4216 E 38th St · College Station, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home conveniently located close to shopping, schools, restaurants, and other amenities. The home needs some repairs and updates, making it a great opportunity for an investor, handyman, or buyer looking to add their own personal touch. Plenty of potential at an affordable price.
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Close to restaurants
- Close to shopping
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Metal/vinyl siding exterior
- Construction: Composition roof; Not permanent foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Vinyl floors; Free-standing stove
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $631 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#389 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: employment D+, commute D, schools F.
- Pulaski County Spec. School District (rural): math 27% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #150 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.13%
- DSCR
- 3.01
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $30,910
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 48.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.80×
- Total profit
- $80,462
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72206
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $207/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $631
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $665 | -5% $648 | +0% $631 | +5% $614 | +10% $597 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $532 | -5% $581 | +0% $631 | +5% $680 | +10% $730 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $661 | -0.5pp $646 | base $631 | +0.5pp $615 | +1.0pp $600 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4722 Springer Blvd Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $59,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $59,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 New Listing 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $59,900 New Listing 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,900 New Listing 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home conveniently located close to shopping, schools, restaurants, and other amenities. The home needs some repairs and updates, making it a great opportunity for an investor, handyman, or buyer looking to add their own personal touch. Plenty of potential at an affordable price.
-
2026-06-01$59,900 New Listing 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home conveniently located close to shopping, schools, restaurants, and other amenities. The home needs some repairs and updates, making it a great opportunity for an investor, handyman, or buyer looking to add their own personal touch. Plenty of potential at an affordable price.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $207 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $383 · $32/mo
- Expected delta
- +$176/yr (+$15/mo · 85.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,995
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$207
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,200
- − Management
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $6,991
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,678
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,892/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pulaski County Spec. School District
- NCES district ID
- 0511850
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,218
- Composite
- 25.67/100
- National rank
- #7394
- State rank
- #150 of 238 in AR
Livability — College Station
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #389
- US rank
- #22871
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- College Station, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,667
- Household income
- $52,132
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 623.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 43% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.64%
- Current HPI
- 158.3601
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.36%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $59,900 HSBOR
- 2026-06-01 Listed $59,900 CARMLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $207 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…