11 W Main St · Sidney, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment or starter home located in the village within walking distance to stores and churches. 2 story 4 bedroom and 2 bath home with large front porch.
Key facts
- Front porch
- Storage shed
- Functional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 5.2% in Sidney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Sidney Central School District (town): math 44% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #462 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sidney Elementary School (math 41% / reading 50%, grade D-, #1,271 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 527 students, 52% FRL); Sidney Middle School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #448 of 729 statewide, top 63%, 171 students, 53% FRL); Sidney High School (math 92% / reading 75%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 336 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $90k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.24%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $159,296
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -43.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 E Main St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,254 (-4%) | 5mo | $149,900 | $120 | 67 |
| 78 W Main St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,332 (+2%) | 7mo | $120,000 | $90 | 63 |
| 10 Cayuga | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,400 (+8%) | 3mo | $171,000 | $122 | 59 |
| 11 Secor St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,464 (+13%) | 7mo | $240,000 | $164 | 56 |
| 12 Cayuga St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,465 (+13%) | 3mo | $185,400 | $127 | 53 |
| 71 E Main St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,196 (-8%) | 5mo | $25,000 | $21 | 53 |
| 24 Sunset Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,348 (+4%) | 10mo | $197,000 | $146 | 52 |
| 3 Glen Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,182 (-9%) | 9mo | $94,900 | $80 | 49 |
| 2 Patterson St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,174 (-10%) | 11mo | $33,000 | $28 | 48 |
| 254 Bird Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,152 (-11%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $43 | 41 |
| 48 Union St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,144 (-12%) | 15mo | $150,000 | $131 | 40 |
| 274-276 Johnston Cir | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,152 (-11%) | 14mo | $93,000 | $81 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $29,376
- Equity at exit
- $38,437
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.12×
- Total profit
- $78,472
- Equity at exit
- $57,737
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active · 5 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.3 mo (30%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $100,000 ($69/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 83 d
- This list price
- 20% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +77.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 13838
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$159 /mo · $1,906/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $320
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $371 | -5% $345 | +0% $320 | +5% $294 | +10% $269 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $221 | -5% $270 | +0% $320 | +5% $369 | +10% $419 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $365 | -0.5pp $343 | base $320 | +0.5pp $296 | +1.0pp $273 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5355 Main St Sidney, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 93d | 1 | 0.26mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- No garage
- Utilities
- Public water connectedSewer connectedElectric service (implied)
- Home design
- Two-story homeExisting construction
- Construction
- Frame construction with vinyl sidingAsphalt shingle roofStone foundation
- Exterior features
- Blacktop drivewayOwned propane tankRectangular lotMain thoroughfare frontage
Interior
- Kitchen
- Galley kitchenGas ovenGas rangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- One bedroom on the main level
- Flooring
- HardwoodCarpetVinylVaries
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathroomsOne full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling
- Propane heatingForced air heating
- Interior features
- Ceiling fan(s)Separate/formal dining roomSeparate/formal living roomGalley kitchen
- Laundry & utility
- Main level laundryWasherDryerElectric water heater
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $89,900 Active 64 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $89,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $89,900 Active 62 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $89,900 Active 61 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $89,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $89,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $89,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $89,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $89,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $89,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $89,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $89,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $89,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $89,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $89,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $89,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $89,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $89,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $89,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $89,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $89,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $89,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $89,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $89,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $89,900 Active 30 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $89,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $89,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $89,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $89,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $89,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $89,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $89,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $89,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $89,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $89,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,906 · $159/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,906 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,906
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,200
- − Management
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $2,593
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$622
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,215/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen and bathroom, as well as the exterior and roof. Upgrading these areas will significantly enhance the home's appeal and marketability.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — dated and in poor condition
- Major bathroom fixtures — dated and in poor condition
- Moderate roof shingles — visible wear and tear
- Moderate exterior siding — weathered and discolored
- Minor front porch — cluttered and overgrown
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers ↑
- Resale repair and replace roof shingles — aesthetic appeal and potential water damage prevention ↑
- Both paint exterior and trim landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sidney Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3626850
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,110
- Composite
- 38.29/100
- National rank
- #4232
- State rank
- #462 of 590 in NY
Livability — Sidney
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8397
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sidney, NY
- County
- Delaware · 42,668 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,185
- Household income
- $51,287
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,668 people
- By 2030
- 40,337 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 35,514 · -16.8%
- By 2050
- 31,265 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 24,455 · -42.7%
- By 2100
- 19,529 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Iranian 9% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 40.1% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+18.4 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+9.6 2008: R+5.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- Current HPI
- 324.4858
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+52.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
- 2017-05-22 Sold (MLS) $33,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-10-17 Listed $37,000 UNYREIS
- 2014-03-13 Listed $49,000 UNYREIS
- 2013-07-28 Listed $59,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,906 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…