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14501 Grove Resort Ave #1527
D+ Composite 49.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

14501 Grove Resort Ave #1527 · Four Corners, FL 34787
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,265 sqft · Condo · 95 Days on market
Built 2016 Good condition $134/sqft · 48% below area Est $329k · 48% under $914/mo HOA · 38% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Calling ALL Snowbirds & Anyone Looking For A Florida Experience! * This Condo Is An INCREDIBLE VALUE For A Resort Style Stay For Up To Half The Year! Then Turn It Into Your Orlando Investment Dream For The Other Half Of the Year! * Imagine Waking Up To This Nature View From Up On This 5th Floor. Enjoy Your Morning Coffee Or * FIREWORKS * View At Night! Unit 1527 Is Located Immediately Next To The Condo Walkway, Which Overlooks Out Into Nature And Water View. Upon Entering This 2 Bedrooms/2 Bathrooms Condo, Be Greeted With A View Of The Balcony! The Condo Has A Grand Kitchen That Is Fully Stocked With Cooking Utensils & Coffee Machine.

Key facts

  • Grand kitchen
  • Balcony
  • Fireworks view

Tags

FIREWORKS VIEWBALCONYGRAND KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGRANITE COUNTERTOPSMASSIVE WALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $170k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-209 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (17.8% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.3% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#453 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Keenes Crossing Elementary (math 79% / reading 82%, grade A+, #104 of 2,144 statewide, top 5%, 1,000 students, 22% FRL); Bridgewater Middle (math 68% / reading 70%, grade A, #68 of 571 statewide, top 12%, 1,210 students, 18% FRL); West Orange High (math 30% / reading 60%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 2,816 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 56% district-wide (32 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Orange average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 2098 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 38% of rent.
Recommended offer $139,757 (17.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
4.82%
Cash-on-cash
-5.27%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$329,031
List price
$170,000
Delta
-48.33%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14501 Grove Resort Ave #1726 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,265 (0%) 0mo $155,000 $123 100
14501 Grove Resort Ave #3523 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,265 (0%) 2mo $190,000 $150 99
14501 Grove Resort Ave #1518 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,265 (0%) 0mo $260,000 $206 96
14501 Grove Resort Ave #3621 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,375 (+9%) 0mo $158,000 $115 85
17434 Million Lakes Ct 1.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,260 (-0%) 1mo $310,000 $246 58
874 Rivers Crossing St 1.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,262 (-0%) 2mo $329,000 $261 58
8810 Grand Palms Cir Unit A 1.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,245 (-2%) 1mo $215,000 $173 56
8933 Shine Dr 1.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (+3%) 1mo $250,000 $192 55
3209 Energy Dr 1.35mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,360 (+8%) 2mo $320,000 $235 42
3229 Energy Dr 1.33mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,372 (+8%) 1mo $329,000 $240 41
15157 Aqua Sol Ln 1.43mi 2/2.0 1,574 (+24%) 1mo $420,000 $267 39
1436 Retreat Cir 0.73mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,501 (+19%) 1mo $284,500 $190 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-28.9%
Equity multiple
0.06×
Total profit
$-44,657
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
-49.5%
Equity multiple
-0.49×
Total profit
$-70,971
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
3 active
Median asking
$329,900 ($230/sqft)
Median days on market
383 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+13.1% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34787

Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
2098
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,380 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$914
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$500
Net cashflow
$-209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,644
Max offer price $139,757
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-92 -5% $-150 +0% $-209 +5% $-268 +10% $-326
Rent -10% $-397 -5% $-303 +0% $-209 +5% $-115 +10% $-21
Rate -1.0pp $-123 -0.5pp $-166 base $-209 +0.5pp $-253 +1.0pp $-298

