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18 Baker Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 69.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

18 Baker Ave · Auburn, NY 13021
None bd · None ba · 3,538 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1900 10,187 sqft lot ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

5-UNIT STUDIO APARTMENT HOUSE. NEW ROOF 2010.DOUBLE LOT 121X168.LOTS OF PARKING. 2380 SQ. FT. OF LIVING AREA. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE W/ $15,000 DOWN, 25 YEARS W/ 5-YEAR BALLOON, 12%=$895.24 PER MONTH. ALL APARTMENTS ARE CURRENTLY RENTED 1 @300 PER MONTH, 2 @ $325,1@$350 & 1 @ $450.

Key facts

  • 61 x 167 lot
  • Full basement
  • Covered porch areas

Tags

61 X 167 LOTFULL BASEMENTPUBLIC UTILITIESNATURAL GASCOVERED PORCH AREASMULTIPLE RESIDENTIAL UNITS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Owner pays: other (see remarks)
  • Financial info: Operating expenses and rent details: see remarks

Exterior

  • Parking: One parking space; no driveway and no garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story building; Resale property; Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Existing building
  • Exterior features: Rectangular lot with approximate dimensions 61 x 167

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater (see remarks)
  • Bedrooms: 5 units total
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating (see remarks)
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $49,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$166,286) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a multifamily listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $510 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 7.6% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#298 in NY, #4,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Auburn City School District (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #558 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 221 active listings in the ZIP; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $49,151 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.17%
Cap rate
18.55%
Cash-on-cash
43.77%
DSCR
2.95
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$166,286
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13 Washington St 0.33mi 5/2.0 3,513 (-1%) 8mo $118,000 $34 77
4 Warren Ave 0.27mi 6/2.0 3,835 (+8%) 3mo $90,000 $23 71
11 Sherwood St 0.26mi 8/3.0 3,680 (+4%) 14mo $193,000 $52 69
46 Orchard St 0.24mi 6/3.0 3,158 (-11%) 2mo $50,000 $16 69
48 Clark St 0.59mi 6/3.0 3,397 (-4%) 2mo $169,600 $50 64
177 Genesee St 0.47mi 6/4.0 3,814 (+8%) 8mo $180,000 $47 59
12 Easterly Ave 0.68mi 6/4.0 3,822 (+8%) 1mo $220,000 $58 54
63-65 Washington St 0.54mi 6/2.0 3,032 (-14%) 4mo $95,900 $32 48
15-17 Westlake Ave 0.58mi 4/2.0 3,220 (-9%) 13mo $180,000 $56 47
106 Wall St 0.58mi 8/2.0 3,352 (-5%) 20mo $60,000 $18 47
166 Van Anden St 0.65mi 7/3.0 3,682 (+4%) 21mo $230,000 $62 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.7%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$24,392
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
47.0%
Equity multiple
5.52×
Total profit
$63,105
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13021

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,082 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$510

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $49,900 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $49,900 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,900 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,900 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,900 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $54,900 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $54,900 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,900 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,900 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,900 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $54,900 Active 4 DOM
  17. 2026-05-26
    listed $54,900 Active
  18. 2012-04-12
    soldstatus $62,000 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    5-UNIT STUDIO APARTMENT HOUSE. NEW ROOF 2010.DOUBLE LOT 121X168.LOTS OF PARKING. 2380 SQ. FT. OF LIVING AREA. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE W/ $15,000 DOWN, 25 YEARS W/ 5-YEAR BALLOON, 12%=$895.24 PER MONTH. ALL APARTMENTS ARE CURRENTLY RENTED 1 @300 PER MONTH, 2 @ $325,1@$350 & 1 @ $450.

  19. 2010-12-02
    listed $64,900 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    5-UNIT STUDIO APARTMENT HOUSE. NEW ROOF 2010.DOUBLE LOT 121X168.LOTS OF PARKING. 2380 SQ. FT. OF LIVING AREA. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE W/ $15,000 DOWN, 25 YEARS W/ 5-YEAR BALLOON, 12%=$895.24 PER MONTH. ALL APARTMENTS ARE CURRENTLY RENTED 1 @300 PER MONTH, 2 @ $325,1@$350 & 1 @ $450.

  20. 2008-12-19
    soldstatus $69,600
  21. 1992-11-25
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,980
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,038
− Management
−$1,038
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$5,658
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,358
After-tax cash flow
$4,758/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn City School District
NCES district ID
3603480
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$43,567
Composite
29.71/100
National rank
#6452
State rank
#558 of 590 in NY

Livability — Auburn

Score
74/100
State rank
#298
US rank
#4814

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, NY
County
Cayuga County · 37,247 people
City population
37,247
Metro
Auburn, NY
Population (ZIP)
37,247
Household income
$60,712
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1449.0

Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
74,820 people
By 2030
72,402 · -3.2%
By 2040
66,917 · -10.6%
By 2050
61,007 · -18.5%
By 2075
48,047 · -35.8%
By 2100
34,512 · -53.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga

2024 margin
R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
2008→2024 swing
-21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.53%
Current HPI
338.5537
Rent YoY
Metro
Auburn, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $54,900 CNYIS
  • 2012-04-12 Sold (MLS) $62,000 CNYIS
  • 2010-12-02 Listed $64,900 CNYIS
  • 2008-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $69,600 Public Records
  • 1992-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,719 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…