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881 N Lake #219
B+ Composite 76.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

881 N Lake #219 · Hemet, CA 92544
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1975 $52/sqft · 27% below area Est $89k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious 55+ home offers incredible potential and has already seen many renovations, with just more finishing touches left to make it your own. Sitting on an oversized lot and a half, it provides more outdoor space than most—perfect for creating your dream garden or enjoying relaxing gatherings with friends. Inside, you’ll find 2 generously sized bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, with each bedroom featuring its own private bath for added comfort and convenience. An additional bonus room offers flexibility for a home office, craft space, or hobby room. Located in desirable East Hemet, this property combines space, versatility, and opportunity—don’t miss your chance to make it yours!

Key facts

  • Dream garden
  • Private bath
  • Bonus room

Tags

OVERSIZED LOTBONUS ROOMPRIVATE BATHDREAM GARDEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.6% vs local median 4.8% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $65k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.77%
Cap rate
25.55%
Cash-on-cash
68.78%
DSCR
4.06
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$88,623
List price
$65,000
Delta
-26.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
881 Lake Street Space 253 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-4%) 2mo $80,000 $67 86
881 N Lake St #204 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 3mo $75,000 $56 83
880 Lake St N #81 0.11mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 8mo $98,000 $73 75
881 N Lake St #357 0.05mi 2/1.0 1,100 (-12%) 1mo $45,999 $42 74
24600 Mountain Ave #63 0.30mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 1mo $39,000 $29 73
880 N Lake St #49 0.21mi 2/2.5 1,344 (+8%) 7mo $103,000 $77 69
880 N LAKE St #111 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,188 (-5%) 10mo $112,000 $94 68
24600 Mountain Ave #66 0.30mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 6mo $129,900 $97 68
24600 Mountain Ave #30 0.30mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 11mo $95,000 $71 64
24600 Mountain Ave #136 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (-8%) 14mo $93,500 $81 56
24844 Wendell Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,380 (+11%) 14mo $340,000 $246 40
43357 Nola St 0.74mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 16mo $300,000 $223 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
70.3%
Equity multiple
4.26×
Total profit
$59,396
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
74.8%
Equity multiple
9.36×
Total profit
$152,164
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92544

Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
327
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,800 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$11 /mo · $130/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$1,043

Break-even live

Break-even rent $480
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,080 -5% $1,062 +0% $1,043 +5% $950 +10% $928
Rent -10% $901 -5% $972 +0% $1,043 +5% $1,114 +10% $1,185
Rate -1.0pp $1,076 -0.5pp $1,060 base $1,043 +0.5pp $1,026 +1.0pp $1,009

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1939 Hooper Dr San Jacinto, CA 2.0 2.0 1111 $1,950 $1.76 25d 1 0.77mi
43170 Wall St Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1140 $1,895 $1.66 4d 1 0.78mi
43435 Nola St Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,950 $1.30 25d 1 0.79mi
25564 Sharp Dr Unit F Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 832 $1,475 $1.77 44d 1 0.81mi
43611 Florida Ave Unit 10 Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 850 $1,550 $1.82 44d 1 1.19mi
43601 California 74 Unit 17 Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 840 $1,400 $1.67 25d 1 1.29mi
43601 E Florida Ave #98 Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 840 $1,400 $1.67 25d 1 1.30mi
43601 E Florida Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 960 $1,550 $1.61 44d 1 1.30mi
43601 E Florida Ave Unit 43 Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 44d 1 1.30mi
43601 E Florida Ave #98 Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 44d 1 1.30mi
43601 E Florida Ave Unit 43 Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 960 $1,450 $1.51 25d 1 1.30mi
41900 Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,800 $2.12 44d 1 1.31mi
43816 C St Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1040 $2,250 $2.16 25d 1 1.34mi
26123 Anawood Pl Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 991 $1,680 $1.70 44d 1 1.36mi
26097 Doverwood Pl Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 1019 $1,849 $1.81 44d 1 1.39mi
26111 Doverwood Pl Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 1252 $1,849 $1.48 13d 1 1.40mi
41818 Acacia East Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,850 $1.85 16d 1 1.41mi
41611 Marine Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,700 $1.62 13d 1 1.46mi
41541 Marine Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,700 $1.70 13d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 57 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-04-08
    listed $65,000 Active 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    This spacious 55+ home offers incredible potential and has already seen many renovations, with just more finishing touches left to make it your own. Sitting on an oversized lot and a half, it provides more outdoor space than most—perfect for creating your dream garden or enjoying relaxing gatherings with friends. Inside, you’ll find 2 generously sized bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, with each bedroom featuring its own private bath for added comfort and convenience. An additional bonus room offers flexibility for a home office, craft space, or hobby room. Located in desirable East Hemet, this property combines space, versatility, and opportunity—don’t miss your chance to make it yours!