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14200 Avalon Rd Unit 1244711P Winter Garden, FL 2.0 2.0 1280 $2,868 $2.24 103d 1 0.36mi
14200 Avalon Rd Winter Garden, FL 2.0 2.0 1245 $1,650 $1.32 119d 3 0.36mi
14505 Tristan Cir Winter Garden, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $2,125 $2.11 0d 22 0.43mi
16810 Easthampstead Rd Winter Garden, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $2,031 $2.02 0d 16 0.49mi
13307 Peaceful Melody Dr Winter Garden, FL 3.0 2.5 1644 $2,700 $1.64 10d 1 0.50mi
13335 Peaceful Melody Dr Winter Garden, FL 3.0 3.0 1715 $2,650 $1.55 113d 1 0.53mi
17018 Clear Mind Aly Winter Garden, FL 3.0 2.5 1845 $3,000 $1.63 7d 1 0.56mi
13193 Calming Breeze Way Winter Garden, FL 3.0 2.5 1644 $2,700 $1.64 84d 1 0.57mi
13193 Calming Breeze Way Winter Garden, FL 3.0 2.5 1644 $2,700 $1.64 6d 1 0.57mi
13253 Peaceful Melody Dr Winter Garden, FL 3.0 2.5 1644 $2,700 $1.64 7d 1 0.60mi
14520 Avalon Rd Winter Garden, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 915 $2,434 $2.66 0d 41 0.60mi
12755 Brodlove Ln Winter Garden, FL 3.0 2.5 1650 $2,800 $1.70 27d 1 0.73mi
13742 Werrington Dr Winter Garden, FL 3.0 2.5 1835 $2,800 $1.53 10d 1 0.73mi
1421 Retreat Cir Clermont, FL 3.0 2.0 1512 $2,300 $1.52 40d 1 0.75mi
1641 Retreat Cir Clermont, FL 3.0 2.0 1512 $2,399 $1.59 42d 1 0.75mi
1705 Retreat Cir Clermont, FL 3.0 2.0 1494 $1,990 $1.33 29d 1 0.78mi
17825 Avalon Grove Loop Winter Garden, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 972 $1,944 $2.00 0d 92 0.79mi
17442 Hidden Forest Dr Clermont, FL 3.0 3.0 1852 $2,000 $1.08 116d 1 0.92mi
1144 Clear Creek Cir Clermont, FL 3.0 2.0 1595 $2,300 $1.44 29d 1 0.94mi
15134 Windflower Aly Winter Garden, FL 2.0 2.5 1195 $2,300 $1.92 10d 1 0.95mi
17345 Cagan Crossings Blvd Clermont, FL 3.0 2.0 1269 $2,120 $1.67 74d 1 0.99mi
17517 Blessing Dr Clermont, FL 3.0 3.0 1494 $2,200 $1.47 119d 1 0.99mi
14095 Lochend Way Winter Garden, FL 3.0 2.5 1760 $2,895 $1.64 116d 1 1.00mi
17217 Cagan Crossings Blvd Clermont, FL 3.0 2.0 1695 $2,149 $1.27 94d 1 1.01mi
17217 Cagan Crossings Blvd Clermont, FL 3.0 2.0 1695 $2,149 $1.27 67d 1 1.01mi
17422 Serenidad Blvd Clermont, FL 3.0 3.0 1854 $2,800 $1.51 119d 1 1.02mi
17522 Placidity Ave Clermont, FL 3.0 3.0 1512 $2,400 $1.59 119d 1 1.03mi
15002 Windflower Aly Winter Garden, FL 3.0 2.5 1536 $2,350 $1.53 119d 1 1.03mi
14984 Windflower Aly Winter Garden, FL 3.0 2.5 1409 $2,350 $1.67 7d 1 1.04mi
145 Town Center Blvd Clermont, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 972 $1,865 $1.92 0d 25 1.06mi
17440 Placidity Ave Clermont, FL 3.0 3.0 1501 $2,500 $1.67 107d 1 1.06mi
17440 Placidity Ave Clermont, FL 3.0 2.0 1501 $2,395 $1.60 42d 1 1.06mi
17350 Blessing Dr Clermont, FL 3.0 3.0 1852 $2,500 $1.35 74d 1 1.07mi
17350 Blessing Dr Clermont, FL 3.0 3.0 1852 $2,400 $1.30 63d 1 1.07mi
17416 Placidity Ave Clermont, FL 3.0 2.0 1501 $2,400 $1.60 56d 1 1.09mi
17343 Serenidad Blvd Clermont, FL 3.0 2.0 1512 $2,300 $1.52 9d 1 1.10mi
17314 Serenidad Blvd Unit 1340347P Clermont, FL 3.0 3.0 1496 $5,649 $3.78 94d 1 1.10mi
17417 Placidity Ave Clermont, FL 3.0 3.0 1501 $2,400 $1.60 5d 1 1.11mi
17177 Cagan Crossings Blvd Clermont, FL 3.0 2.0 1483 $2,500 $1.69 119d 1 1.11mi
3250 Douglas Grand Dr Kissimmee, FL 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1146 $1,895 $1.65 2d 16 1.11mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
FurnishedBuyer/agent should confirm amenities and water information with HOA/county
Financial info
Lease restrictions applyCDD present
HOA & community
Monthly association fee around $914.04Annual association fees about $10,968.48Association approval requiredAssociation amenities include fitness center, pool and sidewalksAssociation fee includes cable TV, electricity, internet, pool, recreational facilities, sewer, trash and waterPets allowedCondo fees reported as annual with zero monthly condo land fee

Exterior

Security
Key card entry
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerCable connectedElectricity connectedPhone availableInternet included in associationSewer and trash included in association
Home design
Residential condo-hotelCompleted conditionFaces northOne level unit (located on 5th floor)Stories in building: 7Entry on floor 5Accessible closets
Construction
Metal sidingBuilt-up / concrete / other roofSlab foundationBuilding identified as J
Exterior features
Covered, enclosed and screened patio/porchBalconySliding doorsLake view with lake accessFishing pier availableNo powerboats allowed

