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D Composite 40.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.8/5.0

$179,999

514 Ranger Park Ct · Four Corners, FL 33897
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 896 sqft · Manufactured public records · 422 Days on market
Built 1987 5,990 sqft lot $60/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Welcome to a thoughtfully updated home in the heart of Polo Park, a 55+ community where you truly own your land. This RARE gem stands out with a spacious GARAGE that fits both a full-size vehicle and golf cart, adding extra security and storage! Plus a CLIMATE- CONTROLLED SUNROOM that adds flexible living space year-round. Inside, enjoy a bright, open feel with new flooring, upgraded cabinetry, and solid surface counters that give the kitchen and living area a clean, modern edge. Both bathrooms have been fully refreshed—new sinks, toilets, faucets, and stylish finishes throughout, including new tile in the main bath. Step outside and exp

Key facts

  • Low hoa fees
  • Spacious garage
  • Two heated pools

Tags

SPACIOUS GARAGECLIMATE CONTROLLED SUNROOMFULLY REFRESHED BATHROOMSTWO HEATED POOLSDEDICATED DOG WALK AREALOW HOA FEES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Quarterly association fee covers pool and recreational facilities; Directions: HWY 192 to HWY 27 south. Turn right at first set of lights onto Polo Park Blvd to Ranger Park Ct then turn left to property.
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: HOA required (monthly fee $60; quarterly fee $180); Association includes pool and recreational facilities; Community clubhouse, fitness center, golf, pool, tennis courts; Deed restrictions; Golf carts allowed; Senior community; Pets allowed with breed restrictions; Association contact: Kathy Andrews; Total monthly fees listed as $60 and total annual fees $720

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Garage with garage door opener; Attached 1-car garage
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single level; Faces west; Homestead exempt
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal and shingle roof; Crawlspace with pillar/post/pier foundation; Built in 1 story (single level)
  • Exterior features: French doors; Sliding doors; Exterior lighting; Private mailbox; Storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Solid surface counters; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments; Smoke detector(s); 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (8.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (17.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $149k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.2% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#453 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 646 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $148 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 422 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $180k implies a 157% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $148,651 (17.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 422 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.03%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.61% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-20,107
Equity at exit
$46,851
10-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-23,184
Equity at exit
$52,158

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33897

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Rents YoY
-2.7%
Active inventory
646
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,487 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$181 /mo · $2,167/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$60
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$312
Net cashflow
$-85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,594
Max offer price $164,947
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2306 Fan Palm Dr Unit B Davenport, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $900 $1.50 23d 1 0.12mi
613 Coconut Palm Way Unit 613 Davenport, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,000 $1.67 3d 1 0.16mi
623 Coconut Palm Way Davenport, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,650 $1.50 23d 1 0.16mi
308 Australian Way Unit B Davenport, FL 1.0 1.0 650 $1,100 $1.69 14d 1 0.20mi
308 Australian Way Davenport, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,100 $1.83 3d 1 0.20mi
217 Australian Way Unit B Davenport, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,100 $1.83 2d 1 0.20mi
2929 Fan Palm Dr Unit 1 Davenport, FL 3.0 2.5 1090 $1,600 $1.47 14d 1 0.22mi
2929 Fan Palm Dr Davenport, FL 3.0 3.0 1090 $1,600 $1.47 14d 1 0.22mi
232 Nesbitt Park Ave Davenport, FL 2.0 2.0 864 $1,325 $1.53 23d 1 0.25mi
1325 Washington Palm Loop Davenport, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,000 $1.67 3d 1 0.29mi
621 Washington Palm Loop Unit Lockout Davenport, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,000 $1.67 23d 1 0.36mi
223 Washington Palm Loop Unit B Davenport, FL 1.0 1.0 745 $1,000 $1.34 23d 1 0.36mi
601 Washington Palm Loop Unit B Davenport, FL 1.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 23d 1 0.36mi
130 Orlando Breeze Cir Davenport, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1022 $2,097 $2.05 14d 21 0.44mi
1000 Western Breeze Cir Davenport, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1350 $2,448 $1.81 14d 83 0.54mi
2010 Limetta DR Davenport, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1178 $1,970 $1.67 3d 15 0.75mi
50989 Highway 27 #108 Davenport, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 21d 1 0.83mi
1000 Ketner St Davenport, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1057 $1,746 $1.65 3d 22 0.88mi
218 Haversham Way Davenport, FL 1.0 1.0 785 $600 $0.76 23d 1 0.99mi
130 Town Center Blvd Clermont, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 904 $1,890 $2.09 2d 19 1.11mi
183 Ashbourne Way Davenport, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1039 $1,822 $1.75 3d 35 1.21mi
145 Town Center Blvd Clermont, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1029 $1,850 $1.80 2d 22 1.24mi
9000 US Highway 192 #929 Clermont, FL 1.0 1.0 674 $1,350 $2.00 23d 1 1.34mi
774 Chelsea Dr Davenport, FL 2.0 2.5 988 $1,750 $1.77 23d 1 1.36mi
807 Chelsea Dr Davenport, FL 2.0 2.5 1076 $1,450 $1.35 23d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$60 · $720/yr
Likely covers
security

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $179,999 Active 422 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,999 Active 421 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,999 Active 420 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,999 Active 419 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,999 Active 416 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,999 Active 414 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,999 Active 413 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,999 Active 412 DOM
  9. 2026-04-23
    price $179,999
  10. 2025-12-03
    price $185,000
  11. 2025-11-07
    price $199,000
  12. 2025-11-03
    status Active
  13. 2025-10-31
    historical
  14. 2025-05-19
    price $199,999
  15. 2025-04-11
    listed $215,000 Active
  16. 2016-11-18
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,167 · $181/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,167 · $181/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,838
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$2,167
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,427
− Management
−$1,427
− HOA
−$720
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable loss
−$4,122
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$989
After-tax cash flow
$-33/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk
NCES district ID
1201590
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,979
Composite
34.74/100
National rank
#5132
State rank
#62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Four Corners

Score
69/100
State rank
#453
US rank
#8218

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Polk County · 740,051 people
City population
27,422
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Population (ZIP)
30,159
Household income
$70,982
Rent vs Own
26.8% rent · 73.2% own
Severe rent burden
926.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
752,975 people
By 2030
804,621 · +6.9%
By 2040
906,117 · +20.3%
By 2050
1,000,476 · +32.9%
By 2075
1,197,520 · +59.0%
By 2100
1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 12% Black 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 21% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 34% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.61%
Current HPI
236.2905
Rent YoY
▼ -2.69%
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+157.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $179,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $199,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-03 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-19 Price Changed $199,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-11 Listed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,167 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…