  16. 2022-11-04
    soldstatus $30,000 Closed Sale 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    THIS FIXER-UPPER HAS GREAT POTENTIAL!!! MOTIVATED OWNERS - BRING YOUR BEST OFFER!!! Located in a great area right off Ramona Expressway. Both bedrooms have their own bathroom. Smaller bedroom has a walk-in shower. Large open living room. Dining room has beautiful built-in hutch. Small add-on enclosed patio not included in square footage. Large side yard for an in-park home. Two sheds. Refrigerator, washer and dryer are included. FYI: This home is a fixer-upper and is priced accordingly. Home is being sold AS-IS. Prospective buyers need to be park approved. Park rent is $595/mo plus utilities. This is a senior 55+ community.

  17. 2022-09-29
    status Pending Sale 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    THIS FIXER-UPPER HAS GREAT POTENTIAL!!! MOTIVATED OWNERS - BRING YOUR BEST OFFER!!! Located in a great area right off Ramona Expressway. Both bedrooms have their own bathroom. Smaller bedroom has a walk-in shower. Large open living room. Dining room has beautiful built-in hutch. Small add-on enclosed patio not included in square footage. Large side yard for an in-park home. Two sheds. Refrigerator, washer and dryer are included. FYI: This home is a fixer-upper and is priced accordingly. Home is being sold AS-IS. Prospective buyers need to be park approved. Park rent is $595/mo plus utilities. This is a senior 55+ community.

  18. 2022-08-01
    listed $40,000 Active 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    THIS FIXER-UPPER HAS GREAT POTENTIAL!!! MOTIVATED OWNERS - BRING YOUR BEST OFFER!!! Located in a great area right off Ramona Expressway. Both bedrooms have their own bathroom. Smaller bedroom has a walk-in shower. Large open living room. Dining room has beautiful built-in hutch. Small add-on enclosed patio not included in square footage. Large side yard for an in-park home. Two sheds. Refrigerator, washer and dryer are included. FYI: This home is a fixer-upper and is priced accordingly. Home is being sold AS-IS. Prospective buyers need to be park approved. Park rent is $595/mo plus utilities. This is a senior 55+ community.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$130 · $11/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$494 · $41/mo
Expected delta
+$364/yr (+$30/mo · 278.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,600
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$130
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,728
− Management
−$1,728
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$12,156
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,918
After-tax cash flow
$9,600/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hemet Unified
NCES district ID
0616920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$39,962
Composite
25.16/100
National rank
#7517
State rank
#360 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

Score
51/100
State rank
#1056
US rank
#25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemet, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
137,670
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
51,751
Household income
$73,596
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
1518.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 49% White 40% Two or more races 18% Black 5% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 43% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -219.06%
Current HPI
391.972
Rent YoY
▲ 4.90%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+62.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $65,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-11-04 Sold (MLS) $30,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-09-29 Pending CRMLS
  • 2022-08-01 Listed $40,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $130 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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