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5685 County Rd 14
D Composite 43.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.2/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.4/30.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.0/10.0

$214,900

5685 County Rd 14 · Waterloo, AL 35677
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,159 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 147 Days on market
Built 1967 1.00 ac lot $185/sqft · 40% below area Est $356k · 40% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fully renovated and ready for your clothes and your groceries! This 2-bedroom, 1-1/2 bath brick rancher is in move-in condition and like new! New roof and the HVAC, water heater, plumbing, and a lot of the electrical have all been updated and/or replaced. New floors, lighting, updated kitchen and bathrooms, etc. ! This home is situated on approximately 1 acre lot. Seller will provide a new boundary survey.

Key facts

  • Fully renovated
  • Updated bathrooms
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDNEW ROOFUPDATED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOMSAPPROXIMATELY 1 ACRE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-280 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (23.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (40.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (40.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#277 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lauderdale County (rural): math 19% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #53 of 129 in AL (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Underwood Elementary School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #392 of 627 statewide, top 65%, 325 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 37% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 164 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,113 (40.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.60%
Cap rate
4.73%
Cash-on-cash
-5.59%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
14.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$356,316
List price
$214,900
Delta
-39.69%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5425 Co Rd 14 0.26mi 2/1.0 1,000 (-14%) 4mo $114,000 $114 60
840 Co Rd 78 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,302 (+12%) 8mo $369,000 $283 43
850 County Road 90 0.58mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,035 (-11%) 9mo $350,000 $338 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$50,343
Equity at exit
$141,751
10-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
3.67×
Total profit
$160,398
Equity at exit
$263,009

Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35677

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
14.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,281 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $912/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$-280

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,636
Max offer price $165,359
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-159 -5% $-220 +0% $-280 +5% $-341 +10% $-402
Rent -10% $-382 -5% $-331 +0% $-280 +5% $-230 +10% $-179
Rate -1.0pp $-172 -0.5pp $-226 base $-280 +0.5pp $-336 +1.0pp $-393

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,725
Closing costs
$6,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $214,900 Active 147 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $214,900 Active 146 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $214,900 Active 145 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $214,900 Active 144 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $214,900 Active 143 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $214,900 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $214,900 Active 140 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $214,900 Active 138 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $214,900 Active 137 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $214,900 Active 136 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $214,900 Active 135 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $214,900 Active 132 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $214,900 Active 131 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $214,900 Active 130 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $214,900 Active 129 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $214,900 Active 128 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $214,900 Active 127 DOM
  18. 2026-05-19
    status Active 409-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Fully renovated and ready for your clothes and your groceries! This 2-bedroom, 1-1/2 bath brick rancher is in move-in condition and like new! New roof and the HVAC, water heater, plumbing, and a lot of the electrical have all been updated and/or replaced. New floors, lighting, updated kitchen and bathrooms, etc.! This home is situated on approximately 1 acre lot. Seller will provide a new boundary survey.

  19. 2026-05-19
    status Active 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Fully renovated and ready for your clothes and your groceries! This 2-bedroom, 1-1/2 bath brick rancher is in move-in condition and like new! New roof and the HVAC, water heater, plumbing, and a lot of the electrical have all been updated and/or replaced. New floors, lighting, updated kitchen and bathrooms, etc.! This home is situated on approximately 1 acre lot. Seller will provide a new boundary survey.

  20. 2026-05-19
    price $214,900 409-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Fully renovated and ready for your clothes and your groceries! This 2-bedroom, 1-1/2 bath brick rancher is in move-in condition and like new! New roof and the HVAC, water heater, plumbing, and a lot of the electrical have all been updated and/or replaced. New floors, lighting, updated kitchen and bathrooms, etc.! This home is situated on approximately 1 acre lot. Seller will provide a new boundary survey.

  21. 2026-05-19
    price $214,900 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Fully renovated and ready for your clothes and your groceries! This 2-bedroom, 1-1/2 bath brick rancher is in move-in condition and like new! New roof and the HVAC, water heater, plumbing, and a lot of the electrical have all been updated and/or replaced. New floors, lighting, updated kitchen and bathrooms, etc.! This home is situated on approximately 1 acre lot. Seller will provide a new boundary survey.

  22. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (409 chars)

    Fully renovated and ready for your clothes and your groceries! This 2-bedroom, 1-1/2 bath brick rancher is in move-in condition and like new! New roof and the HVAC, water heater, plumbing, and a lot of the electrical have all been updated and/or replaced. New floors, lighting, updated kitchen and bathrooms, etc. ! This home is situated on approximately 1 acre lot. Seller will provide a new boundary survey.

  23. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 409-char remark
    Show marketing remark (409 chars)

    Fully renovated and ready for your clothes and your groceries! This 2-bedroom, 1-1/2 bath brick rancher is in move-in condition and like new! New roof and the HVAC, water heater, plumbing, and a lot of the electrical have all been updated and/or replaced. New floors, lighting, updated kitchen and bathrooms, etc. ! This home is situated on approximately 1 acre lot. Seller will provide a new boundary survey.

  24. 2026-01-15
    listed $229,900 Active 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Fully renovated and ready for your clothes and your groceries! This 2-bedroom, 1-1/2 bath brick rancher is in move-in condition and like new! New roof and the HVAC, water heater, plumbing, and a lot of the electrical have all been updated and/or replaced. New floors, lighting, updated kitchen and bathrooms, etc.! This home is situated on approximately 1 acre lot. Seller will provide a new boundary survey.

  25. 2025-12-04
    listed $229,900 Active 409-char remark
    Show marketing remark (409 chars)

    Fully renovated and ready for your clothes and your groceries! This 2-bedroom, 1-1/2 bath brick rancher is in move-in condition and like new! New roof and the HVAC, water heater, plumbing, and a lot of the electrical have all been updated and/or replaced. New floors, lighting, updated kitchen and bathrooms, etc. ! This home is situated on approximately 1 acre lot. Seller will provide a new boundary survey.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$912 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$912 · $76/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,374
− Mortgage interest
−$12,038
− Property taxes
−$912
− Insurance
−$1,074
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,230
− Management
−$1,230
− Depreciation
−$6,252
Taxable loss
−$7,362
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,767
After-tax cash flow
$-1,598/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lauderdale County
NCES district ID
0102010
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -35.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,501
Composite
27.93/100
National rank
#6863
State rank
#53 of 129 in AL

Livability — Waterloo

Score
61/100
State rank
#277
US rank
#18440

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,874

Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,386 people
By 2030
93,634 · +0.3%
By 2040
93,114 · -0.3%
By 2050
91,586 · -1.9%
By 2075
88,667 · -5.1%
By 2100
81,098 · -13.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Serbian 4% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
0% · Vietnam

Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.8% · R 75.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -51.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.7 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+30.9 2008: R+28.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.49%
Current HPI
173.8023
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Relisted SAARMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Relisted REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $214,900 SAARMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $214,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-11 Pending REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-11 Pending SAARMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $229,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-04 Listed $229,900 SAARMLS

Property tax history

+14.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $912 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…