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18541 Kingsville St
B- Composite 67.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

18541 Kingsville St · Harper Woods, MI 48225
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 904 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1941 4,792 sqft lot Est $69k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CALLING ALL INVESTORS!! FIX & FIIP INCOME PRODUCING- GREAT RENTAL PROPERTY

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1941

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Other water source
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 114 (0.11 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 7.7% in Harper Woods — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, schools D-.
  • Harper Woods School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #524 of 540 in MI (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $63,609 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
14.21%
Cash-on-cash
28.26%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$68,704
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16301 Coram St 0.19mi 3/1.0 929 (+3%) 1mo $19,500 $21 86
18746 Woodside St 0.27mi 3/1.0 921 (+2%) 2mo $110,000 $119 83
18591 Kingsville St 0.05mi 2/1.0 (-1) 824 (-9%) 1mo $74,000 $90 78
16277 Liberal St 0.32mi 3/1.0 945 (+4%) 1mo $25,000 $26 76
12897 Riad St 0.19mi 3/1.0 831 (-8%) 1mo $63,000 $76 76
16209 Tacoma St 0.45mi 3/1.0 968 (+7%) 1mo $62,900 $65 67
12893 Payton St 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,020 (+13%) 2mo $75,000 $74 66
16291 Fairmount Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 977 (+8%) 2mo $112,000 $115 56
15260 Faircrest St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 942 (+4%) 1mo $35,000 $37 54
18905 Woodland St 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,023 (+13%) 1mo $105,000 $103 54
11545 Roxbury St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,003 (+11%) 1mo $65,000 $65 47
16260 Bringard Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,036 (+15%) 0mo $80,000 $77 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
2.08×
Total profit
$21,086
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
4.54×
Total profit
$69,216
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48225

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,366 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$223 /mo · $2,673/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$461

Break-even live

Break-even rent $783
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $501 -5% $481 +0% $461 +5% $441 +10% $421
Rent -10% $353 -5% $407 +0% $461 +5% $515 +10% $569
Rate -1.0pp $496 -0.5pp $479 base $461 +0.5pp $443 +1.0pp $424

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16212 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 13d 1 0.11mi
15909 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $1,266 $1.42 44d 1 0.26mi
12716 Riad St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 974 $1,275 $1.31 18d 1 0.33mi
16225 Manning St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1036 $1,475 $1.42 44d 1 0.37mi
19144 Moross Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 44d 1 0.40mi
19152 Woodside St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 916 $1,500 $1.64 18d 1 0.45mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 15d 1 0.50mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 44d 1 0.50mi
19365 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 4.0 1.5 996 $1,650 $1.66 15d 1 0.51mi
19442 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 18d 1 0.59mi
12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 610 $875 $1.43 44d 1 0.62mi
11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 964 $1,150 $1.19 12d 1 0.67mi
16291 Eastburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 25d 1 0.68mi
19639 Moross Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 44d 1 0.68mi
15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 937 $1,275 $1.36 44d 1 0.70mi
19661 Kenosha St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 25d 1 0.70mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,040 $1.47 44d 1 0.75mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 13d 1 0.76mi
16410 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,250 $1.47 15d 1 0.78mi
19982 McCormick St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 866 $1,200 $1.39 4d 1 0.90mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 18d 1 0.96mi
10985 Peerless St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 5d 1 1.00mi
15663 Carlisle St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 803 $1,050 $1.31 15d 1 1.02mi
10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 955 $1,250 $1.31 13d 1 1.11mi
15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1018 $1,350 $1.33 44d 1 1.11mi
20461 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,399 $1.27 15d 1 1.17mi
10400 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 890 $1,100 $1.24 44d 1 1.17mi
14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 989 $1,150 $1.16 18d 1 1.18mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 1.19mi
10542 Lanark St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,250 $1.22 44d 1 1.26mi
10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 767 $1,250 $1.63 44d 1 1.28mi
20015 Lochmoor St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 1006 $1,500 $1.49 17d 1 1.28mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 4d 1 1.33mi
10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 4d 1 1.34mi
20600 Balfour St Harper Woods, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 971 $1,640 $1.69 0d 14 1.46mi
10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 18d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 663-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 107 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 106 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 105 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 104 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 101 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,900 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 92 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 91 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 90 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 89 DOM
  16. 2026-02-26
    listed $69,900 Active 80-char remark
    Show marketing remark (80 chars)

    CALLING ALL INVESTORS!! FIX & FIIP INCOME PRODUCING- GREAT RENTAL PROPERTY

  17. 2026-02-26
    listed $69,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (80 chars)

    CALLING ALL INVESTORS!! FIX & FIIP INCOME PRODUCING- GREAT RENTAL PROPERTY

  18. 2000-02-25
    soldstatus $79,000
  19. 1999-12-03
    soldstatus $79,000 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    Three bedroom bungalow. C of O has beencompleted by the seller. Wake up to the smellsof the bakery in the morning. Nicelylandscaped included is room for a garden. Loadsof updates. .. You can call this home!

  20. 1999-11-04
    historical 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    Three bedroom bungalow. C of O has beencompleted by the seller. Wake up to the smellsof the bakery in the morning. Nicelylandscaped included is room for a garden. Loadsof updates. .. You can call this home!

  21. 1999-10-05
    listed $79,800 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    Three bedroom bungalow. C of O has beencompleted by the seller. Wake up to the smellsof the bakery in the morning. Nicelylandscaped included is room for a garden. Loadsof updates. .. You can call this home!

  22. 1999-08-02
    historical
  23. 1999-07-19
    listed $79,900
  24. 1999-07-17
    historical
  25. 1999-05-20
    listed $79,800
  26. 1995-02-27
    soldstatus $55,900
  27. 1995-02-23
    historical
  28. 1995-02-22
    soldstatus $55,900
  29. 1994-08-04
    listed $55,900
  30. 1993-05-07
    soldstatus $42,500
  31. 1992-12-12
    soldstatus $13,000
  32. 1992-06-09
    soldstatus $9,296

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,673 · $223/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,673 · $223/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,396
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$2,673
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,312
− Management
−$1,312
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$4,802
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,152
After-tax cash flow
$4,380/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harper Woods School District
NCES district ID
2617760
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$46,155
Composite
8.8/100
National rank
#9892
State rank
#524 of 540 in MI

Livability — Harper Woods

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5054

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harper Woods, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
16,098
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
16,098
Household income
$61,750
Rent vs Own
33.8% rent · 66.2% own
Severe rent burden
410.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 28% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.40%
Current HPI
181.4961
Rent YoY
▲ 5.10%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+651.9% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
  • 1999-12-03 Sold (MLS) $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-11-04 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-10-05 Listed $79,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-08-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1999-07-19 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 1999-07-17 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1999-05-20 Listed $79,800 REALCOMP
  • 1995-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $55,900 Public Records
  • 1995-02-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1995-02-22 Sold (MLS) $55,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1994-08-04 Listed $55,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1993-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
  • 1992-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
  • 1992-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $9,296 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,673 · -50.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…