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14622 Washburn St
C Composite 59.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$87,080

14622 Washburn St · Detroit, MI 48238
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 712 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1964 3,485 sqft lot $122/sqft · 149% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Presenting an amazing investment opportunity. This property offers a unique opportunity to acquire a piece of an existing real estate portfolio, professionally managed with an existing Section 8 tenant. This property represents an exceptional opportunity to acquire a residence of significant character and enduring appeal.

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Built 1964
  • Listed 34 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 36 x 101 (0.08 acres); Subdivision: WARK-GILBERT COS ORCHARD GROVE; Cross street: Lyndon and Wyoming; Directions: East of Washburn
  • Financial info: Annual taxes: $1,849

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residential; Aluminum siding
  • Construction: Aluminum siding construction; Above-grade finished area: 712 square feet
  • Exterior features: Paved road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 3
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Ground-level entry with steps; Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $87k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $184 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $602 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $84,467 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
8.83%
Cash-on-cash
9.05%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$34,941
List price
$87,080
Delta
149.22%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14611 Washburn St 0.03mi 2/1.0 (-1) 790 (+11%) 10mo $34,900 $44 67
13918 Pinehurst St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 713 (+0%) 17mo $34,000 $48 51
14830 Greenlawn St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 672 (-6%) 13mo $15,000 $22 50
14887 Mendota St 0.29mi 3/1.0 803 (+13%) 20mo $25,000 $31 48
14619 Greenlawn St 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 804 (+13%) 5mo $52,000 $65 46
14601 San Juan Dr 0.73mi 3/1.5 816 (+15%) 4mo $37,000 $45 36
14801 Cheyenne St NW 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 757 (+6%) 18mo $65,000 $86 35
15417 Pinehurst St 0.60mi 3/1.0 796 (+12%) 21mo $8,000 $10 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,151
Equity at exit
$12,984
10-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$31,613
Equity at exit
$7,529

Cash invested: $24,382 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48238

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
346
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,074 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$457
Tax from tax record
$171 /mo · $2,056/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$184

Break-even live

Break-even rent $841
Max offer price $87,080
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,770
Closing costs
$2,612
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2690 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 24d 4 1.00mi
14950 Stoepel St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $900 $1.50 24d 1 1.00mi
16503 Ward Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 44d 1 1.27mi
12663 Stoepel St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $975 $1.30 18d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $87,080 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-04-24
    listed $87,080 Active 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Presenting an amazing investment opportunity. This property offers a unique opportunity to acquire a piece of an existing real estate portfolio, professionally managed with an existing Section 8 tenant. This property represents an exceptional opportunity to acquire a residence of significant character and enduring appeal.

  3. 2026-04-24
    listed $87,080 Active 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Presenting an amazing investment opportunity. This property offers a unique opportunity to acquire a piece of an existing real estate portfolio, professionally managed with an existing Section 8 tenant. This property represents an exceptional opportunity to acquire a residence of significant character and enduring appeal.

  4. 2026-01-08
    historical
  5. 2025-09-19
    listed $90,000 Active
  6. 2025-09-19
    listed $90,000 Active
  7. 2025-01-02
    soldstatus $340,000
  8. 2025-01-01
    status Pending
  9. 2025-01-01
    status Pending
  10. 2024-12-24
    soldstatus $68,000 Closed
  11. 2024-12-24
    soldstatus $68,000 Closed
  12. 2024-08-28
    listed $75,000 Active
  13. 2024-08-28
    listed $75,000 Active
  14. 2022-01-14
    soldstatus $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,056 · $171/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,056 · $171/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,882
− Mortgage interest
−$4,878
− Property taxes
−$2,056
− Insurance
−$435
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,031
− Management
−$1,031
− Depreciation
−$2,533
Taxable income
$919
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$221
After-tax cash flow
$1,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,731
Household income
$33,315
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2172.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.96%
Current HPI
189.6227
Rent YoY
▲ 6.14%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+58.3% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-18 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-28 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-28 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $87,080 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $87,080 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-19 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-19 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $340,000 Public Records
  • 2025-01-01 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-01 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-24 Sold (MLS) $68,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-24 Sold (MLS) $68,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-28 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-08-28 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,056 · +37.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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