1228 8th Ave · Midfield, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$85,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investors/Buyers, check out this "ready to be renovated" one-level, 4-bedroom home in the Midfield area, just off Jaybird Road near Hueytown. Spacious and full of potential, this home is ready for you to make it a GEM. Inside, you'll find a generous open-concept layout featuring a large family den/living room that flows into the dining area with a clear view of the kitchen. The kitchen itself includes a cozy eat in breakfast nook. Enjoy peaceful mornings in the enclosed front SUNROOM—an ideal spot for your coffee or quiet reading. Step out from the kitchen to a COVERED DECK, perfect for entertaining guests or relaxing outdoors. Additional highlights include a garage, and an
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1954
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $86k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#164 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Midfield City (suburban): math 2% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #126 of 129 in AL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Midfield Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 390 students, 84% FRL); Midfield High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 340 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools at 86% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 87 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $594 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $86k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.79%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $72,324
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1221 Carol Cir | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+4%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $63 | 71 |
| 1401 Carol Cir | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,075 (-6%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $98 | 64 |
| 503 8th Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,218 (+6%) | 0mo | $75,000 | $62 | 63 |
| 1545 Carol Cir | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,184 (+3%) | 11mo | $85,000 | $72 | 60 |
| 713 Westfield Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,106 (-4%) | 2mo | $104,000 | $94 | 58 |
| 800 Rutledge Dr | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,028 (-10%) | 11mo | $50,000 | $49 | 57 |
| 911 12th Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 992 (-14%) | 1mo | $26,500 | $27 | 56 |
| 600 9th Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,028 (-10%) | 10mo | $79,900 | $78 | 54 |
| 907 7th St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,044 (-9%) | 10mo | $56,500 | $54 | 54 |
| 812 7th Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,319 (+15%) | 7mo | $179,000 | $136 | 53 |
| 504 9th Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,016 (-12%) | 1mo | $58,000 | $57 | 53 |
| 703 11th Ave | 0.42mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,302 (+13%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $61 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $7,801
- Equity at exit
- $12,808
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $25,624
- Equity at exit
- $7,427
Cash invested: $24,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35228
- Home prices YoY
- -3.5%
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,209 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$450
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $863/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $397
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $445 | -5% $421 | +0% $397 | +5% $372 | +10% $348 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $301 | -5% $349 | +0% $397 | +5% $444 | +10% $492 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $440 | -0.5pp $419 | base $397 | +0.5pp $374 | +1.0pp $352 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,475
- Closing costs
- $2,577
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1401 9th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1109 12th Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1217 | $1,475 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 806 12th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1262 | $1,075 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 617 8th Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,350 | $0.94 | 2d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 605 10th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $850 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 616 Rutledge Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,095 | $0.77 | 22d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 603 11th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 608 5th Ave Midfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1241 | $795 | $0.64 | 22d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 832 Alden Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1231 | $1,150 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1565 Miles St Dolomite, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 17d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 200 Woodward Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,123 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 733 Glen Ridge Dr Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,378 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 80 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 63 Wilkes Cir Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,250 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 63 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,200 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 800 Fairfax Dr Fairfield, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 36 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $875 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 222 4th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 216 Pine St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 226 3rd Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 424-10 Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1035 | $1,275 | $1.23 | 12d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 444-12 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $910 | $1.02 | 11d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 400-1 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 935 | $1,175 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 424-3 Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1035 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 11d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 436-11 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 935 | $910 | $0.97 | 11d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 436-10 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $890 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 400-12 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $915 | $1.03 | 11d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 416-11 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 935 | $975 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4506 Letson St Brighton, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 925 Woodward Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 923 Woodward Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1273 | $1,200 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1254 Lewis St Brighton, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $850 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1983 Townhouse Ln Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $1,100 | $0.75 | 17d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2025-10-28status Pending
-
2025-09-05price $85,900
-
2025-09-04status Active
-
2025-09-03historical Contingent
-
2025-08-08$95,500 Active
-
2025-05-09price $99,995
-
1998-03-02soldstatus $55,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $863 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $863 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,812
- − Property taxes
- −$863
- − Insurance
- −$430
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,160
- − Management
- −$1,160
- − Depreciation
- −$2,499
- Taxable income
- $3,581
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$859
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,901/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Midfield City
- NCES district ID
- 0102350
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,267
- Composite
- 6.89/100
- National rank
- #9978
- State rank
- #126 of 129 in AL
Livability — Midfield
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #164
- US rank
- #14536
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midfield, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 10,216
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,216
- Household income
- $50,815
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 456.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% White 5%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.84%
- Current HPI
- 134.8633
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.47%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+54.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-28 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $85,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-09-04 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-09-03 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-08-08 Listed $95,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-05-09 Price Changed $99,995 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1998-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $55,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2024): $863 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…