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15921 Oak St
B- Composite 65.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

15921 Oak St · Roland, AR 72135
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 36 Days on market
Built 2001 0.48 ac lot $152/sqft · 11% above area Est $177k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Manufactured Home sitting on . 64 ac on permanent foundation with 4 year old Metal Roof that will never have to be replaced! Huge bonus is the 1 car enclosed Garage with garage door. There is also a nice storage shed with skylight and whirlybird air vent that is just a few years old. There is a serene view from the front porch and nice privacy in the back thanks to the extra . 16 ac lot behind that comes with this. All furnishings & appliances convey with the sale. Being Sold Furnished with all appliances!

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • New paint
  • New cabinets

Tags

NEW SUBFLOORSNEW SHEETROCKNEW WINDOWSNEW PAINTNEW FLOORINGNEW CABINETS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Financing options: VA, FHA, Conventional, or Cash
  • HOA & community: No-fee area amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage; Parking pads; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic
  • Home design: Permanent foundation mobile/modular home; Other (see remarks)
  • Construction: Metal/vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Outside storage area; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Electric range; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Includes bedrooms with walk-in closet(s)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat (electric); Central cooling (electric)
  • Interior features: Dryer connection (electric); Electric water heater; Walk-in closets; Wood-burning prefabricated fireplace; Sheetrock walls/ceilings
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Dryer connection (electric)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $771 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 2.2% in Roland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 47/100 on livability (#512 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime B+, housing B; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Pulaski County Spec. School District (rural): math 27% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #150 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $175k implies a 338% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
11.58%
Cash-on-cash
18.87%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$177,300
List price
$175,000
Delta
-1.30%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$20,640
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$80,847
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72135

Home prices YoY
-4.6%
Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,273 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $415/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$477
Net cashflow
$771

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,298
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $870 -5% $820 +0% $771 +5% $721 +10% $671
Rent -10% $591 -5% $681 +0% $771 +5% $860 +10% $950
Rate -1.0pp $859 -0.5pp $815 base $771 +0.5pp $725 +1.0pp $679

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    status $175,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Price Change 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Price Change 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Price Change 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    pricestatusdays on market $175,000 Price Change 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $188,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $188,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $188,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $188,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $188,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $188,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $188,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $188,000 Active 18 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $188,000 Active 17 DOM
  18. 2026-05-13
    listed $188,000 New Listing 685-char remark
  19. 2024-04-01
    soldstatus $40,000
  20. 2020-10-20
    soldstatus $42,500
  21. 2020-10-19
    soldstatus $48,000 Sold 517-char remark
    Show marketing remark (517 chars)

    Manufactured Home sitting on . 64 ac on permanent foundation with 4 year old Metal Roof that will never have to be replaced! Huge bonus is the 1 car enclosed Garage with garage door. There is also a nice storage shed with skylight and whirlybird air vent that is just a few years old. There is a serene view from the front porch and nice privacy in the back thanks to the extra . 16 ac lot behind that comes with this. All furnishings & appliances convey with the sale. Being Sold Furnished with all appliances!

  22. 2020-03-19
    status Under Contract 517-char remark
    Show marketing remark (517 chars)

    Manufactured Home sitting on . 64 ac on permanent foundation with 4 year old Metal Roof that will never have to be replaced! Huge bonus is the 1 car enclosed Garage with garage door. There is also a nice storage shed with skylight and whirlybird air vent that is just a few years old. There is a serene view from the front porch and nice privacy in the back thanks to the extra . 16 ac lot behind that comes with this. All furnishings & appliances convey with the sale. Being Sold Furnished with all appliances!

  23. 2020-03-07
    listed $48,000 New Listing 517-char remark
    Show marketing remark (517 chars)

    Manufactured Home sitting on . 64 ac on permanent foundation with 4 year old Metal Roof that will never have to be replaced! Huge bonus is the 1 car enclosed Garage with garage door. There is also a nice storage shed with skylight and whirlybird air vent that is just a few years old. There is a serene view from the front porch and nice privacy in the back thanks to the extra . 16 ac lot behind that comes with this. All furnishings & appliances convey with the sale. Being Sold Furnished with all appliances!

  24. 2003-09-15
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$415 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,120 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$705/yr (+$59/mo · 170.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,277
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$415
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,182
− Management
−$2,182
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$6,729
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,615
After-tax cash flow
$7,632/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pulaski County Spec. School District
NCES district ID
0511850
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$53,218
Composite
25.67/100
National rank
#7394
State rank
#150 of 238 in AR

Livability — Roland

Score
47/100
State rank
#512
US rank
#26199

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment D+ Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roland, AR
Population (ZIP)
3,442

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Estonian 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.84%
Current HPI
289.0993
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+288.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Price Changed $175,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $188,000 CARMLS
  • 2024-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2020-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
  • 2020-10-19 Sold (MLS) $48,000 CARMLS
  • 2020-03-19 Pending CARMLS
  • 2020-03-07 Listed $48,000 CARMLS
  • 2003-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $415 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…