1914 W Barcelona Ave · Harlingen, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$103,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Starter 3 bedroom 2 bath home. Some upgrades include kitchen cabinets and wood flooring. Some additional TLC needed. Sits in a good size lot and it could be a great investment opportunity. Owner finance available.
Key facts
- Wood flooring
- Kitchen cabinets
- Good size lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $103k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $103k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
- Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 465 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $712 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 449 days — a 12% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $103k implies a 329% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 449 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.63%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $161,890
- List price
- $103,000
- Delta
- -36.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1713 Farley St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-5%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $139 | 62 |
| 1622 W Vinson Ave NW | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,148 (+8%) | 10mo | $175,900 | $153 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,661
- Equity at exit
- $15,358
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $26,644
- Equity at exit
- $8,906
Cash invested: $28,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78550
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 465
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,212 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$540
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,142/yr
- Insurance
- −$43
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $280
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $338 | -5% $309 | +0% $280 | +5% $250 | +10% $221 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $184 | -5% $232 | +0% $280 | +5% $327 | +10% $375 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $331 | -0.5pp $306 | base $280 | +0.5pp $253 | +1.0pp $226 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,750
- Closing costs
- $3,090
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2104 Multi National Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $1,100 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2204 Northridge Ave Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 955 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2204 Northridge Ave Unit 23 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 955 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2211 Northridge Ave Unit C Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 877 | $1,150 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2205 Multi National Unit A Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2218 Multi National Unit B Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 877 | $1,100 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2005 Southridge Ave Unit A Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 848 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2219 Northridge Ave Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $1,000 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2209 Multi National Unit D Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 18586 Primera Rd Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 821 W Matz Ave Unit B Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,300 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2101 N G St Unit B Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $950 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 121 W Ebano Ct Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,200 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 226 W Darrell Wayne Shipp St Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1917 New Combes Hwy Unit H Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $975 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 20558 Alta Vista Ct Unit C Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,125 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 20550 Alta Vista Ct Unit C Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,125 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 17931 Spruce St Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $1,850 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 22938 Monte Alto Ct Unit 22938-2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 22937 Monte Alto Ct Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,195 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $103,000 Active 449 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $103,000 Active 448 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $103,000 Active 447 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $103,000 Active 446 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $103,000 Active 444 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $103,000 Active 441 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $103,000 Active 440 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $103,000 Active 439 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $103,000 Active 438 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $103,000 Active 434 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $103,000 Active 433 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $103,000 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $103,000 Active 431 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $103,000 Active 430 DOM
-
2026-04-06status Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Starter 3 bedroom 2 bath home. Some upgrades include kitchen cabinets and wood flooring. Some additional TLC needed. Sits in a good size lot and it could be a great investment opportunity. Owner finance available.
-
2026-04-01historical 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Starter 3 bedroom 2 bath home. Some upgrades include kitchen cabinets and wood flooring. Some additional TLC needed. Sits in a good size lot and it could be a great investment opportunity. Owner finance available.
-
2025-12-01status Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Starter 3 bedroom 2 bath home. Some upgrades include kitchen cabinets and wood flooring. Some additional TLC needed. Sits in a good size lot and it could be a great investment opportunity. Owner finance available.
-
2025-12-01historical 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Starter 3 bedroom 2 bath home. Some upgrades include kitchen cabinets and wood flooring. Some additional TLC needed. Sits in a good size lot and it could be a great investment opportunity. Owner finance available.
-
2025-12-01$103,000 Active
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Starter 3 bedroom 2 bath home. Some upgrades include kitchen cabinets and wood flooring. Some additional TLC needed. Sits in a good size lot and it could be a great investment opportunity. Owner finance available.
-
2025-06-23price $103,000
-
2025-06-22price $103,000 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Starter 3 bedroom 2 bath home. Some upgrades include kitchen cabinets and wood flooring. Some additional TLC needed. Sits in a good size lot and it could be a great investment opportunity. Owner finance available.
-
2025-04-21$110,000 Active
-
2025-03-21$110,000 Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Starter 3 bedroom 2 bath home. Some upgrades include kitchen cabinets and wood flooring. Some additional TLC needed. Sits in a good size lot and it could be a great investment opportunity. Owner finance available.
-
2011-03-08soldstatus $24,000
-
1997-08-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,142 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,885 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- +$743/yr (+$62/mo · 65.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,548
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,770
- − Property taxes
- −$1,142
- − Insurance
- −$515
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,164
- − Management
- −$1,164
- − Depreciation
- −$2,996
- Taxable income
- $1,797
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$431
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,923/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harlingen CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822530
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,182
- Composite
- 24.94/100
- National rank
- #7566
- State rank
- #647 of 826 in TX
Livability — Harlingen
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #5347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harlingen, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 310,734 people
- City population
- 95,667
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,335
- Household income
- $49,007
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2251.0
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 14% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 76%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 48%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.60%
- Current HPI
- 167.7038
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.45%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+329.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Relisted — RGVMLS
- 2026-04-01 Delisted — RGVMLS
- 2025-12-01 Relisted — RGVMLS
- 2025-12-01 Delisted — RGVMLS
- 2025-12-01 Listed $103,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-06-23 Price Changed $103,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-06-22 Price Changed $103,000 RGVMLS
- 2025-04-21 Listed $110,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-03-21 Listed $110,000 RGVMLS
- 2011-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
- 1997-08-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,142 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…