140 Stafford Ct · Fayetteville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.3/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great potential for this home that boasts a sparkling inground pool and gazebo style deck! Bring your decorating ideas and make this your own! 4th bedroom is bonus room. The main features a huge great room with wood burning fireplace and built in bookcases and a separate dining room or office space. Both feature plantation shutters. The kitchen features all appliances to include washer/dryer conveniently located along the hall from the kitchen to the great room. Upstairs you'll find the primary suite, two additional spacious bedrooms and a huge bonus room that would make a great playroom, work out space, 4th bedroom or just another living space for your lifestyle. You decide!!! Property bei
Key facts
- Built in bookcases
- Gazebo style deck
- Plantation shutters
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (2 parking spaces); Side/rear entrance; Kitchen-level access to garage
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: Single-family house; Two levels; Residential property (fixer condition)
- Construction: Built in 1987; Press board construction materials; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Porch; In-ground pool; Outbuilding; Backyard fencing (fenced); Greenbelt and level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Solid surface counters; Walk-in pantry; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Ice maker
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom (total 2.5 bathrooms)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Built-in bookcases; Double vanity; Separate shower; Walk-in closets; Bonus room; Great room; Crawl space basement; One fireplace with gas starter in the family room
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in hall; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $303k (13.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $303k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.3% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#86 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Inman Elementary (math 56% / reading 56%, grade C+, #165 of 1,228 statewide, top 14%, 663 students, 32% FRL); Whitewater Middle School (math 55% / reading 65%, grade B, #41 of 470 statewide, top 9%, 864 students, 20% FRL); Whitewater High School (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D-, #37 of 424 statewide, top 9%, 1,387 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 23% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($118k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $133k; list at $350k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.35%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $362,795
- List price
- $350,000
- Delta
- -3.53%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 Granby Ln | 0.19mi | 4/2.5 | 1,960 (-12%) | 1mo | $345,000 | $176 | 65 |
| 145 Bryson Ln | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 | 2,059 (-7%) | 4mo | $329,500 | $160 | 62 |
| 135 Bryson Ln | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 | 2,034 (-8%) | 8mo | $380,000 | $187 | 58 |
| 285 Wakefield Pl | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,111 (-5%) | 24mo | $290,000 | $137 | 54 |
| 175 Beacon Dr | 0.44mi | 4/3.5 | 2,382 (+8%) | 18mo | $355,000 | $149 | 50 |
| 215 Murphy Creek Ln | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 | 2,374 (+7%) | 12mo | $445,000 | $187 | 43 |
| 270 Merrydale Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,065 (-7%) | 12mo | $299,900 | $145 | 42 |
| 155 Granby Ln | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,901 (-14%) | 11mo | $350,000 | $184 | 42 |
| 105 Sheffield Ct | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,953 (-12%) | 20mo | $315,000 | $161 | 41 |
| 105 Drennan Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,024 (-9%) | 20mo | $370,000 | $183 | 39 |
| 370 Merrydale Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,934 (-13%) | 13mo | $325,000 | $168 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-43,917
- Equity at exit
- $52,186
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-20,099
- Equity at exit
- $30,262
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30215
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,031 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$221 /mo · $2,654/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$636
- Net cashflow
- $192
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $390 | -5% $291 | +0% $192 | +5% $93 | +10% $-6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-48 | -5% $72 | +0% $192 | +5% $311 | +10% $431 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $368 | -0.5pp $281 | base $192 | +0.5pp $101 | +1.0pp $9 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 Murphy Creek Ln Fayetteville, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $3,500 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 150 Bunny Ln Fayetteville, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $2,200 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 100 Brookwood Ln Fayetteville, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1662 | $6,500 | $3.91 | 11d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 200 Ridge Way Fayetteville, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2209 | $2,036 | $0.92 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 205 Kingswood Dr Fayetteville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $2,600 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $350,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $350,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $350,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $350,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $350,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $350,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $350,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $350,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $350,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $350,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $350,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $350,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $350,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $350,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-05$350,000 New 735-char remark
-
1994-03-16soldstatus $133,000
-
1990-08-27soldstatus $122,000
-
1990-05-01soldstatus $122,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,654 · $221/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,220 · $268/mo
- Expected delta
- +$566/yr (+$47/mo · 21.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$2,654
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,909
- − Management
- −$2,909
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable loss
- −$3,643
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$874
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,175/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County
- NCES district ID
- 1302130
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,746
- Composite
- 50.67/100
- National rank
- #1824
- State rank
- #7 of 174 in GA
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #86
- US rank
- #7167
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Fayette County · 112,821 people
- City population
- 72,287
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,476
- Household income
- $118,436
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 415.0
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,914 people
- By 2030
- 125,439 · +3.7%
- By 2040
- 132,378 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 137,123 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 156,091 · +29.1%
- By 2100
- 163,102 · +34.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 26% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 51.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +27.5pp toward D · 2008: -30.7pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+30.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.38%
- Current HPI
- 238.3395
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.22%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+186.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-05-20 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $350,000 GAMLS
- 1994-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $133,000 Public Records
- 1990-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
- 1990-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,654 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…