245 E Hudson St · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful Investment Opportunity. House was remodeled within last 3 years- ( roof and windows) last renter paid $1100 a month. Bedrooms and living room and extra room carpeted. 3 bedroom upstairs with remodeled bathroom on upper level. Living room and dining room and additional room carpeted with easy to maintain carpeting. Home includes appliances - and a large basement - for storage. Beautiful front porch-
Key facts
- Remodeled bathroom
- Front porch
- Large basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,100/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 911% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.60%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $54,138
- List price
- $68,000
- Delta
- 25.60%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255 E Pearl St | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,360 (+1%) | 1mo | $97,000 | $71 | 86 |
| 307 Majestic Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,309 (-3%) | 3mo | $91,000 | $70 | 77 |
| 18 W Oakland St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,396 (+4%) | 1mo | $114,000 | $82 | 74 |
| 330 E Lake St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,211 (-10%) | 3mo | $72,000 | $59 | 69 |
| 532 Dexter St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,307 (-3%) | 2mo | $62,000 | $47 | 63 |
| 232 E Oakland St | 0.09mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,541 (+15%) | 3mo | $37,000 | $24 | 62 |
| 312 W Oakland St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 2mo | $17,851 | $14 | 61 |
| 2742 Chestnut St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,312 (-2%) | 5mo | $43,000 | $33 | 61 |
| 324 Moss St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $49,000 | $34 | 54 |
| 3103 Cottage Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,194 (-11%) | 4mo | $58,000 | $49 | 52 |
| 3119 Mulberry St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,513 (+12%) | 3mo | $60,500 | $40 | 52 |
| 436 Elder Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,476 (+10%) | 2mo | $26,667 | $18 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $14,856
- Equity at exit
- $10,139
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $49,187
- Equity at exit
- $5,879
Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43608
- Home prices YoY
- -21.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$357
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,121/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $390
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,000
- Closing costs
- $2,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 E Hudson St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $1,100 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 424 E Lake St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1228 | $1,075 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 31 W Oakland St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,249 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 405 E Manhattan Blvd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 516 E Hudson St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,098 | $0.91 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 524 E Hudson St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $895 | $0.78 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 524 E Hudson St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $825 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 319 Dexter St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,005 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 227 Everett St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $850 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 329 Mettler St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $975 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 420 Everett St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $975 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 710 E Lake St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1242 | $1,000 | $0.81 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 152 Austin St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1370 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2621 Chestnut St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 225 Palmer St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $895 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 830 Homer Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $895 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 425 Boston Pl Unit A Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $895 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 610 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1409 | $1,050 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 614 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1581 | $1,075 | $0.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3606 Doyle St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,100 | $0.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1337 Moore St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1194 | $995 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2907 Rockwood Pl Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1494 | $1,100 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3905 Peru St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1548 | $1,300 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3439 Jeannette Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3950 Woodhaven Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $745 | $0.69 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 119 Winthrop St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1734 | $1,350 | $0.78 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4140 Caroline Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1378 | $1,650 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4220 Caroline Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,095 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4039 Vermaas Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4124 Vermaas Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1245 | $997 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4129 Vermaas Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1385 | $1,250 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1014 Berdan Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2131 Franklin Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $900 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3615 Berkeley Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,400 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 426 Beacon St Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 809 | $882 | $1.09 | 14d | 10 | 1.42mi |
| 401 W Bancroft St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $865 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 625 Virginia St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 625 Virginia St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1016 Mallett St Unit 1 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $900 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 4406 Asbury Dr Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,550 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $68,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $68,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $68,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $68,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $68,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $68,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $68,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $68,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $68,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $68,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $68,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $68,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $68,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $68,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $68,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-03-30$68,000 Active 413-char remark
Show marketing remark (413 chars)
Wonderful Investment Opportunity. House was remodeled within last 3 years- ( roof and windows) last renter paid $1100 a month. Bedrooms and living room and extra room carpeted. 3 bedroom upstairs with remodeled bathroom on upper level. Living room and dining room and additional room carpeted with easy to maintain carpeting. Home includes appliances - and a large basement - for storage. Beautiful front porch-
-
2025-10-09price $67,000 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
Clean and updated throughout. New roof and windows, fresh paint and new carpeting throughout. Living room, den, large dining room and kitchen on main level. 3 bedrooms and full bathroom on second level. 2-car detached garage. Basement recently painted. Move in ready!
-
2024-06-11soldstatus $67,000
-
2024-06-10soldstatus $67,000 Closed 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
Clean and updated throughout. New roof and windows, fresh paint and new carpeting throughout. Living room, den, large dining room and kitchen on main level. 3 bedrooms and full bathroom on second level. 2-car detached garage. Basement recently painted. Move in ready!
-
2024-05-29status Pending 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
Clean and updated throughout. New roof and windows, fresh paint and new carpeting throughout. Living room, den, large dining room and kitchen on main level. 3 bedrooms and full bathroom on second level. 2-car detached garage. Basement recently painted. Move in ready!
-
2024-04-24historical Contingent 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
Clean and updated throughout. New roof and windows, fresh paint and new carpeting throughout. Living room, den, large dining room and kitchen on main level. 3 bedrooms and full bathroom on second level. 2-car detached garage. Basement recently painted. Move in ready!
-
2024-04-12$69,900 Active 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
Clean and updated throughout. New roof and windows, fresh paint and new carpeting throughout. Living room, den, large dining room and kitchen on main level. 3 bedrooms and full bathroom on second level. 2-car detached garage. Basement recently painted. Move in ready!
-
2011-06-30soldstatus $5,500
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2011-06-07price $5,500
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2011-04-20$800
-
1993-09-17soldstatus $29,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,121 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,121 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,195
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,809
- − Property taxes
- −$1,121
- − Insurance
- −$340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$1,978
- Taxable income
- $3,836
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$921
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,763/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,593
- Household income
- $29,275
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 911.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 25% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.73%
- Current HPI
- 139.4964
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.89%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+134.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listed $68,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $67,000 NORIS
- 2024-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 2024-06-10 Sold (MLS) $67,000 NORIS
- 2024-05-29 Pending — NORIS
- 2024-04-24 Contingent — NORIS
- 2024-04-12 Listed $69,900 NORIS
- 2011-06-30 Sold (MLS) $5,500 NORIS
- 2011-06-07 Price Changed $5,500 NORIS
- 2011-04-20 Listed $800 NORIS
- 1993-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,121 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…