421 S 8th St · West Memphis, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * New Price Alert * * Come take a look at this spacious starter home or investment opportunity with endless potential! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a generous yard perfect for family fun or entertaining, this property offers room to grow and make it your own. The home boasts a unique layout and architectural design—just waiting for your personal touch to restore its charm and curb appeal. Home is ready for you to come take a look & see if this gem is for you! Don't miss your chance to turn this into something truly special!
Key facts
- Generous yard
- Unique layout
- Architectural design
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $699 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 7.0% in West Memphis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $75k implies a 552% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.96%
- DSCR
- 2.78
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $145,278
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -48.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 629 S 13th St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,720 (-10%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $110 | 58 |
| 620 8th St | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 1,689 (-11%) | 22mo | $125,000 | $74 | 52 |
| 224 S 9th St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,624 (-14%) | 17mo | $22,000 | $14 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $32,371
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 43.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.07×
- Total profit
- $85,489
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72301
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,472 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $471/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $699
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $742 | -5% $720 | +0% $699 | +5% $678 | +10% $657 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $583 | -5% $641 | +0% $699 | +5% $757 | +10% $816 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $737 | -0.5pp $718 | base $699 | +0.5pp $680 | +1.0pp $660 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1398 E Barton Ave West Memphis, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,550 | $1.24 | 11d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2502 E Tyler Ave West Memphis, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,550 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2504 Tyler Cir West Memphis, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,450 | $1.16 | 2d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2506 E Tyler Ave West Memphis, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,450 | $1.16 | 16d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 316 Chestnut St West Memphis, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,450 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 310 Chestnut St West Memphis, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 207 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 206 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 201 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 200 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 199 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 198 DOM
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2026-03-29status Active 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
* * New Price Alert * * Come take a look at this spacious starter home or investment opportunity with endless potential! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a generous yard perfect for family fun or entertaining, this property offers room to grow and make it your own. The home boasts a unique layout and architectural design—just waiting for your personal touch to restore its charm and curb appeal. Home is ready for you to come take a look & see if this gem is for you! Don't miss your chance to turn this into something truly special!
-
2026-03-29price $75,000 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
* * New Price Alert * * Come take a look at this spacious starter home or investment opportunity with endless potential! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a generous yard perfect for family fun or entertaining, this property offers room to grow and make it your own. The home boasts a unique layout and architectural design—just waiting for your personal touch to restore its charm and curb appeal. Home is ready for you to come take a look & see if this gem is for you! Don't miss your chance to turn this into something truly special!
-
2025-09-14historical Active Under Contract 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
* * New Price Alert * * Come take a look at this spacious starter home or investment opportunity with endless potential! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a generous yard perfect for family fun or entertaining, this property offers room to grow and make it your own. The home boasts a unique layout and architectural design—just waiting for your personal touch to restore its charm and curb appeal. Home is ready for you to come take a look & see if this gem is for you! Don't miss your chance to turn this into something truly special!
-
2025-08-22price $65,000 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
* * New Price Alert * * Come take a look at this spacious starter home or investment opportunity with endless potential! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a generous yard perfect for family fun or entertaining, this property offers room to grow and make it your own. The home boasts a unique layout and architectural design—just waiting for your personal touch to restore its charm and curb appeal. Home is ready for you to come take a look & see if this gem is for you! Don't miss your chance to turn this into something truly special!
-
2025-06-10$107,000 Active 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
* * New Price Alert * * Come take a look at this spacious starter home or investment opportunity with endless potential! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a generous yard perfect for family fun or entertaining, this property offers room to grow and make it your own. The home boasts a unique layout and architectural design—just waiting for your personal touch to restore its charm and curb appeal. Home is ready for you to come take a look & see if this gem is for you! Don't miss your chance to turn this into something truly special!
-
1979-03-01soldstatus $11,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $471 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $480 · $40/mo
- Expected delta
- +$9/yr (+$1/mo · 1.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,667
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$471
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,413
- − Management
- −$1,413
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $7,611
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,827
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,564/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Memphis School District
- NCES district ID
- 0508040
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,382
- Composite
- 12.22/100
- National rank
- #9647
- State rank
- #224 of 238 in AR
Livability — West Memphis
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #23638
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Memphis, AR
- City population
- 24,182
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,182
Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,254 people
- By 2030
- 42,953 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 38,235 · -15.5%
- By 2050
- 33,670 · -25.6%
- By 2075
- 24,315 · -46.3%
- By 2100
- 17,173 · -62.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.63%
- Current HPI
- 182.7665
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+552.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-29 Relisted — EARA
- 2026-03-29 Price Changed $75,000 EARA
- 2025-09-14 Contingent — EARA
- 2025-08-22 Price Changed $65,000 EARA
- 2025-06-10 Listed $107,000 EARA
- 1979-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.3%/yrLatest (2025): $471 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…