514 Ranger Park Ct · Four Corners, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
$179,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Welcome to a thoughtfully updated home in the heart of Polo Park, a 55+ community where you truly own your land. This RARE gem stands out with a spacious GARAGE that fits both a full-size vehicle and golf cart, adding extra security and storage! Plus a CLIMATE- CONTROLLED SUNROOM that adds flexible living space year-round. Inside, enjoy a bright, open feel with new flooring, upgraded cabinetry, and solid surface counters that give the kitchen and living area a clean, modern edge. Both bathrooms have been fully refreshed—new sinks, toilets, faucets, and stylish finishes throughout, including new tile in the main bath. Step outside and exp
Key facts
- Low hoa fees
- Spacious garage
- Two heated pools
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Quarterly association fee covers pool and recreational facilities; Directions: HWY 192 to HWY 27 south. Turn right at first set of lights onto Polo Park Blvd to Ranger Park Ct then turn left to property.
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: HOA required (monthly fee $60; quarterly fee $180); Association includes pool and recreational facilities; Community clubhouse, fitness center, golf, pool, tennis courts; Deed restrictions; Golf carts allowed; Senior community; Pets allowed with breed restrictions; Association contact: Kathy Andrews; Total monthly fees listed as $60 and total annual fees $720
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Garage with garage door opener; Attached 1-car garage
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single level; Faces west; Homestead exempt
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal and shingle roof; Crawlspace with pillar/post/pier foundation; Built in 1 story (single level)
- Exterior features: French doors; Sliding doors; Exterior lighting; Private mailbox; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Solid surface counters; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments; Smoke detector(s); 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (8.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (17.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $149k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.2% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#453 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 646 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $148 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 422 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $180k implies a 157% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 422 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.03%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.61% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-20,107
- Equity at exit
- $46,851
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-23,184
- Equity at exit
- $52,158
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33897
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Rents YoY
- -2.7%
- Active inventory
- 646
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,487 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,167/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$60
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $-85
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2306 Fan Palm Dr Unit B Davenport, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $900 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 613 Coconut Palm Way Unit 613 Davenport, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,000 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 623 Coconut Palm Way Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 308 Australian Way Unit B Davenport, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,100 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 308 Australian Way Davenport, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,100 | $1.83 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 217 Australian Way Unit B Davenport, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,100 | $1.83 | 2d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2929 Fan Palm Dr Unit 1 Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1090 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2929 Fan Palm Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1090 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 232 Nesbitt Park Ave Davenport, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,325 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1325 Washington Palm Loop Davenport, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,000 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 621 Washington Palm Loop Unit Lockout Davenport, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,000 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 223 Washington Palm Loop Unit B Davenport, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $1,000 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 601 Washington Palm Loop Unit B Davenport, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 130 Orlando Breeze Cir Davenport, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $2,097 | $2.05 | 14d | 21 | 0.44mi |
| 1000 Western Breeze Cir Davenport, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1350 | $2,448 | $1.81 | 14d | 83 | 0.54mi |
| 2010 Limetta DR Davenport, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1178 | $1,970 | $1.67 | 3d | 15 | 0.75mi |
| 50989 Highway 27 #108 Davenport, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1000 Ketner St Davenport, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1057 | $1,746 | $1.65 | 3d | 22 | 0.88mi |
| 218 Haversham Way Davenport, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $600 | $0.76 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 130 Town Center Blvd Clermont, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 904 | $1,890 | $2.09 | 2d | 19 | 1.11mi |
| 183 Ashbourne Way Davenport, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1039 | $1,822 | $1.75 | 3d | 35 | 1.21mi |
| 145 Town Center Blvd Clermont, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1029 | $1,850 | $1.80 | 2d | 22 | 1.24mi |
| 9000 US Highway 192 #929 Clermont, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 674 | $1,350 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 774 Chelsea Dr Davenport, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 988 | $1,750 | $1.77 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 807 Chelsea Dr Davenport, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1076 | $1,450 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $60 · $720/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,999 Active 422 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,999 Active 421 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,999 Active 420 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,999 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,999 Active 416 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,999 Active 414 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,999 Active 413 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,999 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $179,999
-
2025-12-03price $185,000
-
2025-11-07price $199,000
-
2025-11-03status Active
-
2025-10-31historical
-
2025-05-19price $199,999
-
2025-04-11$215,000 Active
-
2016-11-18soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,167 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,167 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,838
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,167
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,427
- − Management
- −$1,427
- − HOA
- −$720
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$4,122
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$989
- After-tax cash flow
- $-33/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Four Corners
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #453
- US rank
- #8218
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- City population
- 27,422
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,159
- Household income
- $70,982
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 926.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 12% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 21% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 34% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.61%
- Current HPI
- 236.2905
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.69%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+157.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $179,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $199,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-03 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-19 Price Changed $199,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-11 Listed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,167 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…