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8434 Cedarbrush Dr
D Composite 42.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.7/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$202,500

8434 Cedarbrush Dr · Southaven, MS 38671
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,326 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1965 9,583 sqft lot Est $199k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Home Recently updated with granite kitchen countertops, stainless appliances including refrigerator, Fireplace with granite hearth, ceramic tile tub enclosure. Great yard with storage building in back.

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Storage shed
  • Cozy fireplace

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCOZY FIREPLACESPACIOUS BACKYARDSTORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area recorded by assessor

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 1-car carport; Concrete parking surfaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; House; One level; Move-in ready
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year source: assessor)
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Privacy wood fencing; Shed(s); Fenced and landscaped yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Primary bathroom on main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Crown molding; Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; Recessed lighting; Double pane windows; Hearth fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer/Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $202k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($814/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (20.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $161k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.2% in Southaven — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#107 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Desoto County School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #20 of 130 in MS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hope Sullivan Elementary School (548 students, 100% FRL); Southaven Middle School (math 33% / reading 25%, grade F, #90 of 179 statewide, top 52%, 1,456 students, 100% FRL); Southaven High School (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #88 of 197 statewide, top 45%, 1,850 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 43% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Desoto County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,155 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • DeSoto County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $161,167 (20.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.69%
Cash-on-cash
1.43%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$198,900
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8439 Booneville Dr 0.03mi 3/1.5 1,339 (+1%) 3mo $200,000 $149 95
8444 Cedarcrest Dr 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,263 (-5%) 3mo $189,999 $150 87
8505 W Southaven Cir 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,348 (+2%) 4mo $180,000 $134 86
8256 Caprock Cv 0.24mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,333 (+0%) 2mo $215,000 $161 81
8232 Caprock Cv 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,252 (-6%) 3mo $205,000 $164 76
2117 Ms Vly 0.12mi 3/1.5 1,481 (+12%) 1mo $169,000 $114 74
7984 Charleston Dr 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,316 (-1%) 3mo $205,000 $156 74
1884 S Conerly Dr 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,200 (-10%) 2mo $185,000 $154 72
8216 Caprock Cv 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,219 (-8%) 4mo $185,000 $152 71
1818 Whitehead Dr 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,197 (-10%) 2mo $165,000 $138 68
7869 Brentwood Dr 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,400 (+6%) 3mo $209,999 $150 61
7752 Charleston Dr 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,242 (-6%) 1mo $185,000 $149 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-28,266
Equity at exit
$30,193
10-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-18,100
Equity at exit
$17,508

Cash invested: $56,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38671

Home prices YoY
-18.2%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,612 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,062
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $709/yr
Insurance
$84
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,526
Max offer price $202,500
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $182 -5% $125 +0% $68 +5% $10 +10% $-47
Rent -10% $-60 -5% $4 +0% $68 +5% $131 +10% $195
Rate -1.0pp $170 -0.5pp $119 base $68 +0.5pp $15 +1.0pp $-38

