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854 Columbia St Duplex
A- Composite 80.66
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$475,000

854 Columbia St · Hudson, NY 12534
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,280 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1900 2,178 sqft lot Est $885k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Just minutes from Hudson's restaurants, shops, galleries, Amtrak station, and everyday conveniences, this furnished two-unit property combines a highly walkable location with an established rental history and flexibility for future use. Each unit features a spacious living room, formal dining room, updated kitchen, two bedrooms, and an updated full bath. Original wood floors and paneled doors reflect the home's character, while thoughtful updates provide comfortable, move-in-ready living throughout. The property's walkable location is one of its greatest assets, placing many of Hudson's most popular destinations within easy reach. Whether maintained as a two-family investment property or adapted to suit changing needs, the combination of furnished units, proven rental performance, and a highly convenient location makes this an appealing offering in the Hudson market.

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Updated full bath
  • Original wood floors

Tags

FURNISHED TWO-UNIT PROPERTYSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING ROOMUPDATED KITCHENUPDATED FULL BATHORIGINAL WOOD FLOORS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned R5 (2-family residential)

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected; Cable available; Water connected; Sewer connected; 100 amp electric service
  • Home design: Duplex residential income property; Two levels
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Brick/mortar and stone foundation; Built for residential income use
  • Exterior features: Paved city street frontage; Publicly maintained road; Lot features: see remarks

Interior

  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Steam heating; Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Ceramic tile and hardwood flooring; Window air conditioning units; Steam and natural gas heating
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $475k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $595/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $475k).
  • Recommended offer: $468k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.3% in Hudson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#430 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F, employment F.
  • Hudson City School District (town): math 38% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #494 of 590 in NY (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.9%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 136 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,335/mo this rent would consume 88% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 1083% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $51k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $48k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Columbia County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $133k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$82k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($468k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $94k; list at $475k implies a 405% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $467,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.30%
Cash-on-cash
10.73%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$884,640
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19 8th St 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,058 (-10%) 4mo $799,000 $388 66
534 Washington St 0.39mi 4/2.0 1,990 (-13%) 14mo $469,000 $236 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.3%
Equity multiple
3.73×
Total profit
$362,585
Equity at exit
$427,918
10-year hold
IRR
31.2%
Equity multiple
9.10×
Total profit
$1,077,860
Equity at exit
$922,821

Cash invested: $133,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12534

Home prices YoY
5.6%
Rents YoY
10.9%
Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
14.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,335 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,491
Tax from tax record
$336 /mo · $4,033/yr
Insurance
$198
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,120
Net cashflow
$1,190

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,829
Max offer price $475,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,459 -5% $1,324 +0% $1,190 +5% $1,055 +10% $921
Rent -10% $768 -5% $979 +0% $1,190 +5% $1,400 +10% $1,611
Rate -1.0pp $1,429 -0.5pp $1,310 base $1,190 +0.5pp $1,067 +1.0pp $941

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $5,335

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$118,750
Closing costs
$14,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
437 State St Hudson, NY 3.0 3.0 1800 $8,000 $4.44 44d 1 0.55mi
258 Warren St Hudson, NY 3.0 2.0 2464 $5,300 $2.15 24d 1 0.85mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $475,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $475,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $475,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $475,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $475,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $475,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $475,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $475,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $475,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $475,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,033 · $336/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,030 · $503/mo
Expected delta
+$1,997/yr (+$166/mo · 49.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$64,020
− Mortgage interest
−$26,607
− Property taxes
−$4,033
− Insurance
−$2,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,122
− Management
−$5,122
− Depreciation
−$13,818
Taxable income
$6,943
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,666
After-tax cash flow
$12,610/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hudson City School District
NCES district ID
3614940
Math proficiency
38% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$44,663
Composite
36.03/100
National rank
#4779
State rank
#494 of 590 in NY

Livability — Hudson

Score
70/100
State rank
#430
US rank
#7443

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living C Crime C Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hudson, NY
County
Columbia County · 17,176 people
City population
17,176
Metro
Hudson, NY
Population (ZIP)
17,176
Household income
$72,741
Rent vs Own
36.4% rent · 63.6% own
Severe rent burden
1083.0

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,662 people
By 2030
56,557 · -3.6%
By 2040
51,324 · -12.5%
By 2050
45,790 · -21.9%
By 2075
35,232 · -39.9%
By 2100
25,846 · -55.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
D (+14.7) · D 57.4% · R 42.6%
2008→2024 swing
+1.3pp toward D · 2008: 13.4pp · 2024: 14.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.7 2020: D+16.7 2016: D+1.4 2012: D+11.7 2008: D+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 25.98%
Current HPI
490.0412
Rent YoY
▲ 10.88%
Metro
Hudson, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+630.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $475,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $475,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2025-08-01 Listed $499,900 HVCRMLS
  • 2025-08-01 Listed $499,900 HVCRMLS
  • 2014-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
  • 2003-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,033 · -5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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