2801 S Stone Rd #262 · Marion, IN 46953

$36,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured · 217 Days on market

Built 2024

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.7/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Built 2024
• Listed 216 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Plan name 85206; Inventory type: Spec
• Financial info: List price $35,500

Exterior

• Utilities: Electric service; Central air
• Home design: Condominium/Unit (multifamily-style address)
• Exterior features: Address: 2801 S Stone Rd #262, Marion, IN 46953

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Active listing (spec home); Living area approximately 924

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $36k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $636 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $36k).
• Recommended offer: $32k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 27.5% vs local median 8.7% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#337 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Marion Community Schools (town): math 18% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #277 of 301 in IN (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $249 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Grant County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $31,680 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.11% ✓
• Cap rate: 27.50%
• Cash-on-cash: 75.75%
• DSCR: 4.37
• GRM: 2.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 75.7%
• Equity multiple: 4.44×
• Total profit: $34,709
• Equity at exit: $5,368

10-year hold

• IRR: 79.4%
• Equity multiple: 9.18×
• Total profit: $82,476
• Equity at exit: $3,113

Cash invested: $10,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Indiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 46953

• Home prices YoY: -23.4%
• Active inventory: 112
• Price-to-rent: 2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,120 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$189
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$45 /mo · $540/yr
• Insurance: −$15
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$235
• Net cashflow: $636

Break-even live

Break-even rent $315

Max offer price $36,000

Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $9,000
• Closing costs: $1,080
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $36,000 Active 217 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $36,000 Active 216 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $36,000 Active 215 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $36,000 Active 214 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $36,000 Active 213 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $36,000 Active 211 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $36,000 Active 210 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $36,000 Active 207 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $36,000 Active 206 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $36,000 Active 205 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $36,000 Active 200 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $36,000 Active 199 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,500 Active 198 DOM
14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $35,500 Active 197 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,444
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,017
• − Property taxes: −$540
• − Insurance: −$180
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,076
• − Management: −$1,076
• − Depreciation: −$1,047
• Taxable income: $7,509
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,802
• After-tax cash flow: $5,833/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marion Community Schools
• NCES district ID: 1806390
• Math proficiency: 18% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 24% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $33,415
• Composite: 17.13/100
• National rank: #9115
• State rank: #277 of 301 in IN

Livability — Marion

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #337
• US rank: #13006

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Grant County · 41,561 people
• City population: 41,561
• Metro: Marion, IN
• Population (ZIP): 23,372
• Household income: $46,288
• Rent vs Own: 32.2% rent · 67.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 597.0

Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 64,394 people
• By 2030: 62,145 · -3.5%
• By 2040: 57,252 · -11.1%
• By 2050: 52,968 · -17.7%
• By 2075: 45,986 · -28.6%
• By 2100: 39,400 · -38.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 77% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Grant

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.2% · R 70.0% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -28.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -41.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.8 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+22.0 2008: R+13.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -52.47%
• Current HPI: 171.7246
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Marion, IN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• F500 in state: 18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$37B
▸Healthcare	1	$177B
▸Pharmaceuticals	1	$45B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$18B
▸Agriculture	1	$17B
▸Packaging	1	$12B