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4669 Kirby Ave Duplex
B- Composite 69.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.9/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,900

4669 Kirby Ave · Cincinnati, OH 45223
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,330 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1953 6,447 sqft lot Est $140k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Great duplex opportunity in Cincinnati! This income-producing property offers two units with a functional layout, making it ideal for investors or owner-occupants looking to offset their mortgage with rental income. Conveniently located near shopping, parks, schools, and major highways, providing easy access to downtown and surrounding neighborhoods. A fantastic opportunity to add a solid property to your portfolio!

Key facts

  • Easy access
  • Two units
  • Functional layout

Tags

DUPLEX OPPORTUNITYINCOME PRODUCING PROPERTYTWO UNITSFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTCONVENIENTLY LOCATEDEASY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two total units; Two efficiency units listed (910 sq. ft. noted separately in source)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with 2 open parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
  • Home design: Duplex; One and one-half stories; Poured foundation
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Casement windows; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (duplex)
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; Wood-burning fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $962 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $481/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.7%/yr); 46 active listings in the ZIP; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,682/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 943% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,206 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.85%
Cap rate
14.72%
Cash-on-cash
30.11%
DSCR
2.34
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$139,800
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4686 Hamilton Ave 0.31mi 4/2.0 2,351 (+1%) 21mo $140,000 $60 67
1663 Bruce Ave #2 0.64mi 4/2.0 2,515 (+8%) 10mo $348,750 $139 49
4215 Kirby Ave 0.72mi 4/— 2,242 (-4%) 16mo $106,000 $47 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.7%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$52,131
Equity at exit
$21,605
10-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
5.67×
Total profit
$189,392
Equity at exit
$12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45223

Rents YoY
16.7%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,682 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$281 /mo · $3,366/yr
Insurance
$60
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$563
Net cashflow
$962

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,464
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,045 -5% $1,004 +0% $962 +5% $921 +10% $880
Rent -10% $751 -5% $857 +0% $962 +5% $1,068 +10% $1,174
Rate -1.0pp $1,035 -0.5pp $999 base $962 +0.5pp $925 +1.0pp $887

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,682

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $144,900 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $144,900 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $144,900 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,900 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $144,900 Active 85 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $144,900 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $144,900 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $144,900 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $144,900 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $154,900 Active 75 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $154,900 Active 74 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $154,900 Active 73 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $154,900 Active 72 DOM
  14. 2026-05-22
    price $154,900
  15. 2026-05-09
    price $164,900
  16. 2026-03-20
    listed $169,900 Active
  17. 2018-07-25
    soldstatus $357,900
  18. 2012-01-20
    historical
  19. 2011-07-20
    listed $49,900
  20. 2011-01-19
    historical
  21. 2010-07-19
    listed $49,000
  22. 2009-05-01
    soldstatus $10,000
  23. 2009-01-05
    listed $15,300
  24. 2008-04-17
    historical
  25. 2008-03-08
    listed $62,000
  26. 2007-10-25
    historical
  27. 2007-04-26
    listed $67,000
  28. 2006-09-11
    historical
  29. 2006-06-14
    listed $71,900
  30. 2003-01-31
    soldstatus $62,000
  31. 2002-12-09
    listed $65,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,366 · $281/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,366 · $281/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,184
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$3,366
− Insurance
−$1,391
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,575
− Management
−$2,575
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable income
$9,946
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,387
After-tax cash flow
$9,163/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cincinnati Public Schools
NCES district ID
3904375
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$35,743
Composite
25.21/100
National rank
#7508
State rank
#581 of 656 in OH

Livability — Cincinnati

Score
80/100
State rank
#130
US rank
#1856

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cincinnati, OH
County
Hamilton County · 701,295 people
City population
505,555
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
14,182
Household income
$49,312
Rent vs Own
51.4% rent · 48.6% own
Severe rent burden
943.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
826,054 people
By 2030
830,947 · +0.6%
By 2040
832,319 · +0.8%
By 2050
822,428 · -0.4%
By 2075
788,688 · -4.5%
By 2100
710,674 · -14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 33% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -171.27%
Current HPI
239.5488
Rent YoY
▲ 16.66%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+135.1% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $154,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $164,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $169,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2018-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $357,900 Public Records
  • 2012-01-20 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2011-07-20 Listed $49,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2011-01-19 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2010-07-19 Listed $49,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2009-05-01 Sold (MLS) $10,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2009-01-05 Listed $15,300 Cincy MLS
  • 2008-04-17 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2008-03-08 Listed $62,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2007-10-25 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2007-04-26 Listed $67,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2006-09-11 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2006-06-14 Listed $71,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2003-01-31 Sold (MLS) $62,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2002-12-09 Listed $65,900 Cincy MLS

Property tax history

+27.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,366 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…