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1108 NE Water St
C+ Composite 62.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

1108 NE Water St · Victoria, TX 77901
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 520 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1904 2,731 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity for a first-time buyer, investor, or anyone looking for low-maintenance living! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 520 sqft of functional space plus a utility room for added convenience. Located within 5 minutes of downtown Victoria, with quick access to shopping, dining, and local​​‌​​​​‌​​‌‌​‌‌​​​‌‌​​‌​​​‌‌​​‌​ amenities.

Key facts

  • Utility room
  • 2,731 sq ft lot
  • Built 1904

Tags

UTILITY ROOMQUICK ACCESS TO SHOPPINGQUICK ACCESS TO DINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: City lot, less than quarter acre; Asphalt road
  • Financial info: No financial or investor details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA information provided

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public trash collection
  • Home design: Single-story; Resale property
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Shingle / composition roof; Slab foundation; Year built source: Assessor
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; No additional exterior features listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen details provided
  • Bedrooms: No bedrooms listed
  • Flooring: Concrete
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window heating unit; One cooling unit
  • Interior features: Concrete floors; No additional interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room / laundry in utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $204 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($828 rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.7% in Victoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#309 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Victoria ISD (urban): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #645 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 43 units permitted in Victoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Victoria County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.84%
Cash-on-cash
12.68%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-610
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$6,815
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77901

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$828 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $713/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$174
Net cashflow
$204

Break-even live

Break-even rent $570
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1002 Pine St Victoria, TX 1.0 1.0 650 $575 $0.88 43d 1 0.85mi
305 E Brazos St Victoria, TX 1.0 1.0 380 $725 $1.91 43d 1 1.25mi
1303 E Colorado St Victoria, TX 2.0 1.0 525 $675 $1.29 43d 1 1.28mi
1603 E Brazos St Victoria, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 796 $975 $1.22 43d 6 1.41mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,000 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,000 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,000 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,000 Active 11 DOM
  17. 2026-05-19
    listed $79,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$713 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,263 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$549/yr (+$46/mo · 77.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,937
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$713
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$795
− Management
−$795
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$1,416
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$340
After-tax cash flow
$2,110/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Victoria ISD
NCES district ID
4844150
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$50,534
Composite
24.98/100
National rank
#7562
State rank
#645 of 826 in TX

Livability — Victoria

Score
71/100
State rank
#309
US rank
#6960

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Victoria, TX
County
Victoria County · 69,915 people
City population
69,915
Metro
Victoria, TX
Population (ZIP)
39,854
Household income
$57,923
Rent vs Own
46.5% rent · 53.5% own
Severe rent burden
1802.0

Population outlook (Victoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
106,119 people
By 2030
113,161 · +6.6%
By 2040
127,402 · +20.1%
By 2050
141,953 · +33.8%
By 2075
179,410 · +69.1%
By 2100
200,127 · +88.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 66% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 60%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 35% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Victoria

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.6) · D 28.4% · R 71.0%
2008→2024 swing
-9.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -42.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.6 2020: R+38.0 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+33.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -127.62%
Current HPI
138.3569
Rent YoY
▼ -0.79%
Metro
Victoria, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $79,900 CTXMLS

Property tax history

+12.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $713 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…