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4216 E 38th St
B- Composite 68.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

4216 E 38th St · College Station, AR 72206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured · 20 Days on market
Built 2009 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home conveniently located close to shopping, schools, restaurants, and other amenities. The home needs some repairs and updates, making it a great opportunity for an investor, handyman, or buyer looking to add their own personal touch. Plenty of potential at an affordable price.

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Close to restaurants
  • Close to shopping

Tags

CONVENIENTLY LOCATEDCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO RESTAURANTS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Metal/vinyl siding exterior
  • Construction: Composition roof; Not permanent foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Vinyl floors; Free-standing stove

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $631 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#389 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: employment D+, commute D, schools F.
  • Pulaski County Spec. School District (rural): math 27% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #150 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,001 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
18.93%
Cash-on-cash
45.13%
DSCR
3.01
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.6%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$30,910
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
48.8%
Equity multiple
5.80×
Total profit
$80,462
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72206

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
127
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $207/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$631

Break-even live

Break-even rent $451
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $665 -5% $648 +0% $631 +5% $614 +10% $597
Rent -10% $532 -5% $581 +0% $631 +5% $680 +10% $730
Rate -1.0pp $661 -0.5pp $646 base $631 +0.5pp $615 +1.0pp $600

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4722 Springer Blvd Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 24d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,900 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,900 Active 9 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $59,900 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 New Listing 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,900 New Listing 3 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 New Listing 2 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    remarks 304-char remark
    Show marketing remark (304 chars)

    3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home conveniently located close to shopping, schools, restaurants, and other amenities. The home needs some repairs and updates, making it a great opportunity for an investor, handyman, or buyer looking to add their own personal touch. Plenty of potential at an affordable price.

  15. 2026-06-01
    listed $59,900 New Listing 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (304 chars)

    3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home conveniently located close to shopping, schools, restaurants, and other amenities. The home needs some repairs and updates, making it a great opportunity for an investor, handyman, or buyer looking to add their own personal touch. Plenty of potential at an affordable price.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$207 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$383 · $32/mo
Expected delta
+$176/yr (+$15/mo · 85.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,995
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$207
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,200
− Management
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$6,991
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,678
After-tax cash flow
$5,892/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pulaski County Spec. School District
NCES district ID
0511850
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$53,218
Composite
25.67/100
National rank
#7394
State rank
#150 of 238 in AR

Livability — College Station

Score
56/100
State rank
#389
US rank
#22871

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
College Station, AR
County
Pulaski County · 372,764 people
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
22,667
Household income
$52,132
Rent vs Own
29.3% rent · 70.7% own
Severe rent burden
623.0

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 43% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.64%
Current HPI
158.3601
Rent YoY
▲ 3.36%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $59,900 HSBOR
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $59,900 CARMLS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $207 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…