245 George St · Elyria, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
We are looking for a new homeowner to love this large 4 or 5 bedroom colonial. Nice front porch. Large foyer/entry, large living room, large formal dining room and a spacious kitchen complete the 1st floor. The 2nd floor you'll find 2 large bedrooms and a small bedroom perfect for an office or nursery. The 3rd floor is finished with 2 additional bedrooms. Full basement. Nice screened in rear porch, large storage shed. Close to schools, shopping, medical facilities and highways. Call today.
Key facts
- Finished third floor
- Formal dining room
- Large foyer
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.8% in Elyria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in OH, #3,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, employment D, commute F.
- Elyria City Schools (urban): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #586 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 356 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.41%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $185,244
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 348 11th Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,418 (-1%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $53 | 87 |
| 1512 Middle Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,476 (+3%) | 0mo | $164,000 | $111 | 81 |
| 1122 West Ave | 0.22mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,392 (-3%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $101 | 75 |
| 229 Vassar Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,470 (+2%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $163 | 70 |
| 140 Miami Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,418 (-1%) | 4mo | $219,000 | $154 | 70 |
| 142 4th St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,428 (-1%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $84 | 70 |
| 1101 West Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,306 (-9%) | 2mo | $168,000 | $129 | 68 |
| 508 12th St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,291 (-10%) | 3mo | $134,050 | $104 | 62 |
| 176 Pinewood Dr | 0.28mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,612 (+12%) | 0mo | $216,000 | $134 | 59 |
| 345 Miami Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,514 (+5%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $149 | 55 |
| 1920 Middle Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (+10%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $133 | 48 |
| 119 Cornell Ave | 0.47mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 1,639 (+14%) | 1mo | $191,000 | $117 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $601
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $37,291
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44035
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 356
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,148 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,289/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $206
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $265 | -5% $236 | +0% $206 | +5% $176 | +10% $147 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $115 | -5% $161 | +0% $206 | +5% $251 | +10% $297 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $259 | -0.5pp $233 | base $206 | +0.5pp $179 | +1.0pp $151 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1309 Middle Ave Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $795 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 222 Georgia Ave Elyria, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $1,750 | $0.95 | 2d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 116 Water St Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,100 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 10425 Middle Ave Elyria, OH | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,209 | $0.85 | 2d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-10status $104,900 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 494-char remark
-
2026-06-07$104,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,289 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,463 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- +$174/yr (+$14/mo · 13.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,779
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$1,289
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,102
- − Management
- −$1,102
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $833
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$200
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,271/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elyria City Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904394
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,992
- Composite
- 24.45/100
- National rank
- #7670
- State rank
- #586 of 656 in OH
Livability — Elyria
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #3869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elyria, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 62,179
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,179
- Household income
- $56,408
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2229.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.09%
- Current HPI
- 199.7354
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.74%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+102.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $104,900 MLSNOW
- 1994-06-30 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1994-03-31 Listed $53,900 MLSNOW
- 1992-04-21 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1992-01-21 Listed $51,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,289 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…