Triplex
819 E 223rd St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,049,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to 819 E 223rd St in the heart of the Williamsbridge section of The Bronx. Beautiful Legal 3 Family. 3rd Flr features a spacious 3 Bedrooms unit with 2 full baths, open concept with large living room, dining room and kitchen, 2nd flr also features a 3 Bedroom unit with 2 full baths, living room, dining room, kitchen and the 1st floor offers a spacious 3 Bedroom 2 full bath apartment. Hardwood floors throughout. 3# separate boilers & hot water heaters for each unit. Conveniently located steps away from the 2# & #5 subway station, multiple bus lines, schools, hospitals, shopping hubs and major highways.
Key facts
- Hot water heaters
- Separate boilers
- Multiple bus lines
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No carport; No dedicated parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Triplex; Total building area approximately 3,504 sq ft
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Frame construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three 3-bedroom units
- Bathrooms: Six full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Formal dining room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.05M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive. Per door: $592/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $1.05M).
- Recommended offer: $1.02M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $10,574/mo this rent would consume 192% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 4791% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $31k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.02M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.25%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,054,704
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 835 E 221st St | 0.11mi | 8/5.0 (-1) | 3,799 (+8%) | 2mo | $1,080,470 | $284 | 70 |
| 823 E 218th St | 0.26mi | 8/6.0 (-1) | 3,765 (+7%) | 9mo | $750,000 | $199 | 63 |
| 855 E 223rd St | 0.07mi | 8/5.0 (-1) | 3,252 (-7%) | 22mo | $960,000 | $295 | 58 |
| 822 E 215th St | 0.44mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 3,420 (-2%) | 1mo | $1,190,000 | $348 | 58 |
| 725 E 216th St | 0.39mi | 8/6.0 (-1) | 3,330 (-5%) | 21mo | $980,000 | $294 | 51 |
| 4239 Digney Ave | 0.68mi | 8/5.0 (-1) | 3,500 (-0%) | 12mo | $1,473,500 | $421 | 49 |
| 675 E 231st St | 0.50mi | 8/5.0 (-1) | 3,240 (-8%) | 15mo | $975,000 | $301 | 43 |
| 709 East 213th St | 0.57mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 3,120 (-11%) | 14mo | $1,040,000 | $333 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-57,193
- Equity at exit
- $156,409
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $94,732
- Equity at exit
- $90,698
Cash invested: $293,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10466
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 24.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,574 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,501
- Tax from tax record
- −$640 /mo · $7,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$437
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,221
- Net cashflow
- $1,775
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 2 | $10,572 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $3,524 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $3,524 |
| #3 | 3 | 2 | $3,524 |
| Total (3 units) | $10,574 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $262,250
- Closing costs
- $31,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $1,049,000 Pending 58 DOM
-
2026-04-01historical
-
2026-04-01$1,049,000 Active
-
2026-02-26$1,149,000 Active
-
2024-04-22soldstatus $997,500
-
2007-01-05soldstatus $660,000
-
2006-05-08soldstatus $175,000
-
2005-08-29soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,685 · $640/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $12,707 · $1,059/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,021/yr (+$418/mo · 65.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $126,888
- − Mortgage interest
- −$58,760
- − Property taxes
- −$7,685
- − Insurance
- −$5,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,151
- − Management
- −$10,151
- − Depreciation
- −$30,516
- Taxable income
- $4,379
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,051
- After-tax cash flow
- $20,248/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,116
- Household income
- $65,969
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4791.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 7% White 2% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · Canada, Jamaica, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.77%
- Current HPI
- 349.542
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+1648.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $1,049,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Listed $1,149,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $997,500 Public Records
- 2007-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $660,000 Public Records
- 2006-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2005-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $7,685 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…