🏷️ Likely Rental
18 Baker Ave · Auburn, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
5-UNIT STUDIO APARTMENT HOUSE. NEW ROOF 2010.DOUBLE LOT 121X168.LOTS OF PARKING. 2380 SQ. FT. OF LIVING AREA. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE W/ $15,000 DOWN, 25 YEARS W/ 5-YEAR BALLOON, 12%=$895.24 PER MONTH. ALL APARTMENTS ARE CURRENTLY RENTED 1 @300 PER MONTH, 2 @ $325,1@$350 & 1 @ $450.
Key facts
- 61 x 167 lot
- Full basement
- Covered porch areas
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Owner pays: other (see remarks)
- Financial info: Operating expenses and rent details: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: One parking space; no driveway and no garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story building; Resale property; Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Existing building
- Exterior features: Rectangular lot with approximate dimensions 61 x 167
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater (see remarks)
- Bedrooms: 5 units total
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating (see remarks)
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a multifamily listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $510 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 7.6% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#298 in NY, #4,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D-, commute F.
- Auburn City School District (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #558 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 221 active listings in the ZIP; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.77%
- DSCR
- 2.95
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $166,286
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Washington St | 0.33mi | 5/2.0 | 3,513 (-1%) | 8mo | $118,000 | $34 | 77 |
| 4 Warren Ave | 0.27mi | 6/2.0 | 3,835 (+8%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $23 | 71 |
| 11 Sherwood St | 0.26mi | 8/3.0 | 3,680 (+4%) | 14mo | $193,000 | $52 | 69 |
| 46 Orchard St | 0.24mi | 6/3.0 | 3,158 (-11%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $16 | 69 |
| 48 Clark St | 0.59mi | 6/3.0 | 3,397 (-4%) | 2mo | $169,600 | $50 | 64 |
| 177 Genesee St | 0.47mi | 6/4.0 | 3,814 (+8%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $47 | 59 |
| 12 Easterly Ave | 0.68mi | 6/4.0 | 3,822 (+8%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $58 | 54 |
| 63-65 Washington St | 0.54mi | 6/2.0 | 3,032 (-14%) | 4mo | $95,900 | $32 | 48 |
| 15-17 Westlake Ave | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 3,220 (-9%) | 13mo | $180,000 | $56 | 47 |
| 106 Wall St | 0.58mi | 8/2.0 | 3,352 (-5%) | 20mo | $60,000 | $18 | 47 |
| 166 Van Anden St | 0.65mi | 7/3.0 | 3,682 (+4%) | 21mo | $230,000 | $62 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $24,392
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 47.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.52×
- Total profit
- $63,105
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13021
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,082 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $510
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $49,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $49,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $54,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $54,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $54,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$54,900 Active
-
2012-04-12soldstatus $62,000 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
5-UNIT STUDIO APARTMENT HOUSE. NEW ROOF 2010.DOUBLE LOT 121X168.LOTS OF PARKING. 2380 SQ. FT. OF LIVING AREA. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE W/ $15,000 DOWN, 25 YEARS W/ 5-YEAR BALLOON, 12%=$895.24 PER MONTH. ALL APARTMENTS ARE CURRENTLY RENTED 1 @300 PER MONTH, 2 @ $325,1@$350 & 1 @ $450.
-
2010-12-02$64,900 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
5-UNIT STUDIO APARTMENT HOUSE. NEW ROOF 2010.DOUBLE LOT 121X168.LOTS OF PARKING. 2380 SQ. FT. OF LIVING AREA. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE W/ $15,000 DOWN, 25 YEARS W/ 5-YEAR BALLOON, 12%=$895.24 PER MONTH. ALL APARTMENTS ARE CURRENTLY RENTED 1 @300 PER MONTH, 2 @ $325,1@$350 & 1 @ $450.
-
2008-12-19soldstatus $69,600
-
1992-11-25soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,980
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,038
- − Management
- −$1,038
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $5,658
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,358
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,758/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3603480
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,567
- Composite
- 29.71/100
- National rank
- #6452
- State rank
- #558 of 590 in NY
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #298
- US rank
- #4814
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, NY
- County
- Cayuga County · 37,247 people
- City population
- 37,247
- Metro
- Auburn, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,247
- Household income
- $60,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1449.0
Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 74,820 people
- By 2030
- 72,402 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 66,917 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 61,007 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 48,047 · -35.8%
- By 2100
- 34,512 · -53.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.53%
- Current HPI
- 338.5537
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Auburn, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-8.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $54,900 CNYIS
- 2012-04-12 Sold (MLS) $62,000 CNYIS
- 2010-12-02 Listed $64,900 CNYIS
- 2008-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $69,600 Public Records
- 1992-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,719 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…