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401 N 11th St
B+ Composite 77.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$100,000

401 N 11th St · West Columbia, TX 77486
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 720 sqft · Manufactured public records · 124 Days on market
Built 1975 5,000 sqft lot ↓ 47% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

COMPLETE REMODEL. New FLOORING, COUNTERTOPS, PAINT, LANDSCAPING. Additions include private patio and extra bedrooms, large laundry/bonusLarge mud room with exclusive side entry into your own space. Built-ins to make the best use of space. Three or four bedrooms, two baths, a mudroom, a large living and dining area, a great eat-in kitchen and a bonus room that can be a bedroom, storage, or game room will give you plenty of space. Abundant and lush landscaping make the home a beautiful retreat. West Columbia is old-world charm and small-town quiet. Its proximity to Houston, Old Ocean for work and the Gulf for fishing make it a working fisherman's paradise.

Key facts

  • Complete remodel
  • New landscaping
  • New flooring

Tags

COMPLETE REMODELNEW FLOORINGNEW COUNTERTOPSNEW PAINTNEW LANDSCAPINGLARGE LIVING AND DINING AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport; Additional parking; 2‑space carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Window cooling units
  • Home design: Residential property facing west; Built in 1975
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Free‑standing range
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total — primary bedroom on the first floor; one bedroom on the first floor; one bedroom on the second floor
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Crown molding; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $514 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.4% in West Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Columbia-Brazoria ISD (town): math 35% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #513 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Columbia El (math 47% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,283 of 4,322 statewide, top 30%, 709 students, 60% FRL); West Brazos J H (math 34% / reading 32%, grade F, #930 of 1,662 statewide, top 57%, 676 students, 65% FRL); Columbia H S (math 13% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,389 of 1,632 statewide, top 86%, 889 students, 60% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (7.6% local appreciation)).
  • Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (7.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 7307% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
12.46%
Cash-on-cash
22.02%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.7%
Equity multiple
3.55×
Total profit
$71,530
Equity at exit
$73,463
10-year hold
IRR
32.9%
Equity multiple
7.54×
Total profit
$183,146
Equity at exit
$143,492

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77486

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,429 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $589/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$514

Break-even live

Break-even rent $779
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $570 -5% $542 +0% $514 +5% $485 +10% $457
Rent -10% $401 -5% $457 +0% $514 +5% $570 +10% $627
Rate -1.0pp $564 -0.5pp $539 base $514 +0.5pp $488 +1.0pp $461

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $100,000 Active 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 121 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 120 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 119 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 118 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 116 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 115 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 112 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 111 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 110 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 107 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 106 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 104 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 103 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    status Active
  17. 2026-05-03
    status Pending
  18. 2026-04-25
    status Pending
  19. 2026-04-08
    price $100,000
  20. 2026-02-23
    historical $1,350
  21. 2026-01-29
    listed $1,350
  22. 2026-01-28
    listed $135,000 Active
  23. 2025-06-30
    historical
  24. 2025-02-12
    listed $135,000 Active
  25. 2024-12-30
    historical
  26. 2024-11-21
    price $135,000
  27. 2024-09-25
    price $169,500
  28. 2024-08-27
    price $179,500
  29. 2024-07-28
    listed $188,000 Active
  30. 2024-07-06
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$589 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,830 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$1,241/yr (+$103/mo · 210.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,147
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$589
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,372
− Management
−$1,372
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$4,805
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,153
After-tax cash flow
$5,012/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia-Brazoria ISD
NCES district ID
4814670
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$57,256
Composite
30.23/100
National rank
#6297
State rank
#513 of 826 in TX

Livability — West Columbia

Score
70/100
State rank
#375
US rank
#7954

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Columbia, TX
Population (ZIP)
7,330

Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,414 people
By 2030
457,585 · +8.8%
By 2040
532,232 · +26.6%
By 2050
605,399 · +44.0%
By 2075
779,358 · +85.4%
By 2100
883,759 · +110.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 12% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria

2024 margin
R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.63%
Current HPI
320.7967
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-46.8% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-05-03 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $100,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Rental Removed $1,350 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Listed for Rent $1,350 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-28 Listed $135,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-02-12 Listed $135,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-12-30 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-11-21 Price Changed $135,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-09-25 Price Changed $169,500 HARMLS
  • 2024-08-27 Price Changed $179,500 HARMLS
  • 2024-07-28 Listed $188,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-07-06 Coming Soon HARMLS

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $589 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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