3279 Warrensville Center Rd Unit 15D · Shaker Heights, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Just move in and enjoy - newer appliance have never been used - ceramic tile floors in Kitchen, Foyer and dining area. Master bedroom with walk in closet - Hook up for washer and dryer in kitchen - 1 car garage with access through the lower level of building.
Key facts
- $640 HOA
- Garage
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (Shaker Gardens Condominium Association); Monthly HOA fee of $640; HOA covers association management, insurance, grounds and structure maintenance, parking, sewer, snow removal, trash and water
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story property; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Nearly 1.92-acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Two main-level bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Six total rooms
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-106 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $66k (22.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 2.5% in Shaker Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 89/100 on livability (#15 in OH, #134 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Shaker Heights City (suburban): math 50% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #309 of 656 in OH (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Mercer Elementary School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #670 of 1,584 statewide, top 45%, 307 students, 27% FRL); Shaker Hts Middle School (math 49% / reading 56%, grade C+, #378 of 654 statewide, top 59%, 651 students, 30% FRL); Shaker Hts High School (math 34% / reading 70%, grade D+, #343 of 781 statewide, top 47%, 1,498 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $85k implies a 336% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.33%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-22,749
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- -59.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.57×
- Total profit
- $-37,286
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44122
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,463 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$141 /mo · $1,687/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$640
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $-106
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-58 | -5% $-82 | +0% $-106 | +5% $-130 | +10% $-154 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-221 | -5% $-164 | +0% $-106 | +5% $-48 | +10% $10 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-63 | -0.5pp $-84 | base $-106 | +0.5pp $-128 | +1.0pp $-150 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
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- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3279 Warrensville Center Rd Unit 15D Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 985 | $1,400 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3290 Warrensville Center Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1150 | $1,575 | $1.37 | 45d | 3 | 0.05mi |
| 3310 Warrensville Center Rd Unit MT-403 Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 759 | $1,100 | $1.45 | 9d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 3310 Warrensville Center Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1052 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 9d | 2 | 0.05mi |
| 3310 Warrensville Center Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 998 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 25d | 2 | 0.05mi |
| 3255 Warrensville Center Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 3210 Warrensville Center Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1253 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 3d | 3 | 0.10mi |
| 3208 Warrensville Center Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1145 | $1,475 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3363 Warrensville Center Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 723 | $995 | $1.38 | 16d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 20005 Farnsleigh Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1407 | $5,045 | $3.58 | 3d | 8 | 0.22mi |
| 19601 Van Aken Blvd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1977 | $2,523 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 20835 Chagrin Blvd Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 20835 Chagrin Blvd Unit 35-5 Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 9d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 20835 Chagrin Blvd Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 20865 Chagrin Blvd Unit 2 Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 987 | $1,118 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 20865 Chagrin Blvd Unit 5 Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 20865 Chagrin Blvd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 20865 Chagrin Blvd Unit 3 Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 723 | $900 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 20865 Chagrin Blvd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 20865 Chagrin Blvd Unit CH-65-2 Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 20865 Chagrin Blvd Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 46d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 19606 Van Aken Blvd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,165 | $1.29 | 18d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3715 Warrensville Center Rd Beachwood, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $939 | $1.12 | 18d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3733 Warrensville Center Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 577 | $988 | $1.71 | 45d | 3 | 0.87mi |
| 3559 Gridley Rd Unit Up Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,495 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 20301 Shelburne Rd #9 Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 12d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 20301 Shelburne Rd #8 Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,850 | $1.95 | 12d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 20301 Shelburne Rd Unit 8B Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,850 | $1.96 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 20301 Shelburne Rd Unit 9B Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 17800 Winslow Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $2,000 | $1.79 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3609 Strandhill Rd Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 17612 Winslow Rd Apt 3 Shaker Heights, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,500 | $2.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 23220 Chagrin Blvd Beachwood, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1324 | $2,600 | $1.96 | 3d | 54 | 1.14mi |
| 3886 E 188th St Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 6d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 17014 Kenyon Rd Unit Down Shaker Heights, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $640 · $7,680/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-21remarks 587-char remark
-
2026-06-21$85,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,687 · $141/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,687 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,559
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,687
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,405
- − Management
- −$1,405
- − HOA
- −$7,680
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable loss
- −$2,276
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$546
- After-tax cash flow
- $-723/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shaker Heights City
- NCES district ID
- 3904475
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,421
- Composite
- 49.98/100
- National rank
- #1928
- State rank
- #309 of 656 in OH
Livability — Shaker Heights
- Score
- 89/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #134
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shaker Heights, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 69,880
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,678
- Household income
- $101,230
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1294.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 29% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 5% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -268.81%
- Current HPI
- 200.5087
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.15%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+83.6% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-19 Listed $85,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-08 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2026-01-27 Listed for Rent $1,400 YESMLS
- 2026-01-16 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2025-12-18 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2025-07-23 Listed $89,000 MLSNOW
- 2012-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records
- 2012-06-22 Sold (MLS) $19,500 MLSNOW
- 2012-06-14 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2011-07-20 Listed $23,900 MLSNOW
- 2008-10-17 Sold (MLS) $13,800 MLSNOW
- 2008-03-25 Listed $20,000 MLSNOW
- 2005-06-17 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2005-03-30 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2005-03-17 Listed $75,000 MLSNOW
- 2004-11-29 Listed $78,000 MLSNOW
- 1998-05-18 Sold (MLS) $56,500 MLSNOW
- 1998-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 1998-04-30 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1997-10-02 Listed $58,900 MLSNOW
- 1993-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records
- 1993-08-10 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1993-02-10 Listed $54,900 MLSNOW
- 1987-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 1983-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1980-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $50,500 Public Records
- 1978-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,300 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,687 · +13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…