26211 348th Ave SE · Hobart, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 83°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
TAHOMA School District Fixer! Large Lot 0.545 Acres with Cabin-Style Home nestled in the woods. Gated Entry, Lots of parking space, 2-Car Carport and Covered Back Deck. 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms. Survey & Wetlands Delineation completed in 2021. Septic and Well.
Key facts
- Large lot
- Covered back deck
- Cabin-style home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property condition: Fixer; Living area approximately 1,770 square feet; Lot size about 0.5455 acres; MLS status: Active
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Security: Security gate
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Individual well water; Septic tank sewer; PSE power company
- Home design: Single-family house; One and one-half stories; Main entry; Built on lot; Facing information not provided
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Wood exterior; Wood products; Wooded lot; Level to partially sloped topography; Has a view
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (2 upper, 1 main)
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (1 main, 1 upper)
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (9.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $226k (9.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 1.6% in Hobart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#489 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Enumclaw School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #46 of 291 in WA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.53%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $697,380
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26717 348th Ave SE | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,790 (+1%) | 9mo | $705,000 | $394 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-34,802
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-22,908
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98051
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,264 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$284 /mo · $3,408/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$475
- Net cashflow
- $89
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $250,000 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $250,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,408 · $284/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,408 · $284/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥83°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,168
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$3,408
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,173
- − Management
- −$2,173
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$3,113
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$747
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,820/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Enumclaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300001
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,441
- Composite
- 55.21/100
- National rank
- #2736
- State rank
- #46 of 291 in WA
Livability — Hobart
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #489
- US rank
- #20394
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 37,868
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,555
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Slovak 7% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -221.54%
- Current HPI
- 316.0115
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-5.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $250,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-12 Sold (MLS) $228,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-07 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-23 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-07 Price Changed $228,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-06 Price Changed $240,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-15 Listed $265,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+19.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,408 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…