CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
16083 Manning St
C+ Composite 64.03
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

16083 Manning St · Detroit, MI 48205
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 705 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1951 4,356 sqft lot Est $66k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This terrific ranch home blends modern comfort with efficiency. Step inside to find many stylish updates, including a beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathroom. The home features generously sized bedrooms and a full basement that offers endless potential for extra living space or storage. All major systems are in good condition, giving peace of mind to the next owner. Located in a thriving neighborhood, this property is surrounded by growth and convenience. With too many highlights to list, this home offers plenty of upside and an opportunity you don't want to miss!

Key facts

  • Remodeled bathroom
  • Remodeled kitchen
  • Full basement

Tags

REMODELED KITCHENREMODELED BATHROOMFULL BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual property tax approximately $1,960

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions about 35 x 125 (0.1 acre)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Total of 2 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($958 rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fisher Magnet Lower Academy (456 students, 93% FRL); Fisher Magnet Upper Academy (math 15% / reading 44%, grade F, #341 of 493 statewide, top 69%, 378 students, 93% FRL); Denby High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 537 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 91% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.19%
Cash-on-cash
17.49%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$66,270
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16100 Liberal St 0.09mi 2/1.0 679 (-4%) 7mo $15,900 $23 84
16476 Fairmount Dr 0.33mi 2/1.0 713 (+1%) 3mo $43,900 $62 80
18532 Roscommon St 0.32mi 2/1.0 700 (-1%) 9mo $70,000 $100 76
15871 Fairmount Dr 0.30mi 2/1.0 719 (+2%) 10mo $14,500 $20 75
18700 Mccormick St 0.52mi 2/1.0 706 (+0%) 5mo $63,000 $89 72
16701 Fairmount Dr 0.46mi 2/1.0 725 (+3%) 7mo $92,700 $128 68
18996 Roscommon St 0.61mi 2/1.0 698 (-1%) 5mo $98,000 $140 65
18547 Mccormick St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 689 (-2%) 7mo $30,000 $44 65
18933 Kingsville St 0.60mi 2/1.0 672 (-5%) 8mo $72,000 $107 58
16610 E State Fair St 0.32mi 2/1.0 800 (+14%) 7mo $75,000 $94 57
19139 Kenosha St 0.69mi 2/1.0 681 (-3%) 7mo $95,000 $140 56
15294 Saratoga St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 802 (+14%) 7mo $65,000 $81 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$5,264
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$21,724
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
376
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$958 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $909/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$285

Break-even live

Break-even rent $597
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $325 -5% $305 +0% $285 +5% $265 +10% $246
Rent -10% $210 -5% $247 +0% $285 +5% $323 +10% $361
Rate -1.0pp $320 -0.5pp $303 base $285 +0.5pp $267 +1.0pp $249

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16241 Seven Mile E Unit 4 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $650 $1.00 45d 1 0.36mi
15030 Rossini Dr Unit 2 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 720 $800 $1.11 45d 1 0.65mi
12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 610 $875 $1.43 45d 1 0.95mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,040 $1.47 45d 1 1.12mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 14d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Pending 573-char remark
    Show marketing remark (573 chars)

    This terrific ranch home blends modern comfort with efficiency. Step inside to find many stylish updates, including a beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathroom. The home features generously sized bedrooms and a full basement that offers endless potential for extra living space or storage. All major systems are in good condition, giving peace of mind to the next owner. Located in a thriving neighborhood, this property is surrounded by growth and convenience. With too many highlights to list, this home offers plenty of upside and an opportunity you don't want to miss!

  2. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (573 chars)

    This terrific ranch home blends modern comfort with efficiency. Step inside to find many stylish updates, including a beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathroom. The home features generously sized bedrooms and a full basement that offers endless potential for extra living space or storage. All major systems are in good condition, giving peace of mind to the next owner. Located in a thriving neighborhood, this property is surrounded by growth and convenience. With too many highlights to list, this home offers plenty of upside and an opportunity you don't want to miss!

