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309 North St
C+ Composite 60.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

309 North St · Earlville, IL 60518
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1908 8,276 sqft lot $117/sqft · 10% below area Est $134k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investment Opportunity with Equity Potential! Charming 1908 ranch offering a great opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking to build equity. Features 1 bedroom with potential for a 2nd bedroom or flex space, 2 full baths, updated kitchen and bath areas, and a functional kitchen/dining layout. Recent improvements include a new roof (2023), garage door opener, refrigerator, washer, dryer, and patio canopy. The oversized 520 sq. ft. garage includes a wood-burning heater, making it ideal for a workshop or year-round use. Enjoy a covered side patio, mature trees for privacy, and additional storage with a Connex box. Bring your ideas and unlock this property's full poten

Key facts

  • Wood burning heater
  • Recent updates
  • Flexible layout

Tags

SINGLE STORY HOMEFLEXIBLE LAYOUTRECENT UPDATESNEW GARAGE DOOR OPENERWOOD BURNING HEATERCOVERED SIDE PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property not currently leased; Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required; Community features include park, sidewalks, street lights, and paved streets

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (garage owned) with garage door opener; One garage space; Total of four parking spaces including driveway and off-street parking; Gravel and other parking areas
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Built more than 100 years ago; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Patio; Mature trees; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eating area / table space; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level); Additional bedrooms (possible extra bedroom/rooms listed)
  • Flooring: Laminate in kitchen, dining area, and laundry; Carpet in living room and master bedroom
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Steam heating; Baseboard heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Whole-house fan; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Laundry closet; Gas dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#749 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
  • Earlville CUSD 9 (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #406 of 919 in IL (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 82 units permitted in LaSalle County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • LaSalle County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $120k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $116,400 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.48%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,685
List price
$120,000
Delta
-10.24%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Oak St 0.34mi 2/1.5 (+1) 1,100 (+7%) 22mo $141,000 $128 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-6,039
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$12,171
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60518

Home prices YoY
-17.5%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,395 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$213 /mo · $2,556/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$210

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,130
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $120,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    price $120,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $135,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 30 DOM
  17. 2026-04-29
    listed $135,000 Active 1050-char remark
  18. 2008-10-24
    soldstatus $52,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,556 · $213/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,640 · $220/mo
Expected delta
+$84/yr (+$7/mo · 3.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,737
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$2,556
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,339
− Management
−$1,339
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$690
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$166
After-tax cash flow
$2,349/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Earlville CUSD 9
NCES district ID
1712930
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 16.00%
Median HH income
$49,735
Composite
32.94/100
National rank
#10692
State rank
#406 of 919 in IL

Livability — Earlville

Score
63/100
State rank
#749
US rank
#15219

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Earlville, IL
Population (ZIP)
3,576

Population outlook (LaSalle County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
107,080 people
By 2030
104,196 · -2.7%
By 2040
97,413 · -9.0%
By 2050
90,294 · -15.7%
By 2075
76,252 · -28.8%
By 2100
61,339 · -42.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 9% Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · LaSalle

2024 margin
R (+18.5) · D 40.1% · R 58.6% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-29.6pp toward R · 2008: 11.1pp · 2024: -18.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.5 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+14.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+11.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.43%
Current HPI
190.6594
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+130.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $120,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $135,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,556 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…