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4206 Barrett Dr
D+ Composite 49.71
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.7/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,900

4206 Barrett Dr · Archdale, NC 27263
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,650 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1964 0.58 ac lot Est $276k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This modern beauty will not last long! Newly renovated 4 bed/2 bath home in the heart of desirable Archdale. 2 min drive to I-85 and a short drive to Greensboro, Winston Salem, High Point. Low Randolph County taxes. This home boasts a new HVAC system, laminate & tile floors throughout, fresh paint, fireplace in the dining area, new kitchen cabinets with a touch of modern, brand new stainless steel appliances. Large deck overlooking partially fenced backyard with a hidden wired workshop. Owner is a broker.

Key facts

  • 0.58 acre lot
  • Built 1964
  • Listed 18 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Road maintained by public agency
  • Financial info: Tax amount available (not included per instructions)
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Hillside Estates

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Security: Deadbolt locks
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
  • Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; Single-story (one level); Built in 1964; Existing structure
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot; Located on a dead-end road; Storage building/space; One fireplace located in the dining room

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in range; Dishwasher; Kitchen island; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Primary on main; Additional bedrooms on main
  • Flooring: Flooring details not specified
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling; Electric heating fuel
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; Ceiling fans; Deadbolts; Kitchen island
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer location not specified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($640/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (16.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $176k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.9% in Archdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#138 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Randolph County School System (rural): math 43% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #94 of 178 in NC (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Trindale Elementary School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #302 of 1,410 statewide, top 23%, 386 students, 67% FRL); Trinity Middle School (math 36% / reading 45%, grade F, #215 of 475 statewide, top 46%, 518 students, 64% FRL); Trinity High School (math 77% / reading 52%, grade B-, #164 of 535 statewide, top 32%, 657 students, 53% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 789 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Randolph County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $176,303 (16.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.09%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$275,550
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
115 Elaine St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,545 (-6%) 11mo $265,000 $172 63
112 Elaine St 0.24mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,438 (-13%) 4mo $240,000 $167 57
131 Barwood Ter 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,653 (+0%) 10mo $229,000 $139 55
209 Rivermeade Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,402 (-15%) 2mo $250,000 $178 50
100 Craig Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,830 (+11%) 11mo $260,000 $142 49
209 Purvis Ln 0.52mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,501 (-9%) 4mo $200,000 $133 49
118 Kinview Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,657 (+0%) 24mo $346,000 $209 43
200 Maynard Dr 0.57mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,482 (-10%) 12mo $215,000 $145 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-30,660
Equity at exit
$31,297
10-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-22,496
Equity at exit
$18,148

Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27263

Home prices YoY
-26.9%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,763 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,816/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$53

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,696
Max offer price $209,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $172 -5% $113 +0% $53 +5% $-6 +10% $-66
Rent -10% $-86 -5% $-16 +0% $53 +5% $123 +10% $193
Rate -1.0pp $159 -0.5pp $107 base $53 +0.5pp $-1 +1.0pp $-56

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,475
Closing costs
$6,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5665 Carrington Ct Trinity, NC 3.0 2.5 1471 $1,800 $1.22 16d 1 0.95mi
4049 Wood Ave Archdale, NC 3.0 2.0 1244 $1,795 $1.44 25d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-26
    historical Due Diligence Period
  3. 2026-04-23
    listed $209,900 Active
  4. 2020-10-27
    soldstatus $185,000 Closed 514-char remark
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    This modern beauty will not last long! Newly renovated 4 bed/2 bath home in the heart of desirable Archdale. 2 min drive to I-85 and a short drive to Greensboro, Winston Salem, High Point. Low Randolph County taxes. This home boasts a new HVAC system, laminate & tile floors throughout, fresh paint, fireplace in the dining area, new kitchen cabinets with a touch of modern, brand new stainless steel appliances. Large deck overlooking partially fenced backyard with a hidden wired workshop. Owner is a broker.

  5. 2020-10-27
    soldstatus $185,000
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    This modern beauty will not last long! Newly renovated 4 bed/2 bath home in the heart of desirable Archdale. 2 min drive to I-85 and a short drive to Greensboro, Winston Salem, High Point. Low Randolph County taxes. This home boasts a new HVAC system, laminate & tile floors throughout, fresh paint, fireplace in the dining area, new kitchen cabinets with a touch of modern, brand new stainless steel appliances. Large deck overlooking partially fenced backyard with a hidden wired workshop. Owner is a broker.

  6. 2020-08-19
    status Pending 514-char remark
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    This modern beauty will not last long! Newly renovated 4 bed/2 bath home in the heart of desirable Archdale. 2 min drive to I-85 and a short drive to Greensboro, Winston Salem, High Point. Low Randolph County taxes. This home boasts a new HVAC system, laminate & tile floors throughout, fresh paint, fireplace in the dining area, new kitchen cabinets with a touch of modern, brand new stainless steel appliances. Large deck overlooking partially fenced backyard with a hidden wired workshop. Owner is a broker.

  7. 2020-08-17
    price $179,999 514-char remark
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    This modern beauty will not last long! Newly renovated 4 bed/2 bath home in the heart of desirable Archdale. 2 min drive to I-85 and a short drive to Greensboro, Winston Salem, High Point. Low Randolph County taxes. This home boasts a new HVAC system, laminate & tile floors throughout, fresh paint, fireplace in the dining area, new kitchen cabinets with a touch of modern, brand new stainless steel appliances. Large deck overlooking partially fenced backyard with a hidden wired workshop. Owner is a broker.

  8. 2020-08-07
    listed $184,900 Active 514-char remark
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    This modern beauty will not last long! Newly renovated 4 bed/2 bath home in the heart of desirable Archdale. 2 min drive to I-85 and a short drive to Greensboro, Winston Salem, High Point. Low Randolph County taxes. This home boasts a new HVAC system, laminate & tile floors throughout, fresh paint, fireplace in the dining area, new kitchen cabinets with a touch of modern, brand new stainless steel appliances. Large deck overlooking partially fenced backyard with a hidden wired workshop. Owner is a broker.

  9. 2019-12-02
    soldstatus $86,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,816 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,816 · $151/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,156
− Mortgage interest
−$11,758
− Property taxes
−$1,816
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,693
− Management
−$1,693
− Depreciation
−$6,106
Taxable loss
−$2,958
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$710
After-tax cash flow
$1,349/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Randolph County School System
NCES district ID
3703780
Math proficiency
43% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$43,490
Composite
36.37/100
National rank
#4686
State rank
#94 of 178 in NC

Livability — Archdale

Score
70/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#7875

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Archdale, NC
County
Randolph County · 81,617 people
City population
21,446
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
Population (ZIP)
21,446
Household income
$55,801
Rent vs Own
32.6% rent · 67.4% own
Severe rent burden
381.0

Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
142,640 people
By 2030
140,911 · -1.2%
By 2040
135,692 · -4.9%
By 2050
128,575 · -9.9%
By 2075
111,507 · -21.8%
By 2100
93,376 · -34.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 8% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Serbian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 5% Vietnamese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Randolph

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -42.3pp · 2024: -57.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.2 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+56.7 2012: R+50.2 2008: R+42.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.54%
Current HPI
229.4967
Rent YoY
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+144.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-26 Contingent Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $209,900 Triad MLS
  • 2020-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2020-10-27 Sold (MLS) $185,000 Triad MLS
  • 2020-08-19 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2020-08-17 Price Changed $179,999 Triad MLS
  • 2020-08-07 Listed $184,900 Triad MLS
  • 2019-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,816 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…