14622 Washburn St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,080
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Presenting an amazing investment opportunity. This property offers a unique opportunity to acquire a piece of an existing real estate portfolio, professionally managed with an existing Section 8 tenant. This property represents an exceptional opportunity to acquire a residence of significant character and enduring appeal.
Key facts
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- Built 1964
- Listed 34 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 36 x 101 (0.08 acres); Subdivision: WARK-GILBERT COS ORCHARD GROVE; Cross street: Lyndon and Wyoming; Directions: East of Washburn
- Financial info: Annual taxes: $1,849
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residential; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction; Above-grade finished area: 712 square feet
- Exterior features: Paved road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 3
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Ground-level entry with steps; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $87k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $184 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $602 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.05%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $34,941
- List price
- $87,080
- Delta
- 149.22%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14611 Washburn St | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 790 (+11%) | 10mo | $34,900 | $44 | 67 |
| 13918 Pinehurst St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 713 (+0%) | 17mo | $34,000 | $48 | 51 |
| 14830 Greenlawn St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 672 (-6%) | 13mo | $15,000 | $22 | 50 |
| 14887 Mendota St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 803 (+13%) | 20mo | $25,000 | $31 | 48 |
| 14619 Greenlawn St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 804 (+13%) | 5mo | $52,000 | $65 | 46 |
| 14601 San Juan Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 816 (+15%) | 4mo | $37,000 | $45 | 36 |
| 14801 Cheyenne St NW | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 757 (+6%) | 18mo | $65,000 | $86 | 35 |
| 15417 Pinehurst St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 796 (+12%) | 21mo | $8,000 | $10 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,151
- Equity at exit
- $12,984
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $31,613
- Equity at exit
- $7,529
Cash invested: $24,382 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48238
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,074 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$457
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,056/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $184
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,770
- Closing costs
- $2,612
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2690 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 24d | 4 | 1.00mi |
| 14950 Stoepel St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $900 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 16503 Ward Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 12663 Stoepel St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $975 | $1.30 | 18d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-19status $87,080 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-24$87,080 Active 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Presenting an amazing investment opportunity. This property offers a unique opportunity to acquire a piece of an existing real estate portfolio, professionally managed with an existing Section 8 tenant. This property represents an exceptional opportunity to acquire a residence of significant character and enduring appeal.
-
2026-04-24$87,080 Active 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Presenting an amazing investment opportunity. This property offers a unique opportunity to acquire a piece of an existing real estate portfolio, professionally managed with an existing Section 8 tenant. This property represents an exceptional opportunity to acquire a residence of significant character and enduring appeal.
-
2026-01-08historical
-
2025-09-19$90,000 Active
-
2025-09-19$90,000 Active
-
2025-01-02soldstatus $340,000
-
2025-01-01status Pending
-
2025-01-01status Pending
-
2024-12-24soldstatus $68,000 Closed
-
2024-12-24soldstatus $68,000 Closed
-
2024-08-28$75,000 Active
-
2024-08-28$75,000 Active
-
2022-01-14soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,056 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,056 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,882
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,878
- − Property taxes
- −$2,056
- − Insurance
- −$435
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,031
- − Management
- −$1,031
- − Depreciation
- −$2,533
- Taxable income
- $919
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$221
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,986/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,731
- Household income
- $33,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2172.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.96%
- Current HPI
- 189.6227
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+58.3% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-18 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-28 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-28 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $87,080 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-24 Listed $87,080 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-19 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-19 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $340,000 Public Records
- 2025-01-01 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-01 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-12-24 Sold (MLS) $68,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-24 Sold (MLS) $68,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-08-28 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-08-28 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,056 · +37.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…