2 N Pearl St · Knox, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special with tons of potential! Situated on a corner lot, this 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home has lots to offer. Features include a 2-car detached garage, fenced backyard, enclosed porch, and patio-great bones with room to transform. Property requires significant repairs and updates and is being sold as-is. Seller financing available, offering flexible options for the right buyer. Bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential!
Key facts
- Enclosed porch
- Patio
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $918 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.3% vs local median 3.8% in Knox — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#583 in IN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Knox Community School Corporation (town): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #242 of 301 in IN (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Starke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Starke County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.00%
- DSCR
- 3.54
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,082
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -61.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 S Bower St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 1,881 (-2%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $133 | 81 |
| 105 S Main St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,894 (-2%) | 12mo | $198,000 | $105 | 73 |
| 207 S Portland St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 1,888 (-2%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $114 | 73 |
| 301 W John St | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,940 (+1%) | 16mo | $180,000 | $93 | 62 |
| 603 S Main St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,996 (+4%) | 10mo | $209,000 | $105 | 60 |
| 702 E Lake St | 0.37mi | 4/1.0 | 1,776 (-8%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $115 | 58 |
| 705 E St Louis St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,771 (-8%) | 4mo | $295,000 | $167 | 51 |
| 903 S Portland St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,112 (+10%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $80 | 41 |
| 905 S Pearl St | 0.61mi | 4/1.5 | 1,665 (-14%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $102 | 40 |
| 156 W Saint Louis St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,148 (+11%) | 19mo | $140,000 | $65 | 37 |
| 105 Allen Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,748 (-9%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $94 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.45×
- Total profit
- $47,366
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 60.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.05×
- Total profit
- $116,915
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46534
- Home prices YoY
- -19.2%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,914 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$204 /mo · $2,450/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$402
- Net cashflow
- $918
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-16price $69,000 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Investor special with tons of potential! Situated on a corner lot, this 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home has lots to offer. Features include a 2-car detached garage, fenced backyard, enclosed porch, and patio-great bones with room to transform. Property requires significant repairs and updates and is being sold as-is. Seller financing available, offering flexible options for the right buyer. Bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential!
-
2026-02-16$75,000 Active 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Investor special with tons of potential! Situated on a corner lot, this 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home has lots to offer. Features include a 2-car detached garage, fenced backyard, enclosed porch, and patio-great bones with room to transform. Property requires significant repairs and updates and is being sold as-is. Seller financing available, offering flexible options for the right buyer. Bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential!
-
2019-09-12historical
-
2019-06-07soldstatus $64,900
-
2019-06-07soldstatus $64,900
-
2019-03-12$64,900
-
2019-03-12$64,900
-
2018-09-18$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,450 · $204/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,450 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,973
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$2,450
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,838
- − Management
- −$1,838
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $10,630
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,551
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,461/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Knox Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1805340
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,955
- Composite
- 25.64/100
- National rank
- #7401
- State rank
- #242 of 301 in IN
Livability — Knox
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #583
- US rank
- #20938
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Knox, IN
- City population
- 11,029
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,029
Population outlook (Starke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,860 people
- By 2030
- 21,024 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 19,041 · -12.9%
- By 2050
- 16,881 · -22.8%
- By 2075
- 11,880 · -45.7%
- By 2100
- 7,217 · -67.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Starke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.2% · R 75.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -55.3pp toward R · 2008: 3.2pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.8 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+10.6 2008: D+3.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.15%
- Current HPI
- 244.2216
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-13.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $69,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-16 Listed $75,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-12 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-07 Sold (MLS) $64,900 IRMLS
- 2019-06-07 Sold (MLS) $64,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-12 Listed $64,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-12 Listed $64,900 IRMLS
- 2018-09-18 Listed $79,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.0%/yrLatest (2024): $2,450 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…