighting & Plumbing Fixtures. Huge 2nd Floor Master Suite. Pristine Hardwood Floors Throughout. & More!!!!!
-
2006-08-08$249,900
Show marketing remark (292 chars)
Adorable Bungalow On Nearly 1 Acre Lot. Ready To Move In Immediately! Gourmet Kitchen With Granite & Maple Cabinets, Ceramic Tile, & New S. S. Appliances. All New Lighting & Plumbing Fixtures. Huge 2nd Floor Master Suite. Pristine Hardwood Floors Throughout. & More!!!!!
-
2006-02-07$285,000
-
2005-11-15historical
-
2005-05-11$344,900
-
2005-04-06soldstatus $207,500
-
2005-04-04soldstatus $207,500
-
2005-01-14$229,900
-
1978-10-03soldstatus $83,000
-
1978-10-01soldstatus $83,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,051 · $671/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,120 · $677/mo
- Expected delta
- +$70/yr (+$6/mo · 0.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,517
- − Mortgage interest
- −$29,408
- − Property taxes
- −$8,051
- − Insurance
- −$2,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,321
- − Management
- −$3,321
- − Depreciation
- −$15,273
- Taxable loss
- −$20,483
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,916
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,000/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange City
- NCES district ID
- 3910016
- Math proficiency
- 76% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 83% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $114,295
- Composite
- 73.37/100
- National rank
- #182
- State rank
- #32 of 656 in OH
Livability — Pepper Pike
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #429
- US rank
- #7112
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pepper Pike, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 40,046
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,779
- Household income
- $82,392
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1286.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -212.96%
- Current HPI
- 164.108
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.45%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+532.5% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $525,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $540,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $559,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-05-01 Listed $569,000 MLSNOW
- 2007-02-07 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2006-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $235,000 Public Records
- 2006-12-29 Sold (MLS) $235,000 MLSNOW
- 2006-08-08 Listed $249,900 MLSNOW
- 2006-02-07 Listed $285,000 MLSNOW
- 2005-11-15 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2005-05-11 Listed $344,900 MLSNOW
- 2005-04-06 Sold (MLS) $207,500 MLSNOW
- 2005-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $207,500 Public Records
- 2005-01-14 Listed $229,900 MLSNOW
- 1978-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 1978-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $8,051 · -12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…