101 Robindale Ln · Villa Rica, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
$279,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This well-kept 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious .74-acre lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you'll find a simple, functional layout that's been well maintained and is move-in ready for its next owners. The finished basement/bonus room provides extra living space perfect for a family room, home office, playroom, or guest area. The home has a comfortable, easy-to-care-for feel, making it a great option for buyers looking for a solid home they can make their own. With a quiet setting, generous yard space, and room to grow, this property is ready for a new family to call it home. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and local amenities.
Key facts
- Quiet setting
- Spacious lot
- Finished basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-279 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $230k (17.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (32.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (32.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 4.0% in Villa Rica — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#224 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Carroll County (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 174 in GA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 876 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Carroll County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $280k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.27%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $271,081
- List price
- $279,500
- Delta
- 3.11%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 Greentree Trl | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (+8%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $186 | 82 |
| 154 Pebblebrook Way | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (-1%) | 9mo | $255,000 | $204 | 75 |
| 147 Camp Godwin Rd | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (+7%) | 3mo | $80,000 | $59 | 71 |
| 180 Pebblebrook Way | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,249 (-1%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $200 | 69 |
| 298 Greentree Trl | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,317 (+4%) | 8mo | $224,000 | $170 | 66 |
| 202 Greentree Trl | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,429 (+13%) | 16mo | $280,000 | $196 | 58 |
| 110 E Ranchette Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (+12%) | 12mo | $327,000 | $231 | 50 |
| 76 E Ranchette Rd | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+11%) | 16mo | $277,977 | $199 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $134,421
- Equity at exit
- $251,796
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.23×
- Total profit
- $409,667
- Equity at exit
- $543,007
Cash invested: $78,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30179
- Home prices YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,901 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,466
- Tax from tax record
- −$198 /mo · $2,373/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $-279
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,875
- Closing costs
- $8,385
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76 E Ranchette Rd Temple, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,500 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $279,500 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $279,500 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $279,500 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $279,500 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $279,500 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $279,500 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $279,500 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $285,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $285,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $285,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $285,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-05-16price $284,500 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
This well-kept 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious .74-acre lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you'll find a simple, functional layout that's been well maintained and is move-in ready for its next owners. The finished basement/bonus room provides extra living space perfect for a family room, home office, playroom, or guest area. The home has a comfortable, easy-to-care-for feel, making it a great option for buyers looking for a solid home they can make their own. With a quiet setting, generous yard space, and room to grow, this property is ready for a new family to call it home. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and local amenities.
-
2026-04-16price $285,000 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
This well-kept 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious .74-acre lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you'll find a simple, functional layout that's been well maintained and is move-in ready for its next owners. The finished basement/bonus room provides extra living space perfect for a family room, home office, playroom, or guest area. The home has a comfortable, easy-to-care-for feel, making it a great option for buyers looking for a solid home they can make their own. With a quiet setting, generous yard space, and room to grow, this property is ready for a new family to call it home. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and local amenities.
-
2026-04-15price $285,000 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
This well-kept 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious .74-acre lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you'll find a simple, functional layout that's been well maintained and is move-in ready for its next owners. The finished basement/bonus room provides extra living space perfect for a family room, home office, playroom, or guest area. The home has a comfortable, easy-to-care-for feel, making it a great option for buyers looking for a solid home they can make their own. With a quiet setting, generous yard space, and room to grow, this property is ready for a new family to call it home. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and local amenities.
-
2026-03-31price $295,000 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
This well-kept 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious .74-acre lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you'll find a simple, functional layout that's been well maintained and is move-in ready for its next owners. The finished basement/bonus room provides extra living space perfect for a family room, home office, playroom, or guest area. The home has a comfortable, easy-to-care-for feel, making it a great option for buyers looking for a solid home they can make their own. With a quiet setting, generous yard space, and room to grow, this property is ready for a new family to call it home. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and local amenities.
-
2026-03-31price $295,000 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
This well-kept 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious .74-acre lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you'll find a simple, functional layout that's been well maintained and is move-in ready for its next owners. The finished basement/bonus room provides extra living space perfect for a family room, home office, playroom, or guest area. The home has a comfortable, easy-to-care-for feel, making it a great option for buyers looking for a solid home they can make their own. With a quiet setting, generous yard space, and room to grow, this property is ready for a new family to call it home. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and local amenities.
-
2026-03-23price $289,000 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
This well-kept 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious .74-acre lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you'll find a simple, functional layout that's been well maintained and is move-in ready for its next owners. The finished basement/bonus room provides extra living space perfect for a family room, home office, playroom, or guest area. The home has a comfortable, easy-to-care-for feel, making it a great option for buyers looking for a solid home they can make their own. With a quiet setting, generous yard space, and room to grow, this property is ready for a new family to call it home. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and local amenities.
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2026-03-16$290,000 Active 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
This well-kept 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious .74-acre lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you'll find a simple, functional layout that's been well maintained and is move-in ready for its next owners. The finished basement/bonus room provides extra living space perfect for a family room, home office, playroom, or guest area. The home has a comfortable, easy-to-care-for feel, making it a great option for buyers looking for a solid home they can make their own. With a quiet setting, generous yard space, and room to grow, this property is ready for a new family to call it home. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and local amenities.
-
2026-02-09$290,000 New 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
This well-kept 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious .74-acre lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. Inside, you'll find a simple, functional layout that's been well maintained and is move-in ready for its next owners. The finished basement/bonus room provides extra living space perfect for a family room, home office, playroom, or guest area. The home has a comfortable, easy-to-care-for feel, making it a great option for buyers looking for a solid home they can make their own. With a quiet setting, generous yard space, and room to grow, this property is ready for a new family to call it home. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and local amenities.
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2020-08-19soldstatus $150,000
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2019-09-30soldstatus $150,000 Sold
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2019-08-18status Under Contract
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2019-08-13price $154,900
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2019-07-26status Back on Market
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2019-07-20status Under Contract
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2019-07-11$158,000 New
-
2007-03-19soldstatus $126,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,373 · $198/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,571 · $214/mo
- Expected delta
- +$199/yr (+$17/mo · 8.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,806
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,656
- − Property taxes
- −$2,373
- − Insurance
- −$1,398
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,824
- − Management
- −$1,824
- − Depreciation
- −$8,131
- Taxable loss
- −$8,400
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,016
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,326/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carroll County
- NCES district ID
- 1300840
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,692
- Composite
- 35.62/100
- National rank
- #4888
- State rank
- #38 of 174 in GA
Livability — Villa Rica
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #13182
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Carroll County · 124,888 people
- City population
- 43,013
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,882
- Household income
- $76,571
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 396.0
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,370 people
- By 2030
- 127,186 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 133,534 · +8.2%
- By 2050
- 137,612 · +11.5%
- By 2075
- 142,892 · +15.8%
- By 2100
- 136,294 · +10.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.2) · D 29.1% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -41.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.2 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+37.7 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 27.16%
- Current HPI
- 435.3863
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+124.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $284,500 GAMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $285,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $285,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $295,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $295,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $289,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $290,000 FMLS
- 2026-02-09 Listed $290,000 GAMLS
- 2020-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2019-09-30 Sold (MLS) $150,000 GAMLS
- 2019-08-18 Pending — GAMLS
- 2019-08-13 Price Changed $154,900 GAMLS
- 2019-07-26 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2019-07-20 Pending — GAMLS
- 2019-07-11 Listed $158,000 GAMLS
- 2007-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $126,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,373 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…