502 5th St E · Herman, MN 56248

$168,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 113 Days on market

Built 1950 8,189 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +6.3/30.0
• Schools +5.2/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +0.7/10.0
• DSCR +0.6/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

A perfect place to start or simplify. This three-bedroom, one-bathroom residence offers comfortable living with a functional layout and inviting feel throughout. Recent upgrades feature a mini split , new electrical service, paint refresh and more. The home sits on a nice corner lot with plenty of space for gardening, pets, play, and outdoor entertainment. A standout feature is the 2024-built 30' x 32' garage, offering ample room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or a workshop setup. This property delivers a great opportunity in Herman, call today for more details.

Key facts

• Paint refresh
• 30 x 32 garage
• Corner lot

Tags

• NEW ELECTRICAL SERVICE
• PAINT REFRESH
• CORNER LOT
• 30 X 32 GARAGE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-299 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $116k (31.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $96k (43.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $96k (43.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#469 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
• Herman-Norcross School District (rural): math 50% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #150 of 467 in MN (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Herman Elementary (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #721 of 857 statewide, top 84%, 59 students, 58% FRL); Herman Secondary (math 70% / reading 50%, grade C+, #46 of 471 statewide, top 11%, 43 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 31% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 60% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Herman-Norcross School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Grant County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $128k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $95,811 (43.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.57% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.17%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.58%
• DSCR: 0.66
• GRM: 14.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 18.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.54×
• Total profit: $72,920
• Equity at exit: $152,159

10-year hold

• IRR: 17.5%
• Equity multiple: 5.85×
• Total profit: $229,580
• Equity at exit: $328,136

Cash invested: $47,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 46 Balanced
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 56248

• Home prices YoY: 9.2%
• Active inventory: 5
• Price-to-rent: 14.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $958 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$886
• Tax from tax record: −$99 /mo · $1,192/yr
• Insurance: −$70
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$201
• Net cashflow: $-299

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,336

Max offer price $116,163

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-203	-5% $-251	+0% $-299	+5% $-346	+10% $-394
Rent	-10% $-374	-5% $-336	+0% $-299	+5% $-261	+10% $-223
Rate	-1.0pp $-213	-0.5pp $-256	base $-299	+0.5pp $-342	+1.0pp $-387

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $42,225
• Closing costs: $5,067
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 31 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $168,900 Active 113 DOM
2. 2026-06-21
   days on market $168,900 Active 112 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $168,900 Active 110 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $168,900 Active 109 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $168,900 Active 108 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $168,900 Active 107 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $168,900 Active 105 DOM
8. 2026-06-12
   days on market $168,900 Active 104 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $168,900 Active 101 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $168,900 Active 100 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $168,900 Active 99 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $168,900 Active 97 DOM
13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $168,900 Active 95 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $168,900 Active 94 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $168,900 Active 93 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $168,900 Active 92 DOM
17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $168,900 Active 91 DOM
18. 2026-05-06
    status Active 569-char remark

    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    A perfect place to start or simplify. This three-bedroom, one-bathroom residence offers comfortable living with a functional layout and inviting feel throughout. Recent upgrades feature a mini split , new electrical service, paint refresh and more. The home sits on a nice corner lot with plenty of space for gardening, pets, play, and outdoor entertainment. A standout feature is the 2024-built 30' x 32' garage, offering ample room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or a workshop setup. This property delivers a great opportunity in Herman, call today for more details.

19. 2026-05-06
    price $168,900 569-char remark

    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    A perfect place to start or simplify. This three-bedroom, one-bathroom residence offers comfortable living with a functional layout and inviting feel throughout. Recent upgrades feature a mini split , new electrical service, paint refresh and more. The home sits on a nice corner lot with plenty of space for gardening, pets, play, and outdoor entertainment. A standout feature is the 2024-built 30' x 32' garage, offering ample room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or a workshop setup. This property delivers a great opportunity in Herman, call today for more details.

20. 2026-05-05
    historical 569-char remark

    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    A perfect place to start or simplify. This three-bedroom, one-bathroom residence offers comfortable living with a functional layout and inviting feel throughout. Recent upgrades feature a mini split , new electrical service, paint refresh and more. The home sits on a nice corner lot with plenty of space for gardening, pets, play, and outdoor entertainment. A standout feature is the 2024-built 30' x 32' garage, offering ample room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or a workshop setup. This property delivers a great opportunity in Herman, call today for more details.

