2605 S Tomahawk Rd #187 · Apache Junction, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 3 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.7
$44,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
REDUCED! Welcome home to this neat, clean, newly updated affordable home. It's located in a gated 55+ active adult community with low lot rent, Mountain views and a very large backyard. lSome of the NEW items include a 3 door refrigerator, new flooring & ceiling fans. Your kitchen also has a farm sink, plenaty of cabinets with new handles and drawer pulls and a coat or broom closet. Both bathrooms have been updated with vanities, dual flush toilets. There is a walk in shower in the primary Bathroom. The washer and dryer stay as well. The shed with double doors has ample room for garden tools and storage .
Key facts
- Parking
- Community pool
- Built 1983
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $44k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $634 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 3.0% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Desert Vista Elementary School (math 18% / reading 23%, grade F, #729 of 1,109 statewide, top 67%, 536 students, 50% FRL); Cactus Canyon Junior High (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 478 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $308 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 3→9/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.04%
- DSCR
- 3.72
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $114,500
- List price
- $44,500
- Delta
- -61.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2605 S Tomahawk Rd #170 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (0%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $62 | 99 |
| 2605 S Tomahawk Rd #120 | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (-5%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $85 | 84 |
| 1416 E Southern Ave | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,057 (+0%) | 13mo | $99,000 | $94 | 76 |
| 1730 E 21st Ave | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,024 (-3%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $229 | 73 |
| 3355 S Cortez Rd #6 | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (0%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $85 | 68 |
| 2605 S Tomahawk Rd #181 | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+14%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $104 | 65 |
| 2206 S Vista Rd | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 960 (-9%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $266 | 64 |
| 3500 S Tomahawk Rd #198 | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (0%) | 12mo | $75,000 | $71 | 61 |
| 1423 E 19th Ave | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-9%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $245 | 57 |
| 1370 E 21st Ave | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (-12%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $135 | 55 |
| 2884 S Acacia Rd | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 900 (-15%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $172 | 44 |
| 3700 S Tomahawk Rd #22 | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (-9%) | 5mo | $57,500 | $60 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.53×
- Total profit
- $31,483
- Equity at exit
- $6,635
- IRR
- 62.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.84×
- Total profit
- $72,726
- Equity at exit
- $3,848
Cash invested: $12,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 15 active · 8 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.4 mo (16%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $97,500 ($81/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 121 d
- This list price
- 7% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +33.8% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 85119
- Home prices YoY
- -33.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 478
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,192 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$233
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $668/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $634
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $665 | -5% $649 | +0% $634 | +5% $618 | +10% $603 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $540 | -5% $587 | +0% $634 | +5% $681 | +10% $728 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $656 | -0.5pp $645 | base $634 | +0.5pp $622 | +1.0pp $611 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,125
- Closing costs
- $1,335
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1540 E 25th Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 108d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1510 E 26th Ln Unit 2 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $1,550 | $1.34 | 94d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2560 S Yavapai Rd Unit 2 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 84d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2524 S Yavapai Rd Apt 3 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,100 | $1.31 | 10d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2580 S Yavapai Rd Unit 2 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,300 | $1.55 | 70d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2692 S Yavapai Rd Unit 3 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,400 | $1.65 | 54d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1551 E 28th Ave Unit 1 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,200 | $1.43 | 64d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2541 S De Soto Rd Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,915 | $1.36 | 0d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1504 E 29th Ave Apt 3 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,450 | $1.89 | 6d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 973 E Yuma Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $1,960 | $1.47 | 0d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3405 S Tomahawk Rd Lot 15 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,299 | $1.07 | 10d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2247 S Arizona Rd Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,795 | $1.54 | 19d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3283 S Bowman Rd Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1387 | $1,895 | $1.37 | 84d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 953 E Greenlee Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $2,115 | $1.61 | 0d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 878 E Graham Ln Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 938 | $1,595 | $1.70 | 70d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3448 S Chaparral Rd Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $1,848 | $1.56 | 107d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3333 S Conestoga Rd Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1387 | $2,900 | $2.09 | 120d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3460 S Conestoga Rd Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,910 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 700 E Quail Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,699 | $1.45 | 74d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2229 E 35th Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1401 | $1,825 | $1.30 | 37d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3700 S Tomahawk Rd Unit 58 Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,595 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3700 S Tomahawk Rd Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,595 | $1.29 | 46d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2962 E Mohave Ln Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,145 | $1.53 | 64d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 501 E Quail Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,150 | $1.60 | 74d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 501 E Quail Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,150 | $1.60 | 101d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 457 E Quail Ave Unit 3 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,250 | $1.60 | 80d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 705 E Kachina Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,655 | $1.90 | 101d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 499 E Navajo Ave Unit 4 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,250 | $1.67 | 46d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 403 E Quail Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 100d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 756 E Granada Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,799 | $1.73 | 10d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 603 E Hondo Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1283 | $1,750 | $1.36 | 74d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1297 E Broadway Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 926 | $2,350 | $2.54 | 19d | 27 | 1.03mi |
