🏷️ Likely Rental
624 Elmer Ave · Fort Wayne, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 Bedroom , 1 Bath with attached garage on nice lot with fenced in back yard. Close to shopping, Downtown and Zoo. New energy efficient furnace installed about 5 years ago. Home comes with all appliances included (Washer, Dryer, Refrigerator, Stove), but not warranted. House has been a rental for the last 6 years. Current tenant has been there 5.5 years. You can keep as an investment property or make it your own home.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1960
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family site-built home; One-story
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Patio; Fire pit; Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 150
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater; Water heater
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry area with gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 4.8% in Fort Wayne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in IN, #676 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
- Fort Wayne Community Schools (urban): math 22% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #263 of 301 in IN (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Franke Park Elementary School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #737 of 994 statewide, top 76%, 405 students, 78% FRL); Northwood Middle School (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #279 of 330 statewide, top 86%, 587 students, 70% FRL); North Side High School (math 19% / reading 51%, grade F, #266 of 369 statewide, top 73%, 1,474 students, 66% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 87 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.11%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $152,725
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 Mildred Ave | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (0%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $161 | 89 |
| 655 Irene Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (-4%) | 7mo | $147,000 | $149 | 71 |
| 402 Clayton Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-2%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $159 | 70 |
| 722 Russell Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 888 (-13%) | 7mo | $147,000 | $166 | 67 |
| 2662 Sherman Blvd | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 930 (-9%) | 6mo | $121,000 | $130 | 67 |
| 725 Lillian Ave | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,111 (+8%) | 2mo | $178,000 | $160 | 66 |
| 2214 Sherman Blvd | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+12%) | 3mo | $167,500 | $146 | 58 |
| 1016 Putnam St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-2%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $145 | 56 |
| 2502 Sherman Blvd | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 920 (-10%) | 6mo | $142,000 | $154 | 55 |
| 657 Florence Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-6%) | 10mo | $136,000 | $142 | 55 |
| 1918 Short St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 974 (-5%) | 8mo | $139,900 | $144 | 52 |
| 2006 Saint Marys Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 872 (-15%) | 7mo | $73,000 | $84 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $22,932
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 36.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.08×
- Total profit
- $80,025
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46808
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,202 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,134/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $459
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2718 Sherman Blvd Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $925 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 702 Archer Ave Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1273 | $1,499 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2315 Terrace Rd Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1466 | $1,600 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 344 Dunnwood Dr Unit 1 Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $695 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1437 Oakland St Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 607 Curdes Ave Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1072 | $1,450 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 706 3rd St Unit 1 Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $995 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1502 3rd St Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1915 Ellen Ave Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2102 W Point Dr Fort Wayne, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 685 | $1,116 | $1.63 | 13d | 44 | 1.26mi |
| 608 Anderson Ave Unit 1 Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $875 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3314 Foxcroft Dr Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,795 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1704 Sprunger Ave Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1141 | $1,400 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2005 Bayer Ave Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $895 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1626 Howell St Unit 201 Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1726 Tecumseh St Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,350 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 101 Three Rivers N Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $2,102 | $2.76 | 21d | 11 | 1.47mi |
| 1838 Kentucky Ave Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $975 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1516 Bayer Ave Fort Wayne, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,299 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-10status $70,000 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 599-char remark
-
2026-05-31$70,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,134 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,134 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,429
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,134
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,154
- − Management
- −$1,154
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $4,679
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,123
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,387/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Wayne Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1803630
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 21.68/100
- National rank
- #8275
- State rank
- #263 of 301 in IN
Livability — Fort Wayne
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Wayne, IN
- County
- Allen County · 326,813 people
- City population
- 326,813
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,684
- Household income
- $53,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 625.0
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 394,020 people
- By 2030
- 405,128 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 423,476 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 435,137 · +10.4%
- By 2075
- 450,293 · +14.3%
- By 2100
- 424,101 · +7.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% Korean 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -288.51%
- Current HPI
- 239.6115
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.98%
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-36.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $70,000 IRMLS
- 2021-12-22 Sold (MLS) $108,000 IRMLS
- 2021-10-27 Listed $109,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+11.7%/yrLatest (2024): $1,134 · +41.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…