435 N 35th Ave #242 · Greeley, CO
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,700
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a soccer field, a swimming pool, a library, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Swimming pool
- Library
- Built 2026
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Address: 435 N 35th Ave #242, Greeley, CO 80631
- Financial info: List price $84,200
Exterior
- Utilities: Electric service; Central air
- Home design: Spec new construction, plan 91798; Active listing
- Exterior features: Living area of 1560 (listed)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 2 bathrooms total
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $638 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 3.3% in Greeley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#115 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: cost of living C-, schools D, crime F.
- Greeleyschool District No. 6 In The County Of Weld And Sta (urban): math 15% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #71 of 86 in CO (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,170 units permitted in Weld County in 2024 (278 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $586 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weld County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.26%
- DSCR
- 2.44
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $127,920
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 435 N 35th Ave #327 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (+0%) | 7mo | $134,000 | $86 | 93 |
| 435 N 35th Ave #316 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-7%) | 5mo | $66,000 | $45 | 85 |
| 435 N 35th Ave #132 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (+0%) | 13mo | $105,000 | $67 | 83 |
| 435 N 35th Ave #446 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (+0%) | 13mo | $130,000 | $83 | 83 |
| 435 N 35th Ave #282 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+0%) | 20mo | $93,000 | $59 | 83 |
| 435 N 35th Ave #190 | 0.00mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,568 (+0%) | 9mo | $127,500 | $81 | 82 |
| 435 N 35th Ave #421 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-7%) | 12mo | $95,000 | $65 | 74 |
| 200 N 35th Ave #103 | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-7%) | 7mo | $120,000 | $82 | 73 |
| 435 N 35th Ave #463 | 0.00mi | 3/3.0 | 1,792 (+15%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $73 | 62 |
| 200 N 35th Ave Lot 57 | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-8%) | 8mo | $120,000 | $83 | 59 |
| 200 N 35th Ave #178 | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-14%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $86 | 52 |
| 329 33rd Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (-10%) | 14mo | $335,000 | $239 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $22,374
- Equity at exit
- $12,629
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $54,339
- Equity at exit
- $7,323
Cash invested: $23,716 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80631
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,548 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$444
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,270/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $638
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,175
- Closing costs
- $2,541
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 613 N 30th Ave Unit Basement 2br Greeley, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $800 | $0.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 308 N 46th Ave Greeley, CO | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1972 | $2,699 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3208 W 7th St Greeley, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,672 | $1.75 | 14d | 5 | 0.99mi |
| 724 27th Ave Greeley, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,700 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4323 9th St Rd Greeley, CO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1436 | $1,800 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3950 W 12th St #3 Greeley, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $2,100 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,700 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,700 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,700 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,700 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,700 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $84,700 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,700 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,700 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,700 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,700 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,700 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $84,700 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,200 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,200 Active 19 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,577
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,745
- − Property taxes
- −$1,270
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,486
- − Management
- −$1,486
- − Depreciation
- −$2,464
- Taxable income
- $6,702
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,609
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,043/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greeleyschool District No. 6 In The County Of Weld And Sta
- NCES district ID
- 0804410
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,417
- Composite
- 19.99/100
- National rank
- #8667
- State rank
- #71 of 86 in CO
Livability — Greeley
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #115
- US rank
- #9841
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greeley, CO
- County
- Weld County · 332,652 people
- City population
- 119,344
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,722
- Household income
- $54,591
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3061.0
Population outlook (Weld County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 351,957 people
- By 2030
- 385,304 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 451,818 · +28.4%
- By 2050
- 514,478 · +46.2%
- By 2075
- 648,733 · +84.3%
- By 2100
- 720,400 · +104.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 39% Two or more races 15% Black 3% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 45%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 33%
Political lean MEDSL · Weld
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.0) · D 38.2% · R 59.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.0 2020: R+18.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+13.2 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -329.59%
- Current HPI
- 295.4309
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.65%
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…