512 Cherokee St · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,526 square feet—perfect for a first-time homebuyer, those looking to downsize, or investors seeking a solid addition to their rental portfolio. This property features beautiful hardwood flooring throughout and a spacious kitchen with ample countertop and cabinet space, ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Major updates provide peace of mind, with the seller noting the HVAC system is just 1 year old and the roof is approximately 6 years old. The home has been well cared for and includes a handicap-accessible ramp, adding convenience and accessibility. Whether you’re starting out, simplifying your lifestyle, or expanding your investment portfolio, this property is a great opportunity you won’t want to miss!
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Roof
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $694 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 174 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.03%
- DSCR
- 2.56
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $65,936
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- 28.76%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1809 Calmes St | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,420 (-7%) | 0mo | $45,000 | $32 | 70 |
| 603 Glenwood St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (-8%) | 4mo | $137,000 | $98 | 66 |
| 1017 Houston St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,435 (-6%) | 3mo | $24,900 | $17 | 65 |
| 417 Crenshaw St | 0.42mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,426 (-7%) | 3mo | $48,000 | $34 | 62 |
| 1910 Hunter Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 1,462 (-4%) | 4mo | $310,000 | $212 | 60 |
| 123 Williams Ct | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,507 (-1%) | 5mo | $290,000 | $192 | 59 |
| 2153 Old Government St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,558 (+2%) | 2mo | $209,900 | $135 | 58 |
| 110 Houston St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,576 (+3%) | 4mo | $317,500 | $201 | 55 |
| 313 Morgan Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,667 (+9%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $75 | 48 |
| 273 Park Ter | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,720 (+13%) | 5mo | $435,000 | $253 | 46 |
| 271 Park Ter | 0.54mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,710 (+12%) | 3mo | $289,500 | $169 | 41 |
| 159 Williams St | 0.65mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,700 (+11%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $156 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $33,629
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 40.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.20×
- Total profit
- $99,866
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36606
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 174
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,522 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $335/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $694
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $742 | -5% $718 | +0% $694 | +5% $670 | +10% $646 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $574 | -5% $634 | +0% $694 | +5% $754 | +10% $814 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $737 | -0.5pp $715 | base $694 | +0.5pp $672 | +1.0pp $649 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 561 Dauphin Island Pkwy Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $1,050 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 611 Dauphin Island Pkwy Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 706 Cherokee St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,375 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 562 Clarke St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $1,025 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 618 Clarke St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1427 | $1,200 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 615 Mohawk St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 209 S Fulton St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1255 | $1,750 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 182 Williams St Unit 1043570P Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1399 | $2,476 | $1.77 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 122 Demouy Ave Unit 1/2 Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,530 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 412 Pinehill Dr Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,450 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1660 Laurel St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $2,200 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2068 Victory Ct Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1259 | $1,225 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1704 McGill Ave Unit B Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 107 Macy Pl Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 713 Iris Ave Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1617 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 817 Hawkins St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1217 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1417 Monroe St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 84 S Lafayette St Unit 1043577P Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,116 | $2.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2507 Taylor Ave Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $1,495 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 200 S Florida St Unit 101 Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,375 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1566 Dauphin St Unit Back Carriage House Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1204 Seneca St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,345 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 418 Durande Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,350 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 129 Shell Road Pl Unit 1043713P Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,389 | $2.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 955 Cloverdale Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $1,125 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 107 Grand Blvd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $84,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $94,900 808-char remark
Show marketing remark (808 chars)
Charming and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,526 square feet—perfect for a first-time homebuyer, those looking to downsize, or investors seeking a solid addition to their rental portfolio. This property features beautiful hardwood flooring throughout and a spacious kitchen with ample countertop and cabinet space, ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Major updates provide peace of mind, with the seller noting the HVAC system is just 1 year old and the roof is approximately 6 years old. The home has been well cared for and includes a handicap-accessible ramp, adding convenience and accessibility. Whether you’re starting out, simplifying your lifestyle, or expanding your investment portfolio, this property is a great opportunity you won’t want to miss!
-
2026-04-21$99,900 Active 808-char remark
Show marketing remark (808 chars)
Charming and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,526 square feet—perfect for a first-time homebuyer, those looking to downsize, or investors seeking a solid addition to their rental portfolio. This property features beautiful hardwood flooring throughout and a spacious kitchen with ample countertop and cabinet space, ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Major updates provide peace of mind, with the seller noting the HVAC system is just 1 year old and the roof is approximately 6 years old. The home has been well cared for and includes a handicap-accessible ramp, adding convenience and accessibility. Whether you’re starting out, simplifying your lifestyle, or expanding your investment portfolio, this property is a great opportunity you won’t want to miss!
-
2015-01-26soldstatus $167,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $335 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $348 · $29/mo
- Expected delta
- +$13/yr (+$1/mo · 3.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,264
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$335
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,461
- − Management
- −$1,461
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $7,357
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,766
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,561/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,728
- Household income
- $51,303
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 999.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (56%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% White 37% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -232.19%
- Current HPI
- 145.9025
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.06%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-43.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $94,900 GCMLS AL
- 2026-04-21 Listed $99,900 GCMLS AL
- 2015-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $167,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…