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherMicrowaveRangeIce maker
Bedrooms
2 bedroomsAccessible bedroom
Flooring
Ceramic tileLaminate
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air
Interior features
Living room/dining room comboOpen floorplanSolid surface countersSplit bedroom layoutThermostatWalk-in closetsShades on windowsBuilding has elevatorInside utility
Laundry & utility
Laundry roomWasherDryer

HOA detail $914/mo · $10,968/yr condo

Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-23
    days on market $170,000 Active 95 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $170,000 Active 94 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $170,000 Active 93 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $170,000 Active 92 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $170,000 Active 91 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 90 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $170,000 Active 89 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $170,000 Active 86 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 85 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $170,000 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $170,000 Active 83 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $170,000 Active 77 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $170,000 Active 76 DOM
  16. 2026-09-03
    days on market $170,000 Active 75 DOM
  17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 72 DOM
  18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $170,000 Active 70 DOM
  19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $170,000 Active 69 DOM
  20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $170,000 Active 68 DOM
  21. 2026-08-25
    days on market $170,000 Active 66 DOM
  22. 2026-08-24
    days on market $170,000 Active 65 DOM
  23. 2026-08-23
    days on market $170,000 Active 64 DOM
  24. 2026-08-22
    days on market $170,000 Active 63 DOM
  25. 2026-08-21
    days on market $170,000 Active 62 DOM
  26. 2026-08-20
    days on market $170,000 Active 61 DOM
  27. 2026-08-19
    days on market $170,000 Active 60 DOM
  28. 2026-08-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 59 DOM
  29. 2026-08-17
    days on market $170,000 Active 58 DOM
  30. 2026-08-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 57 DOM
  31. 2026-08-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 56 DOM
  32. 2026-08-14
    days on market $170,000 Active 55 DOM
  33. 2026-08-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 54 DOM
  34. 2026-08-12
    days on market $170,000 Active 53 DOM
  35. 2026-08-11
    days on market $170,000 Active 52 DOM
  36. 2026-08-10
    days on market $170,000 Active 51 DOM
  37. 2026-08-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 50 DOM
  38. 2026-08-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 49 DOM
  39. 2026-08-06
    days on market $170,000 Active 47 DOM
  40. 2026-08-05
    days on market $170,000 Active 46 DOM
  41. 2026-08-04
    days on market $170,000 Active 45 DOM
  42. 2026-08-03
    days on market $170,000 Active 44 DOM
  43. 2026-07-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 41 DOM
  44. 2026-07-30
    days on market $170,000 Active 39 DOM
  45. 2026-07-28
    days on market $170,000 Active 38 DOM
  46. 2026-07-26
    days on market $170,000 Active 36 DOM
  47. 2026-07-24
    days on market $170,000 Active 34 DOM
  48. 2026-07-23
    days on market $170,000 Active 33 DOM
  49. 2026-07-22
    days on market $170,000 Active 32 DOM
  50. 2026-07-21
    days on market $170,000 Active 31 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,554
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$2,550
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,284
− Management
−$2,284
− HOA
−$10,968
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$4,850
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,164
After-tax cash flow
$-1,344/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $6,325–$18,975 screening

This well-maintained and updated condo offers a great value with a resort-style living experience, featuring a fully stocked kitchen, a spacious balcony with a water view, and a well-maintained exterior. Minor updates to the kitchen and interior can further enhance its appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizing the kitchen with new appliances can enhance both resale and rental value.
  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the interior look more inviting and increase both resale and rental appeal.
  • Both Add smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the property more convenient and attractive to potential buyers and renters.
  • Both Enhance landscaping — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can significantly boost both resale and rental value by enhancing curb appeal and creating a more inviting atmosphere.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 65/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Keenes Crossing Elementary A+ FL #104/2,144 Nat'l #1,117/41,679 Middle Bridgewater Middle A FL #68/571 Nat'l #913/14,009 High West Orange High D- FL #228/667 Nat'l #6,809/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orange
NCES district ID
1201440
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,350
Composite
41.47/100
National rank
#3461
State rank
#43 of 73 in FL
C Composite livability gradescore 69/100

Livability — Four Corners

Score
69/100
State rank
#453
US rank
#8218

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Four Corners, FL
County
Orange County · 1,618,226 people
City population
27,422
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
101,441
Household income
$120,365
Rent vs Own
31.6% rent · 68.4% own
Severe rent burden
10% of renters

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,618,226 people
By 2030
1,787,404 · +10.5%
By 2040
2,125,621 · +31.4%
By 2050
2,454,016 · +51.6%
By 2075
3,173,711 · +96.1%
By 2100
3,607,781 · +122.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 21% Black 9% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Estonian 4% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 8% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-21 Listed $170,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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