1108 NE Water St · Victoria, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity for a first-time buyer, investor, or anyone looking for low-maintenance living! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 520 sqft of functional space plus a utility room for added convenience. Located within 5 minutes of downtown Victoria, with quick access to shopping, dining, and local amenities.
Key facts
- Utility room
- 2,731 sq ft lot
- Built 1904
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: City lot, less than quarter acre; Asphalt road
- Financial info: No financial or investor details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public trash collection
- Home design: Single-story; Resale property
- Construction: Wood siding exterior; Shingle / composition roof; Slab foundation; Year built source: Assessor
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; No additional exterior features listed
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen details provided
- Bedrooms: No bedrooms listed
- Flooring: Concrete
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window heating unit; One cooling unit
- Interior features: Concrete floors; No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room / laundry in utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $204 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($828 rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.7% in Victoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#309 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Victoria ISD (urban): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #645 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 43 units permitted in Victoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Victoria County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.68%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-610
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $6,815
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77901
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $828 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $713/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$174
- Net cashflow
- $204
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1002 Pine St Victoria, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $575 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 305 E Brazos St Victoria, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 380 | $725 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1303 E Colorado St Victoria, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $675 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1603 E Brazos St Victoria, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 796 | $975 | $1.22 | 43d | 6 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19$79,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $713 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,263 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$549/yr (+$46/mo · 77.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,937
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$713
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$795
- − Management
- −$795
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $1,416
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$340
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,110/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Victoria ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844150
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,534
- Composite
- 24.98/100
- National rank
- #7562
- State rank
- #645 of 826 in TX
Livability — Victoria
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #309
- US rank
- #6960
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Victoria, TX
- County
- Victoria County · 69,915 people
- City population
- 69,915
- Metro
- Victoria, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,854
- Household income
- $57,923
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1802.0
Population outlook (Victoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,119 people
- By 2030
- 113,161 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 127,402 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 141,953 · +33.8%
- By 2075
- 179,410 · +69.1%
- By 2100
- 200,127 · +88.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 66% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 60%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 35% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Victoria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.6) · D 28.4% · R 71.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.6 2020: R+38.0 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+33.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.62%
- Current HPI
- 138.3569
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.79%
- Metro
- Victoria, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $79,900 CTXMLS
Property tax history
+12.5%/yrLatest (2025): $713 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…