5007 Jarrett Rd · Chattanooga, TN
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Three bedroom two bath home in a very convenient HWY 58 location. This home would make a great rental unit, so tell your investors! Needs some work, but is priced to sell. Sold As-Is. This property must be on the MLS 3 days before seller will respond to offers.
Key facts
- Month to month lease
- Investment property
- Shopping
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; Lot dimensions approximately 82 x 130 (0.24 acres)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Central heating and cooling
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
- Recommended offer: $178k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.4% in Chattanooga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#3 in TN, #2,582 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Harrison Elementary (math 20% / reading 19%, grade F, #654 of 952 statewide, top 72%, 1,013 students, 0% FRL); Brown Middle School (math 14% / reading 15%, grade F, #231 of 333 statewide, top 70%, 344 students, 0% FRL); Central High School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #183 of 332 statewide, top 59%, 749 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hamilton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($178k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $46k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.13%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $257,282
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4722 Mink Pl | 0.49mi | 4/1.5 | 1,320 (+1%) | 19mo | $258,900 | $196 | 57 |
| 5502 Kenyon Rd | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,200 (-8%) | 16mo | $250,000 | $208 | 52 |
| 4550 Tricia Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,337 (+2%) | 18mo | $249,900 | $187 | 51 |
| 4728 Jersey Pike | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,231 (-6%) | 23mo | $270,000 | $219 | 42 |
| 5506 Kenyon Rd | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,150 (-12%) | 20mo | $226,000 | $197 | 42 |
| 4026 Teakwood Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-14%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $223 | 35 |
| 4716 Beverly Kay Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-6%) | 18mo | $220,000 | $180 | 34 |
| 7750 Vista Hills Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,485 (+14%) | 12mo | $177,000 | $119 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-12,279
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,221
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37416
- Home prices YoY
- -30.5%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,992 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $686/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$418
- Net cashflow
- $380
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7741 Nautical Way Chattanooga, TN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,900 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4025 Oakwood Dr Chattanooga, TN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 997 | $1,685 | $1.69 | 13d | 14 | 0.93mi |
| 9205 Aft Ln Chattanooga, TN | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1282 | $2,385 | $1.86 | 13d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $189,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $189,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $189,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $189,000
-
2026-05-01price $199,900
-
2026-04-16price $229,900
-
2026-03-23$234,900 Active
-
2025-10-02price $234,900
-
2025-08-21price $258,900
-
2025-07-28price $259,000
-
2025-04-25soldstatus $1,520,000
-
2025-02-08historical $1,500
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2025-01-23$1,500
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2014-01-16soldstatus $30,000 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Three bedroom two bath home in a very convenient HWY 58 location. This home would make a great rental unit, so tell your investors! Needs some work, but is priced to sell. Sold As-Is. This property must be on the MLS 3 days before seller will respond to offers.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $686 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,342 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- +$656/yr (+$55/mo · 95.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,907
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$686
- − Insurance
- −$1,742
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,913
- − Management
- −$1,913
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable income
- $1,568
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$376
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,188/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamilton County
- NCES district ID
- 4701590
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,456
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7122
- State rank
- #42 of 139 in TN
Livability — Chattanooga
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #2582
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chattanooga, TN
- County
- Hamilton County · 312,777 people
- City population
- 131,999
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,919
- Household income
- $70,705
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 480.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 393,784 people
- By 2030
- 412,983 · +4.9%
- By 2040
- 449,502 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 484,341 · +23.0%
- By 2075
- 565,746 · +43.7%
- By 2100
- 618,394 · +57.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 43% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Italian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.1) · D 42.7% · R 55.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -13.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.1 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.99%
- Current HPI
- 257.5129
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.22%
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+530.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $189,000 GCAR
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $199,900 GCAR
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $229,900 GCAR
- 2026-03-23 Listed $234,900 GCAR
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $234,900 GCAR
- 2025-08-21 Price Changed $258,900 GCAR
- 2025-07-28 Price Changed $259,000 GCAR
- 2025-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $1,520,000 Public Records
- 2025-02-08 Rental Removed $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2025-01-23 Listed for Rent $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2014-01-16 Sold (MLS) $30,000 GCAR
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $686 · -8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…