1310 Courtney Dr · Victor, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Deal died! Back on the market!! (Packing has begun, so please overlook any disruption that may cause!) Desirable location - backs up to woods! This lovely townhouse is a 10! Beautiful staircase leads to loft overlooking the front living space. Large 15' x 14' Trex deck (2009) through sliding glass doors off the formal dining room. Two skylights (2010) Newer windows through out & Van Guard glass block windows in basement (2012). First floor laundry. New H2O tank. Separate switches for ceiling fans and lights. Close to Thru-way, Rochester, Eastview Mall, Canandaigua and Victor.
Key facts
- Updated townhouse
- Cathedral ceilings
- Skylights
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed: cats and dogs
- HOA & community: Association: TJMG Properties; Monthly association fee of $220; Association covers common area maintenance, common area insurance, insurance, structure maintenance, reserve fund, snow removal and trash
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Attached garage with garage door opener; Two parking spaces (1 garage space listed)
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Two-story property; Resale condition; City street frontage; Rectangular residential lot (29 x 38)
- Construction: Built previously (existing); Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Copper and PEX plumbing; Full basement with sump pump
- Exterior features: Deck; Open porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Range hood; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Pantry; Quartz counters; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 on second level; Bedroom 2 on second level
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Main level bathroom included
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; HVAC energy-efficient features
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Living/dining room combination; Pantry; Quartz countertops; Sliding glass doors; Loft; Programmable thermostat; Thermal windows; Sliding doors
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-210 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $213k (14.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (10.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $213k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.6% in Victor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#122 in NY, #1,991 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Victor Central School District (suburban): math 56% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #222 of 590 in NY (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 284 units permitted in Ontario County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ontario County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $128k; list at $250k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.59%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $269,744
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -7.32%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6312 Bentley Dr | 0.04mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,382 (+1%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $166 | 90 |
| 1322 Courtney Dr | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,370 (+0%) | 3mo | $281,000 | $205 | 90 |
| 6316 Bentley Dr | 0.05mi | 2/1.5 | 1,440 (+6%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $188 | 85 |
| 1162 Hampton Dr | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 | 1,372 (+1%) | 4mo | $236,000 | $172 | 84 |
| 1170 Ridge Crest Dr | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,343 (-2%) | 8mo | $218,000 | $162 | 82 |
| 1128 Cunningham Dr | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 | 1,372 (+1%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $146 | 80 |
| 6275 Teasel St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,425 (+4%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $221 | 79 |
| 6273 Teasel St | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,425 (+4%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $193 | 77 |
| 1155 Cunningham Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,360 (-0%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $199 | 75 |
| 1182 Cunningham Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,365 (+0%) | 7mo | $220,500 | $162 | 73 |
| 6438 Sterling Cir | 0.49mi | 2/1.5 | 1,300 (-5%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $181 | 69 |
| 1136 The Grv | 0.42mi | 2/1.5 | 1,160 (-15%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $198 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-53,671
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-63,159
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14564
- Home prices YoY
- -12.8%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,240 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$344 /mo · $4,129/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$220
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$470
- Net cashflow
- $-210
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6316 Bentley Dr Victor, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 6141 Cedar Creek Way Farmington, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1272 | $2,122 | $1.67 | 3d | 17 | 0.69mi |
| 1188 Barry Pl Farmington, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1072 | $2,178 | $2.03 | 3d | 12 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $220 · $2,640/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-06$250,000 Active 1507-char remark
-
2018-01-04soldstatus $128,000
-
2017-12-29soldstatus $128,000 Closed Sale or Rented 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
Deal died! Back on the market!! (Packing has begun, so please overlook any disruption that may cause!) Desirable location - backs up to woods! This lovely townhouse is a 10! Beautiful staircase leads to loft overlooking the front living space. Large 15' x 14' Trex deck (2009) through sliding glass doors off the formal dining room. Two skylights (2010) Newer windows through out & Van Guard glass block windows in basement (2012). First floor laundry. New H2O tank. Separate switches for ceiling fans and lights. Close to Thru-way, Rochester, Eastview Mall, Canandaigua and Victor.