21. 2026-03-26
    status Active 569-char remark

    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    A perfect place to start or simplify. This three-bedroom, one-bathroom residence offers comfortable living with a functional layout and inviting feel throughout. Recent upgrades feature a mini split , new electrical service, paint refresh and more. The home sits on a nice corner lot with plenty of space for gardening, pets, play, and outdoor entertainment. A standout feature is the 2024-built 30' x 32' garage, offering ample room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or a workshop setup. This property delivers a great opportunity in Herman, call today for more details.

22. 2026-03-13
    historical Contingent - Inspection 569-char remark

    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    A perfect place to start or simplify. This three-bedroom, one-bathroom residence offers comfortable living with a functional layout and inviting feel throughout. Recent upgrades feature a mini split , new electrical service, paint refresh and more. The home sits on a nice corner lot with plenty of space for gardening, pets, play, and outdoor entertainment. A standout feature is the 2024-built 30' x 32' garage, offering ample room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or a workshop setup. This property delivers a great opportunity in Herman, call today for more details.

23. 2026-02-27
    listed $170,000 Active 569-char remark

    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    A perfect place to start or simplify. This three-bedroom, one-bathroom residence offers comfortable living with a functional layout and inviting feel throughout. Recent upgrades feature a mini split , new electrical service, paint refresh and more. The home sits on a nice corner lot with plenty of space for gardening, pets, play, and outdoor entertainment. A standout feature is the 2024-built 30' x 32' garage, offering ample room for vehicles, storage, hobbies, or a workshop setup. This property delivers a great opportunity in Herman, call today for more details.

24. 2023-06-30
    soldstatus $128,300 Sold 255-char remark

    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Affordable Living -This adorable 3 BR/1BA home is perfect! Many updates include kitchen, flooring, siding, windows, carpeting and so much more. Move in ready! Enjoy the large corner lot to play yard games or relax on the deck. Call today for your showing.

25. 2023-06-06
    status Pending 255-char remark

    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Affordable Living -This adorable 3 BR/1BA home is perfect! Many updates include kitchen, flooring, siding, windows, carpeting and so much more. Move in ready! Enjoy the large corner lot to play yard games or relax on the deck. Call today for your showing.

26. 2023-05-27
    historical Contingent - Inspection 255-char remark

    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Affordable Living -This adorable 3 BR/1BA home is perfect! Many updates include kitchen, flooring, siding, windows, carpeting and so much more. Move in ready! Enjoy the large corner lot to play yard games or relax on the deck. Call today for your showing.

27. 2023-05-17
    listed $129,900 Active 255-char remark

    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Affordable Living -This adorable 3 BR/1BA home is perfect! Many updates include kitchen, flooring, siding, windows, carpeting and so much more. Move in ready! Enjoy the large corner lot to play yard games or relax on the deck. Call today for your showing.

28. 2021-01-25
    soldstatus $28,000 Sold
29. 2021-01-06
    status Pending
30. 2020-12-10
    listed $30,000 Active
31. 2008-06-30
    soldstatus $24,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,192 · $99/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,542 · $128/mo
• Expected delta: +$350/yr (+$29/mo · 29.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,497
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,461
• − Property taxes: −$1,192
• − Insurance: −$844
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$920
• − Management: −$920
• − Depreciation: −$4,913
• Taxable loss: −$6,753
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,621
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,962/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Herman-Norcross School District
• NCES district ID: 2713890
• Math proficiency: 50% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 70% ▲ 15.00%
• Median HH income: $47,014
• Composite: 52.36/100
• National rank: #3425
• State rank: #150 of 467 in MN

Livability — Herman

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #469
• US rank: #11204

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Herman, MN
• Population (ZIP): 760

Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,527 people
• By 2030: 5,287 · -4.3%
• By 2040: 4,829 · -12.6%
• By 2050: 4,415 · -20.1%
• By 2075: 3,504 · -36.6%
• By 2100: 2,555 · -53.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (97%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 97% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 22% Italian 3% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grant

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+30.6) · D 33.6% · R 64.2% · Other 2.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -36.2pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -30.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+30.6 2020: R+26.5 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+5.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 11.37%
• Current HPI: 134.5915
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

+603.8% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-06 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-06 Price Changed $168,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-26 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-13 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-27 Listed $170,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-06-30 Sold (MLS) $128,300 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-06-06 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-05-27 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-05-17 Listed $129,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-01-25 Sold (MLS) $28,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-01-06 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-12-10 Listed $30,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2008-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,192 · +103.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.