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5182 Hopkins Ave 🏗️ New Construction
B Composite 72.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

5182 Hopkins Ave · North Port, FL 33981
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,905 sqft · Land · 45 Days on market
Built 2024 9,865 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRICED TO SELL, THIS CORNER LOT IN BOAT RAMP/PARK COMMUNITY ON THE MYAKKA RIVER IN GULF COVE SUBDIVISION WOULD MAKE IDEAL LOCATION FOR NEW HOME OR INVESTMENT. LOCATED NEAR SCHOOLS, PUBLIC GOLF COURSES, PUBLIC BEACHES , FISHING & BOATING, SHOPPING, ANDWITHIN 15 +/- MINUTES TO THE REGIONAL SHOPPING MALL AND RESTRAUNTS.

Key facts

  • Spacious lot
  • Solid layout
  • Corner unit

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTSOLID LAYOUTCORNER UNIT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential — Single Family Residence; Zoning: RSF3.5; Living area about 1,905 (public records); Builder and permit information listed as unknown
  • Financial info: Tax information withheld from features
  • HOA & community: No HOA indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: No water source listed; No sewer listed; Other utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Under construction (projected completion: 2026-11-01); East-facing
  • Construction: Block and vinyl siding construction; Membrane roof; Slab foundation; New construction
  • Exterior features: Lot about 0.23 acres; Road surface: Other

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating listed; No cooling listed
  • Interior features: No interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry facilities listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $768 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 3.6% in North Port — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 2188 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 900% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $130k implies a 242% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $126,100 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.04%
Cap rate
17.32%
Cash-on-cash
39.40%
DSCR
2.75
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$34,426
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
32.1%
Equity multiple
4.33×
Total profit
$121,087
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33981

Home prices YoY
-7.5%
Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
2188
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,650 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
Insurance
$54
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$556
Net cashflow
$768

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,677
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5201 Forbes Ter Port Charlotte, FL 4.0 2.0 1664 $3,200 $1.92 21d 1 0.64mi
13280 Foresman Blvd Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,800 $1.87 13d 1 0.73mi
13184 Eureka Cir Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1640 $2,300 $1.40 21d 1 0.86mi
14167 Fillmore Ave Port Charlotte, FL 4.0 2.0 2252 $2,400 $1.07 21d 1 0.91mi
13349 Buckett Cir Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 3.0 1560 $2,795 $1.79 21d 1 1.01mi
4604 Club Dr Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 2041 $2,795 $1.37 21d 1 1.08mi
5496 Brussels Ter Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $3,900 $2.79 21d 1 1.09mi
6464 David Blvd Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1613 $1,716 $1.06 21d 1 1.11mi
6248 Drucker Cir Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1414 $1,810 $1.28 13d 1 1.19mi
14277 Palm Ter Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1316 $2,900 $2.20 21d 1 1.23mi
6551 Coliseum Blvd Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1386 $1,850 $1.33 13d 1 1.36mi
14550 River Beach Dr Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0–2.5 1696 $2,997 $1.77 21d 4 1.37mi
12174 Terkelsen Ave Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $3,200 $2.29 21d 1 1.43mi
12129 Grosspoint Ave Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1388 $2,300 $1.66 21d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $130,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $130,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $130,000 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    price $130,000
  18. 2026-05-04
    listed $13,000 Active
  19. 2006-11-29
    soldstatus $38,000 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    PRICED TO SELL, THIS CORNER LOT IN BOAT RAMP/PARK COMMUNITY ON THE MYAKKA RIVER IN GULF COVE SUBDIVISION WOULD MAKE IDEAL LOCATION FOR NEW HOME OR INVESTMENT. LOCATED NEAR SCHOOLS, PUBLIC GOLF COURSES, PUBLIC BEACHES , FISHING & BOATING, SHOPPING, ANDWITHIN 15 +/- MINUTES TO THE REGIONAL SHOPPING MALL AND RESTRAUNTS.

  20. 2006-04-17
    listed $43,500 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    PRICED TO SELL, THIS CORNER LOT IN BOAT RAMP/PARK COMMUNITY ON THE MYAKKA RIVER IN GULF COVE SUBDIVISION WOULD MAKE IDEAL LOCATION FOR NEW HOME OR INVESTMENT. LOCATED NEAR SCHOOLS, PUBLIC GOLF COURSES, PUBLIC BEACHES , FISHING & BOATING, SHOPPING, ANDWITHIN 15 +/- MINUTES TO THE REGIONAL SHOPPING MALL AND RESTRAUNTS.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,799
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,950
− Insurance
−$5,768
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,544
− Management
−$2,544
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$7,929
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,903
After-tax cash flow
$7,319/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte
NCES district ID
1200240
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,864
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2586
State rank
#22 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Port

Score
75/100
State rank
#252
US rank
#3975

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Charlotte County · 196,994 people
City population
75,324
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
Population (ZIP)
15,622
Household income
$84,098
Rent vs Own
9.3% rent · 90.7% own
Severe rent burden
105.0

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,646 people
By 2030
210,507 · +6.0%
By 2040
230,857 · +16.2%
By 2050
247,148 · +24.4%
By 2075
281,777 · +41.8%
By 2100
293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -28.09%
Current HPI
346.5247
Rent YoY
▲ 5.29%
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+198.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $13,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-11-29 Sold (MLS) $38,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-04-17 Listed $43,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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