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2717 Kinsey St
C- Composite 53.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.9/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

2717 Kinsey St · Rockford, IL 61109
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 822 sqft · SingleFamily · 26 Days on market
Built 1940 $103/sqft · 8% above area Est $79k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment Opportunity: 2-bedroom, 1-bath home currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease, generating $900/month with tenant paying all utilities. Offers a strong value-add opportunity with potential for cosmetic improvements. Features include a 1-car garage and functional living space. Ideal for investors seeking immediate cash flow with upside potential. Great starter home as well.

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 26 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property located in Rockford corporate limits; Directions: Southeast of Harrison Ave & 11th St
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space, 1 total parking space)
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Estimated living area; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions roughly 50 x 50 x 127 x 127; Lot under 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 10 x 15)
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms; Master bedroom on main level (approx. 10 x 10); Additional bedroom on main level (approx. 10 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Unfinished full basement; 4 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 77% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $72k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,626 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
8.87%
Cash-on-cash
9.21%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$78,617
List price
$84,900
Delta
7.99%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2930 11th St 0.28mi 2/1.0 832 (+1%) 1mo $120,000 $144 84
2837 10th St 0.26mi 2/1.0 816 (-1%) 5mo $30,000 $37 82
2822 Sewell St 0.27mi 1/1.0 (-1) 850 (+3%) 7mo $74,900 $88 71
1742 Pershing Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 780 (-5%) 6mo $95,000 $122 64
2817 9th St 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 874 (+6%) 1mo $149,900 $172 64
3129 Lapey St 0.55mi 2/1.0 776 (-6%) 3mo $80,000 $103 62
1733 Pershing Ave 0.49mi 2/1.0 792 (-4%) 12mo $82,000 $104 61
2846 8th St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 805 (-2%) 12mo $127,500 $158 60
3016 7th St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 836 (+2%) 4mo $128,000 $153 59
2641 Marshall St 0.28mi 2/1.0 720 (-12%) 15mo $55,000 $76 54
3110 Horton St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 914 (+11%) 11mo $117,000 $128 39
3138 Horton St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (+11%) 18mo $55,000 $60 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-2,081
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$13,393
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61109

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,067 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$180 /mo · $2,158/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$182

Break-even live

Break-even rent $836
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2846 Lapey St Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 43d 1 0.20mi
1418 22nd Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 43d 1 0.56mi
1420 22nd Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 43d 1 0.56mi
1211 21st Pl Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,350 $1.30 43d 1 0.69mi
1209 21st Pl Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,350 $1.30 43d 1 0.69mi
914 18th Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1123 $900 $0.80 43d 1 1.09mi
2010 Kishwaukee St Unit 20102-N Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 1000 $875 $0.88 43d 1 1.12mi
1524 Broadway Unit 1526-8 Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 43d 1 1.21mi
1530 Broadway Unit 1532-1 Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 700 $875 $1.25 21d 1 1.22mi
810 15th Ave Unit 810-1 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $995 $0.99 43d 1 1.33mi
810 15th Ave Unit 810-3 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $995 $0.99 21d 1 1.33mi
611 15th Ave Unit 2 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 806 $1,350 $1.67 43d 1 1.41mi
2208 Christina St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,300 $1.86 21d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Investment Opportunity: 2-bedroom, 1-bath home currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease, generating $900/month with tenant paying all utilities. Offers a strong value-add opportunity with potential for cosmetic improvements. Features include a 1-car garage and functional living space. Ideal for investors seeking immediate cash flow with upside potential. Great starter home as well.

  2. 2026-04-25
    listed $84,900 Active
  3. 2026-04-20
    listed $84,900 Active 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Investment Opportunity: 2-bedroom, 1-bath home currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease, generating $900/month with tenant paying all utilities. Offers a strong value-add opportunity with potential for cosmetic improvements. Features include a 1-car garage and functional living space. Ideal for investors seeking immediate cash flow with upside potential. Great starter home as well.

  4. 2024-12-26
    soldstatus $72,000
  5. 2017-10-11
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (236 chars)

    Step-saver ranch, cheaper than rent and close to shopping and bus route! Ceramic entry; some wood laminate flooring; two bedrooms; full basement; low-maintenance exterior; two-car detached garage. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property.

  6. 2017-09-29
    soldstatus $17,000 Closed Sale
    Show marketing remark (236 chars)

    Step-saver ranch, cheaper than rent and close to shopping and bus route! Ceramic entry; some wood laminate flooring; two bedrooms; full basement; low-maintenance exterior; two-car detached garage. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property.

  7. 2017-09-29
    soldstatus $17,000
    Show marketing remark (236 chars)

    Step-saver ranch, cheaper than rent and close to shopping and bus route! Ceramic entry; some wood laminate flooring; two bedrooms; full basement; low-maintenance exterior; two-car detached garage. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property.

  8. 2017-08-31
    price $19,900
    Show marketing remark (236 chars)

    Step-saver ranch, cheaper than rent and close to shopping and bus route! Ceramic entry; some wood laminate flooring; two bedrooms; full basement; low-maintenance exterior; two-car detached garage. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property.

  9. 2017-07-31
    price $24,500
    Show marketing remark (236 chars)

    Step-saver ranch, cheaper than rent and close to shopping and bus route! Ceramic entry; some wood laminate flooring; two bedrooms; full basement; low-maintenance exterior; two-car detached garage. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property.

  10. 2017-07-03
    listed $27,500 New
    Show marketing remark (236 chars)

    Step-saver ranch, cheaper than rent and close to shopping and bus route! Ceramic entry; some wood laminate flooring; two bedrooms; full basement; low-maintenance exterior; two-car detached garage. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property.

  11. 2017-06-29
    listed $19,900
  12. 2000-04-05
    soldstatus $49,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,158 · $180/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,158 · $180/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,802
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$2,158
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,024
− Management
−$1,024
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$946
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$227
After-tax cash flow
$1,961/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockford, IL
County
Winnebago County · 147,297 people
City population
147,297
Metro
Rockford, IL
Population (ZIP)
26,768
Household income
$62,973
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
941.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Philippines, China
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.42%
Current HPI
296.0019
Rent YoY
Metro
Rockford, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+73.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Pending NWIAR
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $84,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $84,900 NWIAR
  • 2024-12-26 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 2017-10-11 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-09-29 Sold (MLS) $17,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-09-29 Sold (MLS) $17,000 NWIAR
  • 2017-08-31 Price Changed $19,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-31 Price Changed $24,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-03 Listed $27,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-29 Listed $19,900 NWIAR
  • 2000-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,158 · +25.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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