15921 Oak St · Roland, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.1/15.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Manufactured Home sitting on . 64 ac on permanent foundation with 4 year old Metal Roof that will never have to be replaced! Huge bonus is the 1 car enclosed Garage with garage door. There is also a nice storage shed with skylight and whirlybird air vent that is just a few years old. There is a serene view from the front porch and nice privacy in the back thanks to the extra . 16 ac lot behind that comes with this. All furnishings & appliances convey with the sale. Being Sold Furnished with all appliances!
Key facts
- New flooring
- New paint
- New cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Financing options: VA, FHA, Conventional, or Cash
- HOA & community: No-fee area amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Garage; Parking pads; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Septic
- Home design: Permanent foundation mobile/modular home; Other (see remarks)
- Construction: Metal/vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Outside storage area; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Electric range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Includes bedrooms with walk-in closet(s)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heat (electric); Central cooling (electric)
- Interior features: Dryer connection (electric); Electric water heater; Walk-in closets; Wood-burning prefabricated fireplace; Sheetrock walls/ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Dryer connection (electric)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $771 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 2.2% in Roland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 47/100 on livability (#512 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime B+, housing B; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Pulaski County Spec. School District (rural): math 27% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #150 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $175k implies a 338% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.87%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,300
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -1.30%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $20,640
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $80,847
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72135
- Home prices YoY
- -4.6%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,273 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $415/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $771
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $870 | -5% $820 | +0% $771 | +5% $721 | +10% $671 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $591 | -5% $681 | +0% $771 | +5% $860 | +10% $950 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $859 | -0.5pp $815 | base $771 | +0.5pp $725 | +1.0pp $679 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16status $175,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Price Change 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Price Change 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Price Change 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricestatusdays on market $175,000 Price Change 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $188,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $188,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $188,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $188,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $188,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $188,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $188,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $188,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $188,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$188,000 New Listing 685-char remark
-
2024-04-01soldstatus $40,000
-
2020-10-20soldstatus $42,500
-
2020-10-19soldstatus $48,000 Sold 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
Manufactured Home sitting on . 64 ac on permanent foundation with 4 year old Metal Roof that will never have to be replaced! Huge bonus is the 1 car enclosed Garage with garage door. There is also a nice storage shed with skylight and whirlybird air vent that is just a few years old. There is a serene view from the front porch and nice privacy in the back thanks to the extra . 16 ac lot behind that comes with this. All furnishings & appliances convey with the sale. Being Sold Furnished with all appliances!
-
2020-03-19status Under Contract 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
Manufactured Home sitting on . 64 ac on permanent foundation with 4 year old Metal Roof that will never have to be replaced! Huge bonus is the 1 car enclosed Garage with garage door. There is also a nice storage shed with skylight and whirlybird air vent that is just a few years old. There is a serene view from the front porch and nice privacy in the back thanks to the extra . 16 ac lot behind that comes with this. All furnishings & appliances convey with the sale. Being Sold Furnished with all appliances!
-
2020-03-07$48,000 New Listing 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
Manufactured Home sitting on . 64 ac on permanent foundation with 4 year old Metal Roof that will never have to be replaced! Huge bonus is the 1 car enclosed Garage with garage door. There is also a nice storage shed with skylight and whirlybird air vent that is just a few years old. There is a serene view from the front porch and nice privacy in the back thanks to the extra . 16 ac lot behind that comes with this. All furnishings & appliances convey with the sale. Being Sold Furnished with all appliances!
-
2003-09-15soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $415 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,120 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$705/yr (+$59/mo · 170.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,277
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$415
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,182
- − Management
- −$2,182
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $6,729
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,615
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,632/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pulaski County Spec. School District
- NCES district ID
- 0511850
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,218
- Composite
- 25.67/100
- National rank
- #7394
- State rank
- #150 of 238 in AR
Livability — Roland
- Score
- 47/100
- State rank
- #512
- US rank
- #26199
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roland, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,442
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Estonian 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -13.84%
- Current HPI
- 289.0993
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+288.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $175,000 CARMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $188,000 CARMLS
- 2024-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
- 2020-10-19 Sold (MLS) $48,000 CARMLS
- 2020-03-19 Pending — CARMLS
- 2020-03-07 Listed $48,000 CARMLS
- 2003-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $415 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…