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11415 Mississippi 494
B- Composite 69.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

11415 Mississippi 494 · Collinsville, MS 39325
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,655 sqft · Other public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1944 1.29 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fabulous West Lauderdale Home sitting on 1.29 Acres. Very updated with hardwood floors, nice kitchen and 3 bedrooms with 1 bathroom. New Architectural Shingled roof. Outside was recently painted. Offers huge unfinished basement ideal for workshop and has a garage door entering into the basement. Storage barn in back yard. This is a rare find in West Lauderdale.

Key facts

  • Nice kitchen
  • Storage barn
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSNICE KITCHENHUGE UNFINISHED BASEMENTSTORAGE BARN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 1 story
  • Construction: Asbestos construction materials; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Storage structure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric Range; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Tile; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Hot water heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric Range; Range; Refrigerator; Electric Water Heater; Unfinished basement; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#25 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Lauderdale County School District (rural): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #39 of 130 in MS (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lauderdale County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
15.13%
Cash-on-cash
31.55%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$49,085
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
34.1%
Equity multiple
4.11×
Total profit
$139,288
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39325

Home prices YoY
-16.7%
Active inventory
27
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,772 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$582
Net cashflow
$1,178

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,281
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $160,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $160,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $160,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 363-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $160,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,274 · $106/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,274 · $106/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,264
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$1,274
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,661
− Management
−$2,661
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$12,251
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,940
After-tax cash flow
$11,196/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lauderdale County School District
NCES district ID
2802430
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$45,778
Composite
33.25/100
National rank
#5517
State rank
#39 of 130 in MS

Livability — Collinsville

Score
72/100
State rank
#25
US rank
#6359

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,064

Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
75,158 people
By 2030
72,770 · -3.2%
By 2040
67,309 · -10.4%
By 2050
61,797 · -17.8%
By 2075
49,790 · -33.8%
By 2100
39,797 · -47.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 12%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Vietnam
Languages at home
98% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.0% · R 60.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -21.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.2 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+23.0 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.84%
Current HPI
138.6021
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $160,000 EMR

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,274 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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