96 Newbury Unit 9B · Danvers, MA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $915 – $1,699
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.5/30.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this contemporary 1BR/1BA manufactured home located in a highly desirable Danvers community at 96 Newbury St. Well maintained by the owner, this 2019 Titan (46'x14', Serial #019-000-H-A004562A) features a bright, thoughtfully designed layout boasting cathedral ceilings that maximize the living space. Stay comfortable year-round with mini-split heating and cooling systems in both the living room and bedroom. Exterior highlights include a modern pitched roof, a private deck perfect for relaxing, a 2-car driveway, and an outdoor storage shed included in the sale. Unbeatable value with a low monthly park rent of $460, which conveniently covers real estate taxes, water, snow plowing,
Key facts
- Private deck
- Cathedral ceilings
- Outdoor storage shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: 2 off-street paved parking spaces; Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Mobile home; Single-level entry
- Construction: Built as reported by owner; No lead paint reported
- Exterior features: Public transportation, shopping, park, walk/jog trails and highway access nearby
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen approximately 12 x 9 (108 sq ft)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom approximately 12 x 11 (132 sq ft)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Ductless cooling
- Interior features: Total of 3 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (2.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $214k (2.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.0% in Danvers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#84 in MA, #4,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Danvers (suburban): math 38% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #157 of 302 in MA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Ivan G Smith (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B, #120 of 938 statewide, top 14%, 339 students, 0% FRL); Danvers High (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #157 of 343 statewide, top 47%, 777 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 17% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Danvers average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 40 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,032 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (590 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Essex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.30%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $159,895
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 Newbury Unit 4A | 0.01mi | 1/1.0 | 600 (+6%) | 10mo | $180,000 | $300 | 81 |
| 103 Newbury #11 | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 | 600 (+6%) | 17mo | $170,000 | $283 | 72 |
| 103 Newbury #37 | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 | 600 (+6%) | 19mo | $175,000 | $292 | 70 |
| 103 Newbury #20 | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 | 600 (+6%) | 23mo | $159,900 | $267 | 67 |
| 98 Newbury St Unit 22A | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 500 (-12%) | 14mo | $33,000 | $66 | 64 |
| 98 Newbury St Unit 39A | 0.06mi | 1/1.0 | 500 (-12%) | 22mo | $70,000 | $140 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-31,095
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-37,289
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 01960
- Rents YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,138 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$275 /mo · $3,298/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $169
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 Crane Brook Way Peabody, MA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1137 | $2,364 | $2.08 | 1d | 24 | 0.73mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $219,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-08$219,900 New 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,652
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$3,298
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,052
- − Management
- −$2,052
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$1,565
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$376
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,405/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Danvers
- NCES district ID
- 2503990
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $77,753
- Composite
- 40.83/100
- National rank
- #3631
- State rank
- #157 of 302 in MA
Livability — Danvers
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #84
- US rank
- #4339
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Danvers, MA
- County
- Essex County · 632,995 people
- City population
- 27,991
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,474
- Household income
- $96,501
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2570.0
Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 840,920 people
- By 2030
- 872,201 · +3.7%
- By 2040
- 927,918 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 970,206 · +15.4%
- By 2075
- 1,077,993 · +28.2%
- By 2100
- 1,103,053 · +31.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 6% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Essex
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.2% · R 38.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- 0.0pp no change · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -565.60%
- Current HPI
- 285.9699
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.91%
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $219,900 MLS PIN
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…