  3. 2026-04-19
    historical $1,275
  4. 2026-03-20
    price $69,900 573-char remark
    Show marketing remark (573 chars)

    This terrific ranch home blends modern comfort with efficiency. Step inside to find many stylish updates, including a beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathroom. The home features generously sized bedrooms and a full basement that offers endless potential for extra living space or storage. All major systems are in good condition, giving peace of mind to the next owner. Located in a thriving neighborhood, this property is surrounded by growth and convenience. With too many highlights to list, this home offers plenty of upside and an opportunity you don't want to miss!

  5. 2026-03-20
    price $69,900
    Show marketing remark (573 chars)

    This terrific ranch home blends modern comfort with efficiency. Step inside to find many stylish updates, including a beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathroom. The home features generously sized bedrooms and a full basement that offers endless potential for extra living space or storage. All major systems are in good condition, giving peace of mind to the next owner. Located in a thriving neighborhood, this property is surrounded by growth and convenience. With too many highlights to list, this home offers plenty of upside and an opportunity you don't want to miss!

  6. 2026-03-18
    price $1,275
  7. 2026-02-16
    price $1,375
  8. 2026-02-05
    listed $74,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (573 chars)

    This terrific ranch home blends modern comfort with efficiency. Step inside to find many stylish updates, including a beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathroom. The home features generously sized bedrooms and a full basement that offers endless potential for extra living space or storage. All major systems are in good condition, giving peace of mind to the next owner. Located in a thriving neighborhood, this property is surrounded by growth and convenience. With too many highlights to list, this home offers plenty of upside and an opportunity you don't want to miss!

  9. 2026-02-05
    listed $74,900 Active 573-char remark
    Show marketing remark (573 chars)

    This terrific ranch home blends modern comfort with efficiency. Step inside to find many stylish updates, including a beautifully remodeled kitchen and bathroom. The home features generously sized bedrooms and a full basement that offers endless potential for extra living space or storage. All major systems are in good condition, giving peace of mind to the next owner. Located in a thriving neighborhood, this property is surrounded by growth and convenience. With too many highlights to list, this home offers plenty of upside and an opportunity you don't want to miss!

  10. 2025-12-19
    listed $1,400
  11. 2025-10-08
    historical
  12. 2025-10-08
    historical
  13. 2025-08-31
    listed $79,900 Active
  14. 2025-08-31
    listed $79,900 Active
  15. 2024-06-30
    historical
  16. 2024-06-30
    historical
  17. 2023-06-26
    price $32,000
  18. 2023-06-26
    price $32,000
  19. 2023-05-22
    listed $35,000 Active
  20. 2023-05-22
    listed $35,000 Active
  21. 2017-08-16
    historical
  22. 2017-08-16
    historical
  23. 2017-07-19
    listed $9,700 Active
  24. 2017-07-19
    price $9,700
  25. 2017-04-21
    listed $9,900 Active
  26. 2016-03-31
    soldstatus $160,000
  27. 2007-09-30
    historical
  28. 2007-09-30
    historical
  29. 2006-08-11
    listed $74,000
  30. 2006-08-11
    listed $74,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$909 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$993 · $83/mo
Expected delta
+$84/yr (+$7/mo · 9.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,493
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$909
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$919
− Management
−$919
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$2,447
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$587
After-tax cash flow
$2,835/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.3% since first listed
30 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-19 Rental Removed $1,275 Avail
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $69,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $1,275 Avail
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $1,375 Avail
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listed for Rent $1,400 Avail
  • 2025-10-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-08 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-31 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-31 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-06-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-06-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-06-26 Price Changed $32,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-26 Price Changed $32,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-05-22 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-05-22 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-08-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2017-08-16 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-19 Listed $9,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-19 Price Changed $9,700 REALCOMP
  • 2017-04-21 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
  • 2016-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 2007-09-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-09-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-08-11 Listed $74,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-11 Listed $74,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $909 · -53.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…