84-49 168th St Unit 4N · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 53.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Cash flow +0.7/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Expansive 2-bedroom, 2-bath pre-war co-op at the Beechhaven in Jamaica Hills offering both an abundance of space and grand architectural style. The inviting foyer with a large coat closet opens into a wide hallway, leading to a sunken living room filled with natural light and framed by three-tiered windows showcasing panoramic views. The extremely generous layout includes a dedicated breakfast area and the custom renovated kitchen featuring brand-new stainless steel appliances and sleek quartz countertops. As a desirable corner apartment, the home benefits from multiple exposures throughout. The primary bedroom is designed with two exposures and a private en suite bathroom with a shower. Th
Key facts
- Multiple exposures
- Sunken living room
- Corner apartment
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Queens County
- HOA & community: Association: The Beechhaven
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; Carport: none; Parking status: waitlist
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Water connected; Public sewer; Trash collection (public)
- Home design: Stock cooperative; Measured living area
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Entry level is 4
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Elevator; Entrance foyer; High ceilings; Primary bathroom; Common basement
- Laundry & utility: Basement (common) for utilities/storage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $295k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $295k).
- Recommended offer: $291k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 1.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 197 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,008/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 4385% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 53% of rent; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -18.37%
- DSCR
- 0.18
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -59.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.62×
- Total profit
- $-133,951
- Equity at exit
- $43,985
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.93×
- Total profit
- $-242,264
- Equity at exit
- $25,506
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11432
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,008 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$369 /mo · $4,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA est. from 2 same-building comps
- −$1,602
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$632
- Net cashflow
- $-1,264
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,060 | -5% $-1,162 | +0% $-1,264 | +5% $-1,366 | +10% $-1,468 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,502 | -5% $-1,383 | +0% $-1,264 | +5% $-1,145 | +10% $-1,027 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,116 | -0.5pp $-1,189 | base $-1,264 | +0.5pp $-1,341 | +1.0pp $-1,418 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84-73 168th Pl Unit 2nd floor Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,200 | $3.20 | 19d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 8311 169th St Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,100 | $2.58 | 11d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 16020 84th Rd Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 175-32 Devonshire Rd Unit 1st Floor Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,300 | $3.00 | 11d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 175-32 Devonshire Rd Unit 1st Floor Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,300 | $3.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 8712 175th St Unit 6B Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $3,000 | $3.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 80-12 165th St Unit 3 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $2,800 | $2.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 16612 Union Tpke Fresh Meadows, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1292 | $4,900 | $3.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 177-16 Wexford Ter Unit 401 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 88-56 162nd St Apt 2D Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 16525 Union Tpke Fresh Meadows, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,900 | $2.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 502 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,270 | $2.97 | 12d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 802 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,300 | $3.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 311 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 404 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 201 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $2,700 | $3.70 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Apt 806 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1090 | $3,400 | $3.12 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 603 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,300 | $4.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 17545 88th Ave Unit 6F Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $2,950 | $2.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8023 159th St Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1392 | $3,000 | $2.16 | 5d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 7731 166th St Fresh Meadows, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,700 | $2.70 | 8d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 90-48 171st St Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,750 | $2.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 16910 77th Rd Fresh Meadows, NY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1200 | $4,300 | $3.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 89-15 Parsons Blvd Unit W6B Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,100 | $2.90 | 19d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 76-40 170th St #1 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $2,800 | $3.03 | 0d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 17218 Jamaica Ave Unit 501 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 939 | $3,300 | $3.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 15501 90th Ave Unit 3R Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,100 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 79-29 153rd St Unit 1st Floor Flushing, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $3,000 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 14832 87th Ave Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $2,800 | $3.65 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 17814 80th Dr Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $5,499 | $5.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 90-32 179th St Unit 2nd fl Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $3,000 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 148-37 88th Ave Queens, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $3,500 | $3.89 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 148-16 87th Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 18d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8455 Daniels St Unit 5H Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,300 | $3.07 | 19d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 15325 77th Rd Flushing, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $3,200 | $2.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 103-20 168th Pl Unit 2nd floor Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,900 | $2.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 84-03 Lander St Unit 2B Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $3,250 | $3.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 14160 84th Rd Unit 2G Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 141-35 Pershing Cres Unit 1B Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,800 | $2.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7835 147th St Unit 2E Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 7d | 1 | 1.04mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-04-22$295,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,098
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$4,425
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,888
- − Management
- −$2,888
- − HOA
- −$19,224
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable loss
- −$19,908
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,778
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,393/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This pre-war co-op offers a spacious and well-maintained interior with fresh updates and a desirable corner location.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both painting — fresh paint improves appearance and value
- Both HVAC maintenance — ensures comfort and energy efficiency
- Both window treatments — improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both painting — fresh paint improves appearance and value ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance — ensures comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both window treatments — improves energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,892
- Household income
- $74,096
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4385.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 42% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 17% White 12% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Scotch-Irish 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 57% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 34% English-only · Other Indo-European 30% Spanish 19% Tagalog/Filipino 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -457.06%
- Current HPI
- 282.1513
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $295,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…