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116 Hampden Rd
D+ Composite 47.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,900

116 Hampden Rd · Cypress Gardens, FL 33884
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,225 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 181 Days on market
Built 1966 0.30 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Pool home close to Legoland! No HOA. Detached 2-garage with workshop area and rear gate to Miller Drive SE. Whole house generator, New Roof in 2022, pool remarcited in 2019. Lake Summit boat ramp 4 blocks east. one block north of Lake Eloise. Make this your home or a great investment property for vacation or long-term rental. Great location!

Key facts

  • Nice sized pool
  • Covered back patio
  • Duplex layout

Tags

DUPLEX LAYOUTCOVERED BACK PATIONICE SIZED POOLDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.3 acres (105 x 122), asphalt road access
  • HOA & community: No association indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces west; R-1 zoning
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built with approximately 2720 total building area
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features; In-ground private pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Split-bedroom layout; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry features: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (0.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#110 in FL, #1,693 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
  • Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 680 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $219,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.13%
Cash-on-cash
3.00%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.8%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-32,012
Equity at exit
$37,261
10-year hold
IRR
-5.6%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-24,167
Equity at exit
$21,607

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33884

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
680
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,490 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$377 /mo · $4,529/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$523
Net cashflow
$175

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,268
Max offer price $249,900
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2005 N Lake Eloise Dr Winter Haven, FL 3.0 2.0 1513 $1,950 $1.29 3d 1 0.21mi
227 W Lake Ina Dr Winter Haven, FL 3.0 2.0 1764 $2,500 $1.42 23d 1 0.34mi
919 S AVE SE Unit 1325030P Eloise, FL 3.0 2.0 1722 $2,954 $1.72 3d 1 0.61mi
2249 9th St SE Winter Haven, FL 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,449 $0.95 19d 1 0.63mi
2014 8th Ter SE Winter Haven, FL 4.0 3.5 2722 $3,450 $1.27 3d 1 0.72mi
1042 Michelangelo Ln Winter Haven, FL 4.0 2.5 2386 $2,275 $0.95 3d 1 1.26mi
252 Santa Rosa Dr Winter Haven, FL 3.0 2.0 2116 $2,495 $1.18 23d 1 1.26mi
1050 Michelangelo Ln Winter Haven, FL 3.0 2.0 1659 $2,100 $1.27 14d 1 1.28mi
2066 Katie Ct Winter Haven, FL 3.0 2.0 1802 $2,055 $1.14 14d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-30
    historical
  3. 2025-10-31
    listed $249,900 Active
  4. 2025-04-06
    historical
  5. 2025-03-14
    price $335,000
  6. 2025-02-05
    listed $360,000 Active
  7. 2024-02-24
    historical $2,200
  8. 2023-09-28
    price $2,200
  9. 2023-09-03
    listed $2,800
  10. 2023-08-02
    historical 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Pool home close to Legoland! No HOA. Detached 2-garage with workshop area and rear gate to Miller Drive SE. Whole house generator, New Roof in 2022, pool remarcited in 2019. Lake Summit boat ramp 4 blocks east. one block north of Lake Eloise. Make this your home or a great investment property for vacation or long-term rental. Great location!

  11. 2023-06-30
    price $390,000 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Pool home close to Legoland! No HOA. Detached 2-garage with workshop area and rear gate to Miller Drive SE. Whole house generator, New Roof in 2022, pool remarcited in 2019. Lake Summit boat ramp 4 blocks east. one block north of Lake Eloise. Make this your home or a great investment property for vacation or long-term rental. Great location!

  12. 2023-05-17
    listed $400,000 Active 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Pool home close to Legoland! No HOA. Detached 2-garage with workshop area and rear gate to Miller Drive SE. Whole house generator, New Roof in 2022, pool remarcited in 2019. Lake Summit boat ramp 4 blocks east. one block north of Lake Eloise. Make this your home or a great investment property for vacation or long-term rental. Great location!

  13. 2022-07-22
    soldstatus $370,000
  14. 2022-07-20
    soldstatus $370,000 Closed
  15. 2022-06-14
    status Pending
  16. 2022-06-11
    listed $315,000 Active
  17. 1985-07-01
    soldstatus $75,000
  18. 1969-11-01
    soldstatus $23,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,529 · $377/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,529 · $377/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,876
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$4,529
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,390
− Management
−$2,390
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable loss
−$1,951
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$468
After-tax cash flow
$2,565/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk
NCES district ID
1201590
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,979
Composite
34.74/100
National rank
#5132
State rank
#62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Cypress Gardens

Score
80/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#1693

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cypress Gardens, FL
County
Polk County · 740,051 people
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Population (ZIP)
37,561
Household income
$70,443
Rent vs Own
25.7% rent · 74.3% own
Severe rent burden
949.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
752,975 people
By 2030
804,621 · +6.9%
By 2040
906,117 · +20.3%
By 2050
1,000,476 · +32.9%
By 2075
1,197,520 · +59.0%
By 2100
1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.69%
Current HPI
260.1421
Rent YoY
▲ 1.90%
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+945.6% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-06 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-14 Price Changed $335,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-05 Listed $360,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-24 Rental Removed $2,200 STELLARMLS
  • 2023-09-28 Price Changed $2,200 STELLARMLS
  • 2023-09-03 Listed for Rent $2,800 STELLARMLS
  • 2023-08-02 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2023-06-30 Price Changed $390,000 realMLS
  • 2023-05-17 Listed $400,000 realMLS
  • 2022-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $370,000 Public Records
  • 2022-07-20 Sold (MLS) $370,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-14 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-11 Listed $315,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1985-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 1969-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,529 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…