4544 Shades Crest Rd · Helena, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 44.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$335,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 4-bedroom, 3.5-bath home sits on 1.7 acres with beautiful mountain views and multiple decks to enjoy the scenery. Inside, you’ll find a spacious layout with a living room, dining room, and a finished basement den, along with a separate laundry area for added convenience. The oversized master bedroom offers approximately 300 square feet, providing a comfortable private retreat. Real hardwood floors run throughout most of the home, adding warmth and character. A detached workshop is located at the back of the property, complete with electricity and a garage door—ideal for storage, hobbies, or projects. With generous living space, scenic surroundings, and a functional layout, this property offers a great combination of comfort, privacy, and versatility.
Key facts
- 1.71 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1964
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-369 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (19.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (38.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $205k (38.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 4.1% in Helena — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#39 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Shelby County (suburban): math 30% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #16 of 129 in AL (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 987 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shelby County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $135k; list at $335k implies a 148% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.73%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 13.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $407,500
- List price
- $335,000
- Delta
- -17.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237 Scotts Trce | 0.17mi | 4/3.0 | 2,347 (+4%) | 12mo | $339,900 | $145 | 71 |
| 1079 Asbury Cir | 0.53mi | 4/3.5 | 2,248 (-0%) | 6mo | $450,000 | $200 | 68 |
| 2721 Crossvine Dr | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 | 2,113 (-6%) | 14mo | $335,000 | $159 | 63 |
| 2939 Glen Gate Dr | 0.63mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,252 (-0%) | 3mo | $337,000 | $150 | 59 |
| 2656 Piedmont Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,084 (-8%) | 3mo | $400,000 | $192 | 58 |
| 2752 Oakleaf Cir | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 | 2,085 (-8%) | 2mo | $480,001 | $230 | 55 |
| 90 Countryside Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,229 (-1%) | 9mo | $394,500 | $177 | 54 |
| 1063 Asbury Cir | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 | 2,280 (+1%) | 20mo | $502,450 | $220 | 54 |
| 1082 Asbury Cir | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 | 2,350 (+4%) | 13mo | $460,000 | $196 | 52 |
| 2694 Piedmont Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,060 (-9%) | 12mo | $395,000 | $192 | 50 |
| 220 Chestnut Forest Dr | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 | 2,529 (+12%) | 1mo | $399,900 | $158 | 42 |
| 2722 Piedmont Dr | 0.40mi | 4/2.5 | 2,554 (+13%) | 23mo | $355,000 | $139 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-67,127
- Equity at exit
- $49,950
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-40,039
- Equity at exit
- $28,965
Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35022
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Rents YoY
- 14.8%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 13.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,053 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,757
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,143/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $-369
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,750
- Closing costs
- $10,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $335,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $335,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $335,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $335,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $335,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $335,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $335,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $335,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $335,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $335,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $335,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $335,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $335,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $335,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $335,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-07historical Contingent 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
This 4-bedroom, 3.5-bath home sits on 1.7 acres with beautiful mountain views and multiple decks to enjoy the scenery. Inside, you’ll find a spacious layout with a living room, dining room, and a finished basement den, along with a separate laundry area for added convenience. The oversized master bedroom offers approximately 300 square feet, providing a comfortable private retreat. Real hardwood floors run throughout most of the home, adding warmth and character. A detached workshop is located at the back of the property, complete with electricity and a garage door—ideal for storage, hobbies, or projects. With generous living space, scenic surroundings, and a functional layout, this property offers a great combination of comfort, privacy, and versatility.
-
2026-03-31$365,000 Active 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
This 4-bedroom, 3.5-bath home sits on 1.7 acres with beautiful mountain views and multiple decks to enjoy the scenery. Inside, you’ll find a spacious layout with a living room, dining room, and a finished basement den, along with a separate laundry area for added convenience. The oversized master bedroom offers approximately 300 square feet, providing a comfortable private retreat. Real hardwood floors run throughout most of the home, adding warmth and character. A detached workshop is located at the back of the property, complete with electricity and a garage door—ideal for storage, hobbies, or projects. With generous living space, scenic surroundings, and a functional layout, this property offers a great combination of comfort, privacy, and versatility.
-
2026-03-26historical $365,000 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
This 4-bedroom, 3.5-bath home sits on 1.7 acres with beautiful mountain views and multiple decks to enjoy the scenery. Inside, you’ll find a spacious layout with a living room, dining room, and a finished basement den, along with a separate laundry area for added convenience. The oversized master bedroom offers approximately 300 square feet, providing a comfortable private retreat. Real hardwood floors run throughout most of the home, adding warmth and character. A detached workshop is located at the back of the property, complete with electricity and a garage door—ideal for storage, hobbies, or projects. With generous living space, scenic surroundings, and a functional layout, this property offers a great combination of comfort, privacy, and versatility.
-
2005-10-07soldstatus $135,000
-
2005-04-15soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,143 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,374 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$231/yr (+$19/mo · 20.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 44% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,641
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,765
- − Property taxes
- −$1,143
- − Insurance
- −$1,675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,971
- − Management
- −$1,971
- − Depreciation
- −$9,745
- Taxable loss
- −$10,630
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,551
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,881/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shelby County
- NCES district ID
- 0103030
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,672
- Composite
- 39.29/100
- National rank
- #3995
- State rank
- #16 of 129 in AL
Livability — Helena
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #7223
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 20,251
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,126
- Household income
- $81,846
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 554.0
Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 237,024 people
- By 2030
- 249,868 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 272,778 · +15.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +22.8%
- By 2075
- 326,049 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 335,870 · +41.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% White 41% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shelby
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.0% · R 69.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +12.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -40.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.9 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+50.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.40%
- Current HPI
- 219.3839
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.80%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+284.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $365,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-26 Coming Soon $365,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2005-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2005-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,143 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…