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,625
Closing costs
$6,075
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8349 Cedarbrush Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,395 $1.16 45d 1 0.07mi
8495 Charleston Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 1.5 1450 $1,345 $0.93 16d 1 0.20mi
1842 Brookhaven Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 6d 1 0.22mi
8228 Brooksville Cv Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1576 $1,695 $1.08 6d 1 0.31mi
1699 Whitehead Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 45d 1 0.43mi
7087 Carrolton Dr W Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1594 $1,500 $0.94 46d 1 0.43mi
8328 Dottley Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,573 $1.33 45d 1 0.43mi
1732 Carla Cv Southaven, MS 4.0 1.5 1196 $1,600 $1.34 6d 1 0.45mi
8297 Baldwyn Cv Southaven, MS 3.0 1.0 1065 $1,323 $1.24 25d 1 0.48mi
1984 Custer Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1131 $1,523 $1.35 45d 1 0.58mi
8282 Fayette Cv Southaven, MS 3.0 1.5 1297 $1,545 $1.19 16d 1 0.58mi
8280 Hastings Cv Southaven, MS 3.0 1.5 1184 $1,350 $1.14 23d 1 0.61mi
7757 Charleston Dr Southaven, MS 4.0 2.0 1325 $1,650 $1.25 25d 1 0.67mi
7594 Rockingham Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 1.5 1680 $1,665 $0.99 45d 1 0.72mi
1590 Custer Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 1.0 900 $1,295 $1.44 22d 1 0.78mi
2179 Coral Hills Dr Southaven, MS 4.0 1.5 1451 $1,395 $0.96 23d 1 0.80mi
1344 Brandywine Dr Southaven, MS 4.0 2.0 1473 $1,595 $1.08 13d 1 0.80mi
1416 Moss Point Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 1.0 1197 $1,533 $1.28 45d 1 0.80mi
8694 Yorktown Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1556 $1,703 $1.09 45d 1 0.82mi
1449 Ticonderoga Dr Southaven, MS 4.0 1.5 1447 $1,623 $1.12 25d 1 0.83mi
1748 Newington Cv Southaven, MS 3.0 1.5 1124 $1,500 $1.33 25d 1 0.83mi
1766 Dorchester Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,585 $1.32 25d 1 0.89mi
1210 Rasco Rd W Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1638 $1,695 $1.03 6d 1 0.96mi
1319 Stateline Rd W Southaven, MS 3.0 1.5 1189 $1,395 $1.17 6d 1 0.99mi
7658 Davis Pkwy Southaven, MS 3.0 3.0 1513 $1,995 $1.32 19d 1 1.02mi
7605 Davis Pkwy Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1351 $1,710 $1.27 25d 1 1.03mi
7661 Ragland Pl Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1242 $1,793 $1.44 45d 1 1.05mi
1296 Vicksburg Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 25d 1 1.06mi
3229 Earlcastle Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1353 $1,963 $1.45 3d 1 1.20mi
7430 Pintail Dr Horn Lake, MS 4.0 2.0 1479 $1,630 $1.10 45d 1 1.20mi
7400 Pintail Dr Horn Lake, MS 4.0 2.0 1450 $1,595 $1.10 6d 1 1.20mi
3242 Earlcastle Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1348 $1,725 $1.28 4d 1 1.23mi
2621 Pintail Dr Horn Lake, MS 3.0 2.0 1356 $1,740 $1.28 6d 1 1.23mi
7623 Caitlynn Cir W Horn Lake, MS 3.0 2.0 1229 $1,705 $1.39 45d 1 1.25mi
842 Farmington Dr N Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,595 $1.14 6d 1 1.26mi
8759 Kimberly Dawn Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,950 $1.28 45d 1 1.27mi
5572 Lochinvar Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 1.0 1065 $1,090 $1.02 45d 1 1.27mi
4896 Lochinvar Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 1.5 1112 $1,081 $0.97 23d 1 1.27mi
7560 Chesteridge Ave Southaven, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 887 $1,475 $1.66 3d 7 1.35mi
8831 Kimberly Dawn Dr Southaven, MS 3.0 2.0 1793 $2,295 $1.28 45d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $202,500 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $202,500 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 384-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    listed $202,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$709 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,600 · $133/mo
Expected delta
+$890/yr (+$74/mo · 125.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,340
− Mortgage interest
−$11,343
− Property taxes
−$709
− Insurance
−$1,012
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,547
− Management
−$1,547
− Depreciation
−$5,891
Taxable loss
−$2,710
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$650
After-tax cash flow
$1,464/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Desoto County School District
NCES district ID
2801320
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$59,272
Composite
39.56/100
National rank
#3933
State rank
#20 of 130 in MS

Livability — Southaven

Score
65/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#12584

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Southaven, MS
County
DeSoto County · 176,513 people
City population
53,755
Metro
Memphis, TN-MS-AR
Population (ZIP)
37,319
Household income
$61,843
Rent vs Own
35.5% rent · 64.5% own
Severe rent burden
1583.0

Population outlook (DeSoto County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
203,338 people
By 2030
217,692 · +7.1%
By 2040
245,320 · +20.6%
By 2050
270,133 · +32.8%
By 2075
323,341 · +59.0%
By 2100
348,742 · +71.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · DeSoto

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 36.7% · R 60.8% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+14.2pp toward D · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+38.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.08%
Current HPI
220.7875
Rent YoY
▲ 3.20%
Metro
Memphis, TN-MS-AR
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+189.7% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $202,500 MLSU
  • 2021-09-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-09-07 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2021-07-03 Listed $168,500 MLSU
  • 2019-01-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-01-29 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2018-10-21 Listed $109,900 MLSU
  • 2007-03-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-01-31 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2006-12-11 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2006-12-11 Listed $112,000 MLSU
  • 2006-11-28 Listed $112,000 MLSU
  • 2005-12-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-11-29 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2005-10-23 Listed $103,500 MLSU
  • 1999-11-03 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 1999-08-31 Listed $69,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $709 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…