621 50th St · West Palm Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- No hoa fees
- New a/c
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Single family residence; 1 story; Resale condition; Faces south
- Construction: CBS construction; Built on a foundation consistent with CBS construction
- Exterior features: Not on waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling (central air)
- Interior features: Bedroom layout is stacked; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet inside the home; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $285k (5.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $264k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.8% in West Palm Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in FL, #1,255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: West Riviera Elementary School (math 26% / reading 22%, grade F, #2,057 of 2,144 statewide, top 96%, 487 students, 83% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 28% / reading 29%, grade F, #482 of 571 statewide, top 85%, 826 students, 78% FRL); Palm Beach Lakes High School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,688 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 52% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 197 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $245k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 197 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.02%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $249,210
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616 53rd St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 676 (-4%) | 15mo | $240,000 | $355 | 76 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-26,081
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $6,776
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33407
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 305
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,428/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$599
- Net cashflow
- $351
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 32nd St Unit 1 West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,600 | $5.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2585 Spruce Ave West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 841 | $3,225 | $3.83 | 1d | 122 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $300,000 Active 197 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $300,000 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $300,000 Active 195 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $300,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $300,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $300,000 Active 188 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $300,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $300,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $300,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $300,000 Active 180 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $300,000 Active 179 DOM
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2026-04-07price $300,000
-
2025-12-02$310,000 Active
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2022-10-07historical
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2022-08-29price $270,000
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2022-08-22price $280,000
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2022-08-11$295,000 Active
-
2022-03-23soldstatus $245,000
-
2022-03-14soldstatus $245,000 Closed 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2022-03-14soldstatus $245,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2022-02-14status Pending 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2022-02-14status Pending
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2022-01-16price $249,000
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2022-01-16status Active
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2022-01-16status Active 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2022-01-16price $249,000 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2022-01-03price $229,000
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2022-01-03price $230,000
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2022-01-03historical
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2022-01-03price $229,000 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2022-01-03price $230,000 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2022-01-03price $235,000 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2022-01-03$199,900 Active
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2022-01-03$199,900 Active 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
-
2021-12-31historical $199,900 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Hidden Northwood Gem! This Home Features Two Bedrooms, One Bath, Tile Flooring, Central A/C, Appliances and More. Dual Driveways Provide Ample Off-Street Parking. All Sizes Approximate. Situated on Back of Lot with Privacy Hedge
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2021-12-28historical $199,900
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2018-11-25historical
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2018-09-25price $139,900
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2018-09-21$144,900 Active
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2012-11-21soldstatus $43,750
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2012-10-17historical
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2012-08-24$47,621
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2011-06-25historical
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2011-03-24$47,500
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2010-12-16soldstatus $17,500
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2010-12-01historical
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2010-07-19$19,900
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2009-11-20historical
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2008-11-30$23,900
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2008-11-20historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,428 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,490 · $208/mo
- Expected delta
- +$62/yr (+$5/mo · 2.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,204
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$2,428
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,736
- − Management
- −$2,736
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$729
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$175
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Palm Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1255
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Palm Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 222,012
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,851
- Household income
- $59,993
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2157.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% White 21% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -299.26%
- Current HPI
- 363.3995
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+500.0% since first listed42 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $300,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-02 Listed $310,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-10-07 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2022-08-29 Price Changed $270,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-08-22 Price Changed $280,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-08-11 Listed $295,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2022-03-14 Sold (MLS) $245,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-03-14 Sold (MLS) $245,000 MCRTC
- 2022-02-14 Pending — MCRTC
- 2022-02-14 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2022-01-16 Price Changed $249,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-01-16 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2022-01-16 Relisted — MCRTC
- 2022-01-16 Price Changed $249,000 MCRTC
- 2022-01-03 Price Changed $229,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-01-03 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2022-01-03 Price Changed $230,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-01-03 Price Changed $229,000 MCRTC
- 2022-01-03 Price Changed $230,000 MCRTC
- 2022-01-03 Price Changed $235,000 MCRTC
- 2022-01-03 Listed $199,900 Beaches MLS
- 2022-01-03 Listed $199,900 MCRTC
- 2021-12-31 Coming Soon $199,900 MCRTC
- 2021-12-28 Coming Soon $199,900 Beaches MLS
- 2018-11-25 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2018-09-25 Price Changed $139,900 Beaches MLS
- 2018-09-21 Listed $144,900 Beaches MLS
- 2012-11-21 Sold (MLS) $43,750 Beaches MLS
- 2012-10-17 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2012-08-24 Listed $47,621 Beaches MLS
- 2011-06-25 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2011-03-24 Listed $47,500 Beaches MLS
- 2010-12-16 Sold (MLS) $17,500 Beaches MLS
- 2010-12-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2010-07-19 Listed $19,900 Beaches MLS
- 2009-11-20 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2008-11-30 Listed $23,900 Beaches MLS
- 2008-11-20 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2008-06-01 Listed $49,900 Beaches MLS
- 2003-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 1992-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,428 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…