-
2017-11-21status Pending Sale 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
Deal died! Back on the market!! (Packing has begun, so please overlook any disruption that may cause!) Desirable location - backs up to woods! This lovely townhouse is a 10! Beautiful staircase leads to loft overlooking the front living space. Large 15' x 14' Trex deck (2009) through sliding glass doors off the formal dining room. Two skylights (2010) Newer windows through out & Van Guard glass block windows in basement (2012). First floor laundry. New H2O tank. Separate switches for ceiling fans and lights. Close to Thru-way, Rochester, Eastview Mall, Canandaigua and Victor.
-
2017-10-11historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
Deal died! Back on the market!! (Packing has begun, so please overlook any disruption that may cause!) Desirable location - backs up to woods! This lovely townhouse is a 10! Beautiful staircase leads to loft overlooking the front living space. Large 15' x 14' Trex deck (2009) through sliding glass doors off the formal dining room. Two skylights (2010) Newer windows through out & Van Guard glass block windows in basement (2012). First floor laundry. New H2O tank. Separate switches for ceiling fans and lights. Close to Thru-way, Rochester, Eastview Mall, Canandaigua and Victor.
-
2017-09-18status Active 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
Deal died! Back on the market!! (Packing has begun, so please overlook any disruption that may cause!) Desirable location - backs up to woods! This lovely townhouse is a 10! Beautiful staircase leads to loft overlooking the front living space. Large 15' x 14' Trex deck (2009) through sliding glass doors off the formal dining room. Two skylights (2010) Newer windows through out & Van Guard glass block windows in basement (2012). First floor laundry. New H2O tank. Separate switches for ceiling fans and lights. Close to Thru-way, Rochester, Eastview Mall, Canandaigua and Victor.
-
2017-09-12status Under Contract- Do Not Show 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
Deal died! Back on the market!! (Packing has begun, so please overlook any disruption that may cause!) Desirable location - backs up to woods! This lovely townhouse is a 10! Beautiful staircase leads to loft overlooking the front living space. Large 15' x 14' Trex deck (2009) through sliding glass doors off the formal dining room. Two skylights (2010) Newer windows through out & Van Guard glass block windows in basement (2012). First floor laundry. New H2O tank. Separate switches for ceiling fans and lights. Close to Thru-way, Rochester, Eastview Mall, Canandaigua and Victor.
-
2017-09-01$133,900 Active 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
Deal died! Back on the market!! (Packing has begun, so please overlook any disruption that may cause!) Desirable location - backs up to woods! This lovely townhouse is a 10! Beautiful staircase leads to loft overlooking the front living space. Large 15' x 14' Trex deck (2009) through sliding glass doors off the formal dining room. Two skylights (2010) Newer windows through out & Van Guard glass block windows in basement (2012). First floor laundry. New H2O tank. Separate switches for ceiling fans and lights. Close to Thru-way, Rochester, Eastview Mall, Canandaigua and Victor.
-
2007-11-01soldstatus $96,000
-
1997-10-01soldstatus $85,113
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,129 · $344/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,177 · $348/mo
- Expected delta
- +$48/yr (+$4/mo · 1.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,881
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$4,129
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,150
- − Management
- −$2,150
- − HOA
- −$2,640
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$6,715
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,612
- After-tax cash flow
- $-903/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Victor Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629640
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,046
- Composite
- 52.43/100
- National rank
- #1575
- State rank
- #222 of 590 in NY
Livability — Victor
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #1991
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Ontario County · 58,989 people
- City population
- 16,364
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,364
- Household income
- $115,625
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 357.0
Population outlook (Ontario County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,230 people
- By 2030
- 111,401 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 109,535 · -1.5%
- By 2050
- 104,895 · -5.7%
- By 2075
- 92,999 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 73,723 · -33.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 4% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ontario
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.4% · R 50.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.2 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.6 2012: R+1.6 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.90%
- Current HPI
- 279.9821
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+193.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $250,000 UNYREIS
- 2018-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
- 2017-12-29 Sold (MLS) $128,000 UNYREIS
- 2017-11-21 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2017-10-11 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2017-09-18 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2017-09-12 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2017-09-01 Listed $133,900 UNYREIS
- 2007-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 1997-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $85,113 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,129 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…