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96 Newbury Unit 9B
D Composite 40.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.5/30.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,900

96 Newbury Unit 9B · Danvers, MA 01960
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 565 sqft · Manufactured · 10 Days on market
Built 2019 Est $160k · 38% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this contemporary 1BR/1BA manufactured home located in a highly desirable Danvers community at 96 Newbury St. Well maintained by the owner, this 2019 Titan (46'x14', Serial #019-000-H-A004562A) features a bright, thoughtfully designed layout boasting cathedral ceilings that maximize the living space. Stay comfortable year-round with mini-split heating and cooling systems in both the living room and bedroom. Exterior highlights include a modern pitched roof, a private deck perfect for relaxing, a 2-car driveway, and an outdoor storage shed included in the sale. Unbeatable value with a low monthly park rent of $460, which conveniently covers real estate taxes, water, snow plowing,

Key facts

  • Private deck
  • Cathedral ceilings
  • Outdoor storage shed

Tags

CATHEDRAL CEILINGSMINI-SPLIT HEATING AND COOLINGPRIVATE DECKOUTDOOR STORAGE SHEDEASY ACCESS TO SHOPPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 off-street paved parking spaces; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Mobile home; Single-level entry
  • Construction: Built as reported by owner; No lead paint reported
  • Exterior features: Public transportation, shopping, park, walk/jog trails and highway access nearby

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen approximately 12 x 9 (108 sq ft)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom approximately 12 x 11 (132 sq ft)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Ductless cooling
  • Interior features: Total of 3 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (2.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $214k (2.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.0% in Danvers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#84 in MA, #4,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Danvers (suburban): math 38% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #157 of 302 in MA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Ivan G Smith (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B, #120 of 938 statewide, top 14%, 339 students, 0% FRL); Danvers High (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #157 of 343 statewide, top 47%, 777 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 17% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Danvers average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 40 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,032 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (590 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Essex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $213,769 (2.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.22%
Cash-on-cash
3.30%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$159,895
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
98 Newbury Unit 4A 0.01mi 1/1.0 600 (+6%) 10mo $180,000 $300 81
103 Newbury #11 0.07mi 1/1.0 600 (+6%) 17mo $170,000 $283 72
103 Newbury #37 0.07mi 1/1.0 600 (+6%) 19mo $175,000 $292 70
103 Newbury #20 0.07mi 1/1.0 600 (+6%) 23mo $159,900 $267 67
98 Newbury St Unit 22A 0.01mi 2/1.0 (+1) 500 (-12%) 14mo $33,000 $66 64
98 Newbury St Unit 39A 0.06mi 1/1.0 500 (-12%) 22mo $70,000 $140 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-31,095
Equity at exit
$32,788
10-year hold
IRR
-11.7%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-37,289
Equity at exit
$19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 01960

Rents YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,138 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax est. 1.5%
$275 /mo · $3,298/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$449
Net cashflow
$169

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,924
Max offer price $219,900
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1000 Crane Brook Way Peabody, MA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1137 $2,364 $2.08 1d 24 0.73mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $219,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-08
    listed $219,900 New 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,652
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$3,298
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,052
− Management
−$2,052
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$1,565
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$376
After-tax cash flow
$2,405/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Danvers
NCES district ID
2503990
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$77,753
Composite
40.83/100
National rank
#3631
State rank
#157 of 302 in MA

Livability — Danvers

Score
74/100
State rank
#84
US rank
#4339

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living F Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Danvers, MA
County
Essex County · 632,995 people
City population
27,991
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
Population (ZIP)
54,474
Household income
$96,501
Rent vs Own
34.6% rent · 65.4% own
Severe rent burden
2570.0

Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
840,920 people
By 2030
872,201 · +3.7%
By 2040
927,918 · +10.3%
By 2050
970,206 · +15.4%
By 2075
1,077,993 · +28.2%
By 2100
1,103,053 · +31.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Russian 6% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Essex

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.2% · R 38.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
0.0pp no change · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -565.60%
Current HPI
285.9699
Rent YoY
▼ -0.91%
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $219,900 MLS PIN

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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