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629 Tulip Ct
D+ Composite 46.75
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.0/15.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$265,000

629 Tulip Ct · Stedman, NC 28391
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,624 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 2004 0.37 ac lot Est $257k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the beautiful Stedman area. Corner lot, new carpet lots of space a must see. Awesome back yard with pool and plenty of space for entertaining.

Key facts

  • Bonus room
  • Granite countertops
  • Corner lot

Tags

BONUS ROOMCORNER LOTABUNDANT CABINET SPACEGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL REFRIGERATORPRIVATE FENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned R10 - Residential District; Located in the STEDMAN subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 2 covered parking spaces (2-car garage present)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Vinyl siding construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; One and one-half level design
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard with privacy fencing; In-ground pool; Level topography; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Fireplace with propane fuel

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-41 ($-495/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (2.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (20.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $210k (20.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.3% in Stedman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#107 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Stedman Elementary (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #302 of 1,410 statewide, top 23%, 271 students, 99% FRL); Mac Williams Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 1,151 students, 58% FRL); Cape Fear High (math 75% / reading 47%, grade C+, #202 of 535 statewide, top 39%, 1,529 students, 50% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $210,000 (20.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.67%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$256,592
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
712 Mill Bay Dr 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,573 (-3%) 2mo $213,750 $136 84
6217 Yorkie (lot 72) Ct 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,543 (-5%) 4mo $298,900 $194 74
620 Tulip Ct 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,415 (-13%) 1mo $238,000 $168 72
6204 Azelia Dr 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,618 (-0%) 15mo $250,000 $155 69
6251 Azelia Dr 0.10mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,671 (+3%) 20mo $263,500 $158 65
610 Bird Nest Ct 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,648 (+2%) 16mo $250,000 $152 65
713 Mill Bay Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,473 (-9%) 15mo $244,000 $166 64
6301 Emerson Grove (lot 1) Ct 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,774 (+9%) 10mo $314,900 $178 63
6213 Yorkie (lot 71) Ct 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,774 (+9%) 9mo $314,900 $178 63
605 Bird Nest Ct 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,742 (+7%) 19mo $250,000 $144 54
921 Fred Hall Rd 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,573 (-3%) 22mo $229,000 $146 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$141,651
Equity at exit
$238,733
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
6.65×
Total profit
$419,106
Equity at exit
$514,837

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28391

Home prices YoY
16.1%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,390
Tax from tax record
$200 /mo · $2,402/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$441
Net cashflow
$-41

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,152
Max offer price $257,715
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,250
Closing costs
$7,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6205 Yorkie Ct Stedman, NC 4.0 3.0 2069 $2,100 $1.01 13d 1 0.27mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    listed $265,000 Active
  2. 2022-08-30
    soldstatus $250,000 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Located in the beautiful Stedman area. Corner lot, new carpet lots of space a must see. Awesome back yard with pool and plenty of space for entertaining.

  3. 2022-08-30
    soldstatus $250 Closed 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Located in the beautiful Stedman area. Corner lot, new carpet lots of space a must see. Awesome back yard with pool and plenty of space for entertaining.

  4. 2022-08-30
    soldstatus $250,000
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Located in the beautiful Stedman area. Corner lot, new carpet lots of space a must see. Awesome back yard with pool and plenty of space for entertaining.

  5. 2022-08-09
    status Pending 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Located in the beautiful Stedman area. Corner lot, new carpet lots of space a must see. Awesome back yard with pool and plenty of space for entertaining.

  6. 2022-08-05
    price $250,000 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Located in the beautiful Stedman area. Corner lot, new carpet lots of space a must see. Awesome back yard with pool and plenty of space for entertaining.

  7. 2022-07-25
    listed $250,000 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Located in the beautiful Stedman area. Corner lot, new carpet lots of space a must see. Awesome back yard with pool and plenty of space for entertaining.

  8. 2022-07-25
    listed $245,000 Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Located in the beautiful Stedman area. Corner lot, new carpet lots of space a must see. Awesome back yard with pool and plenty of space for entertaining.

  9. 2005-06-07
    soldstatus $120,000
  10. 2003-04-02
    soldstatus $13,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,402 · $200/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,402 · $200/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 52% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,200
− Mortgage interest
−$14,844
− Property taxes
−$2,402
− Insurance
−$1,325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,016
− Management
−$2,016
− Depreciation
−$7,709
Taxable loss
−$5,112
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,227
After-tax cash flow
$732/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Stedman

Score
71/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#6799

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Stedman, NC
Population (ZIP)
5,956

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 12% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 46.06%
Current HPI
331.7099
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1938.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $265,000 LPRMLS
  • 2022-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
  • 2022-08-30 Sold (MLS) $250 TMLS
  • 2022-08-30 Sold (MLS) $250,000 LPRMLS
  • 2022-08-09 Pending TMLS
  • 2022-08-05 Price Changed $250,000 TMLS
  • 2022-07-25 Listed $245,000 TMLS
  • 2022-07-25 Listed $250,000 LPRMLS
  • 2005-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2003-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,402 · +24.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…