🏗️ New Construction
5182 Hopkins Ave · North Port, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICED TO SELL, THIS CORNER LOT IN BOAT RAMP/PARK COMMUNITY ON THE MYAKKA RIVER IN GULF COVE SUBDIVISION WOULD MAKE IDEAL LOCATION FOR NEW HOME OR INVESTMENT. LOCATED NEAR SCHOOLS, PUBLIC GOLF COURSES, PUBLIC BEACHES , FISHING & BOATING, SHOPPING, ANDWITHIN 15 +/- MINUTES TO THE REGIONAL SHOPPING MALL AND RESTRAUNTS.
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- Solid layout
- Corner unit
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential — Single Family Residence; Zoning: RSF3.5; Living area about 1,905 (public records); Builder and permit information listed as unknown
- Financial info: Tax information withheld from features
- HOA & community: No HOA indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: No water source listed; No sewer listed; Other utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Under construction (projected completion: 2026-11-01); East-facing
- Construction: Block and vinyl siding construction; Membrane roof; Slab foundation; New construction
- Exterior features: Lot about 0.23 acres; Road surface: Other
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating listed; No cooling listed
- Interior features: No interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: No laundry facilities listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $768 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 3.6% in North Port — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 2188 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 900% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $130k implies a 242% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.40%
- DSCR
- 2.75
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $34,426
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 32.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.33×
- Total profit
- $121,087
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33981
- Home prices YoY
- -7.5%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 2188
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,650 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$556
- Net cashflow
- $768
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5201 Forbes Ter Port Charlotte, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1664 | $3,200 | $1.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 13280 Foresman Blvd Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 13184 Eureka Cir Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $2,300 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 14167 Fillmore Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2252 | $2,400 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 13349 Buckett Cir Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1560 | $2,795 | $1.79 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4604 Club Dr Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2041 | $2,795 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 5496 Brussels Ter Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,900 | $2.79 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 6464 David Blvd Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $1,716 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6248 Drucker Cir Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $1,810 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 14277 Palm Ter Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $2,900 | $2.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6551 Coliseum Blvd Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $1,850 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 14550 River Beach Dr Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1696 | $2,997 | $1.77 | 21d | 4 | 1.37mi |
| 12174 Terkelsen Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,200 | $2.29 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 12129 Grosspoint Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $2,300 | $1.66 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $130,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $130,000
-
2026-05-04$13,000 Active
-
2006-11-29soldstatus $38,000 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
PRICED TO SELL, THIS CORNER LOT IN BOAT RAMP/PARK COMMUNITY ON THE MYAKKA RIVER IN GULF COVE SUBDIVISION WOULD MAKE IDEAL LOCATION FOR NEW HOME OR INVESTMENT. LOCATED NEAR SCHOOLS, PUBLIC GOLF COURSES, PUBLIC BEACHES , FISHING & BOATING, SHOPPING, ANDWITHIN 15 +/- MINUTES TO THE REGIONAL SHOPPING MALL AND RESTRAUNTS.
-
2006-04-17$43,500 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
PRICED TO SELL, THIS CORNER LOT IN BOAT RAMP/PARK COMMUNITY ON THE MYAKKA RIVER IN GULF COVE SUBDIVISION WOULD MAKE IDEAL LOCATION FOR NEW HOME OR INVESTMENT. LOCATED NEAR SCHOOLS, PUBLIC GOLF COURSES, PUBLIC BEACHES , FISHING & BOATING, SHOPPING, ANDWITHIN 15 +/- MINUTES TO THE REGIONAL SHOPPING MALL AND RESTRAUNTS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,799
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,950
- − Insurance
- −$5,768
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,544
- − Management
- −$2,544
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $7,929
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,903
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,319/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Port
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #3975
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 75,324
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,622
- Household income
- $84,098
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 105.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -28.09%
- Current HPI
- 346.5247
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.29%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+198.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Listed $13,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-11-29 Sold (MLS) $38,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-04-17 Listed $43,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…