| 975 S Royal Palm Rd Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 3d | 14 | 1.14mi |
| 520 E Desert Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $1,881 | $1.37 | 76d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 483 E 10th Ave Apt C Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,100 | $1.53 | 81d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 483 E 10th Ave Apt C Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,100 | $1.53 | 19d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 451 E 10th Ave Unit 2 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,199 | $1.41 | 49d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 452 E 10th Ave Unit 104 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 783 | $1,000 | $1.28 | 117d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 25 W 16th Ave Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,649 | $1.45 | 42d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2061 S Apache Dr Unit 1 Apache Junction, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 54d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Private maintained road
- Financial info
- $114.11 annual tax (2025)
- HOA & community
- Land lease of $786 monthlyAssociation covers sewer, street maintenance, trash and waterCommunity amenities include pool, community spa, pickleball, fitness center, community media room, coin-op laundryNo visible trucks/trailers/RVs/boats allowed
Exterior
- Parking
- 1 covered parking space1 carport space
- Security
- Gated community
- Utilities
- City waterSeptic (connected)Land lease (monthly)
- Home design
- Manufactured/mobile homeLeaseholdMountain views
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingWood frame constructionPainted exteriorRolled/Hot Mop roof
- Exterior features
- Private streetsStorageShed(s)Desert front yardGravel/stone in back yardHeated spa
Interior
- Kitchen
- RefrigeratorDishwasher
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminate
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heatingCentral airCeiling fans
- Interior features
- Breakfast bar3/4 bath in primary bedroom
- Laundry & utility
- Indoor laundry
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-21days on market $44,500 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $44,500 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $44,500 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $44,500 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $44,500 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $44,500 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $44,500 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $44,500 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $44,500 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $44,500 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $44,500 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $44,500 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $44,500 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-09-03pricedays on market $44,500 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $47,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $47,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $47,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $47,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $47,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $47,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $47,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $47,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $47,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $47,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $47,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $47,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $47,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $47,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $47,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $47,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $47,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $47,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $47,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $47,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $47,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $47,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $47,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $47,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $47,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $47,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $47,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $47,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $47,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $47,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $47,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $47,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $47,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $47,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $47,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $47,000 Active 117 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 3 d/yr ≥111°F today · 9 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,298
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,493
- − Property taxes
- −$668
- − Insurance
- −$222
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,144
- − Management
- −$1,144
- − Depreciation
- −$1,295
- Taxable income
- $7,333
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,760
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,845/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates, but some exterior and interior maintenance is needed to maximize its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace awnings — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace flooring — Modernizes the home and improves comfort ↑
- Both Update kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and improves functionality ↑
- Both Update bathrooms — Modernizes the bathrooms and improves functionality ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
- NCES district ID
- 0400790
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,930
- Composite
- 15.34/100
- National rank
- #9325
- State rank
- #195 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Apache Junction
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #11242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pinal County · 437,574 people
- City population
- 56,611
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,420
- Household income
- $71,585
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.19%
- Current HPI
- 274.3808
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.57%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-21.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $47,000 ARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $52,000 ARMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $59,900 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…