116 Hampden Rd · Cypress Gardens, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Pool home close to Legoland! No HOA. Detached 2-garage with workshop area and rear gate to Miller Drive SE. Whole house generator, New Roof in 2022, pool remarcited in 2019. Lake Summit boat ramp 4 blocks east. one block north of Lake Eloise. Make this your home or a great investment property for vacation or long-term rental. Great location!
Key facts
- Nice sized pool
- Covered back patio
- Duplex layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.3 acres (105 x 122), asphalt road access
- HOA & community: No association indicated
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces west; R-1 zoning
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built with approximately 2720 total building area
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; In-ground private pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Split-bedroom layout; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry features: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (0.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#110 in FL, #1,693 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 680 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.00%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-32,012
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-24,167
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33884
- Home prices YoY
- -34.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 680
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,490 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$377 /mo · $4,529/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$523
- Net cashflow
- $175
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 N Lake Eloise Dr Winter Haven, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,950 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 227 W Lake Ina Dr Winter Haven, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1764 | $2,500 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 919 S AVE SE Unit 1325030P Eloise, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1722 | $2,954 | $1.72 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2249 9th St SE Winter Haven, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,449 | $0.95 | 19d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2014 8th Ter SE Winter Haven, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2722 | $3,450 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1042 Michelangelo Ln Winter Haven, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2386 | $2,275 | $0.95 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 252 Santa Rosa Dr Winter Haven, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2116 | $2,495 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1050 Michelangelo Ln Winter Haven, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1659 | $2,100 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2066 Katie Ct Winter Haven, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1802 | $2,055 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-04-30historical
-
2025-10-31$249,900 Active
-
2025-04-06historical
-
2025-03-14price $335,000
-
2025-02-05$360,000 Active
-
2024-02-24historical $2,200
-
2023-09-28price $2,200
-
2023-09-03$2,800
-
2023-08-02historical 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Pool home close to Legoland! No HOA. Detached 2-garage with workshop area and rear gate to Miller Drive SE. Whole house generator, New Roof in 2022, pool remarcited in 2019. Lake Summit boat ramp 4 blocks east. one block north of Lake Eloise. Make this your home or a great investment property for vacation or long-term rental. Great location!
-
2023-06-30price $390,000 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Pool home close to Legoland! No HOA. Detached 2-garage with workshop area and rear gate to Miller Drive SE. Whole house generator, New Roof in 2022, pool remarcited in 2019. Lake Summit boat ramp 4 blocks east. one block north of Lake Eloise. Make this your home or a great investment property for vacation or long-term rental. Great location!
-
2023-05-17$400,000 Active 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Pool home close to Legoland! No HOA. Detached 2-garage with workshop area and rear gate to Miller Drive SE. Whole house generator, New Roof in 2022, pool remarcited in 2019. Lake Summit boat ramp 4 blocks east. one block north of Lake Eloise. Make this your home or a great investment property for vacation or long-term rental. Great location!
-
2022-07-22soldstatus $370,000
-
2022-07-20soldstatus $370,000 Closed
-
2022-06-14status Pending
-
2022-06-11$315,000 Active
-
1985-07-01soldstatus $75,000
-
1969-11-01soldstatus $23,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,529 · $377/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,529 · $377/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,876
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$4,529
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,390
- − Management
- −$2,390
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$1,951
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$468
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,565/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Cypress Gardens
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #1693
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cypress Gardens, FL
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,561
- Household income
- $70,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 949.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.69%
- Current HPI
- 260.1421
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.90%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+945.6% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-31 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-06 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-14 Price Changed $335,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-05 Listed $360,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-24 Rental Removed $2,200 STELLARMLS
- 2023-09-28 Price Changed $2,200 STELLARMLS
- 2023-09-03 Listed for Rent $2,800 STELLARMLS
- 2023-08-02 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2023-06-30 Price Changed $390,000 realMLS
- 2023-05-17 Listed $400,000 realMLS
- 2022-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $370,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-20 Sold (MLS) $370,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-11 Listed $315,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1985-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 1969-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,529 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…